Core Viewpoint - Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. (FIS) reported strong first-quarter 2025 results, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.21, exceeding estimates and showing an 11% year-over-year increase [1]. Financial Performance - Revenues reached $2.532 billion, a 3% year-over-year improvement, surpassing management's expectations [1]. - Adjusted EBITDA was $956 million, down 17.3% year over year, but still above estimates [4]. - The adjusted EBITDA margin decreased by 142 basis points to 37.8% [4]. Segment Performance - The Capital Market Solutions segment saw an 8% revenue growth to $764 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin improvement of 90 basis points to 48.3% [6]. - The Banking Solutions unit generated $1.72 billion in revenue, growing 2% year over year, but the adjusted EBITDA margin fell by 379 basis points to 40.1% [5]. - The Corporate and Other segment's revenues dropped 36% year over year to $50 million, with an adjusted EBITDA loss of $99 million [7]. Cost and Expenses - Cost of revenues increased by 6% year over year to $1.7 billion [3]. - Selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses decreased by 2.6% to $558 million, although this was higher than estimates [3]. - Net interest expenses rose by 3.9% year over year to $80 million, but were lower than estimates [3]. Cash Flow and Equity - The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $805 million, a 3.5% decline from the previous year [8]. - Total equity decreased by 4% to $15.1 billion [9]. - Net cash from operations was $457 million, more than doubling year over year, while adjusted free cash flows increased nearly four-fold to $368 million [9]. Shareholder Returns - Fidelity National returned $670 million to shareholders through share buybacks of $450 million and dividends of $220 million [11]. - Management aims for share buybacks of around $1.2 billion in 2025 and plans to align dividend growth with adjusted EPS growth [11]. Future Guidance - For Q2 2025, management forecasts revenues between $2.560 billion and $2.585 billion, with adjusted EBITDA projected at $1.020-$1.035 billion [12]. - For the full year 2025, revenues are expected to be between $10.435 billion and $10.495 billion, with adjusted EPS anticipated between $5.70 and $5.80, indicating a 10.2% growth from 2024 [13][14].

Core Insights - FIS reported strong demand for core banking solutions, leading to recurring revenue growth and positive pipeline momentum [1][2] - The acquisition of Global Payments' issuing business (TSYS) is a strategic move that will enhance FIS' capabilities and cross-selling opportunities [1][6] Financial Performance - Recurring revenue growth accelerated to 4% in Q1 from 2%, with recurring revenue making up 81% of total sales [3] - Banking solutions segment revenues increased by 2% to $1.7 billion, while capital markets segment revenues grew by 9% to $764 million [3] Strategic Initiatives - The "Money at Rest" strategy remains strong, with expectations for solid sales growth driven by financial services consolidation [4] - The digital solutions segment is gaining traction as banks modernize their technologies, contributing to growth in the "Money in Motion" efforts [5] Future Outlook - FIS anticipates adjusted revenue growth of 4.2% to 5% in Q2, with banking revenue growth projected at 3.7% to 4.4% [7] - The acquisition of TSYS is expected to add $2.5 billion to operations, increasing annualized sales to a total of $9.4 billion on a pro forma basis [9] Market Positioning - FIS is uniquely positioned in the market with a comprehensive product suite that includes credit capabilities, enhancing cross-selling potential [6][11] - The company is not observing any slowdown in client spending, indicating robust market demand [8]

Core Insights - BILL Holdings is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.37 per share, reflecting a decline of 38.3% year-over-year, while revenues are forecasted to increase by 9.8% to $354.78 million [1] Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 8.2%, indicating analysts' reassessment of their initial forecasts [2] - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3] Revenue Breakdown - Analysts estimate 'Revenue- Interest on funds held for customers' to be $35.26 million, a decrease of 15.5% from the prior-year quarter [5] - 'Revenue- Subscription and transaction fees' is projected to reach $320.12 million, representing an increase of 13.8% year-over-year [5] Key Metrics - The consensus estimate for 'Total Payment Volume' is $80.34 billion, up from $71 billion a year ago [6] - Analysts predict 'Transactions Processed' will reach 30.79 million, compared to 26 million in the same quarter last year [6] Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of BILL Holdings have returned +12.8%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +11.5% change [6] - BILL Holdings currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting its performance may align with the overall market in the near future [6]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted revenue growth of 4% in Q1 2025, exceeding expectations [7][16] - Adjusted EBITDA was $958 million, leading to an EBITDA margin of 37.8% [16][17] - Adjusted EPS grew 11% to $1.21, at the upper end of the outlook [8][17] - Free cash flow conversion exceeded 70%, with free cash flow of $368 million compared to $95 million last year [17][18] - The company returned $670 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends [8][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Banking segment revenue grew 2%, with recurring revenue growth at 3% [20][21] - Capital Markets segment saw adjusted revenue growth of 9%, with recurring revenue growth of 6% [21][22] - Non-recurring revenue in Capital Markets advanced 47%, driven by strong license renewals [21][22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company signed several new marquee engagements across various sectors, indicating strong demand for core solutions [8][9] - The digital solutions segment gained traction, with a Midwest community bank selecting the Digital One product [10] - The company expanded its relationship with a multinational engineering firm, enhancing its Office of the CFO capabilities [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The strategic acquisition of the Issuer Solutions business and the sale of the Worldpay stake are aimed at strengthening the company's financial profile and value proposition [6][14][15] - The company is focused on driving commercial excellence and simplifying its portfolio to deliver consistent financial results [6][7] - The acquisition is expected to be accretive to adjusted EPS and enhance recurring revenue streams [15][70] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the pipeline and noted no negative impacts from macro factors on client spending [32][33] - The company reaffirmed its full-year outlook, anticipating continued strength in recurring revenue growth [8][24] - Management highlighted strong visibility into cost reduction initiatives and margin improvement for the second half of the year [81][84] Other Important Information - The company is targeting adjusted revenue growth of 4.2% to 5% for Q2 2025, with banking revenue growth projected at 3.7% to 4.4% [24][26] - The company expects to achieve a total shareholder return of 11% to 13% for the year [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: Feedback on client decision-making pipeline and Issuer Solutions business - Management reported positive feedback on client conversions and an increasing pipeline, indicating strong demand for services [31][32] Question: Insights on Capital Markets Q2 guidance - Management noted that the first quarter had a high non-recurring benefit, and the second quarter guidance reflects a return to normalized levels [40][41] Question: Banking segment performance and drivers for acceleration - Management emphasized strong visibility into banking revenue growth driven by high retention rates and a strong sales year in 2024 [88][90] Question: Free cash flow and net working capital optimization - Management highlighted significant improvements in cash flow driven by net working capital initiatives and procurement strategies [97][98] Question: Potential dis-synergies from Worldpay sale - Management confirmed there are no dis-synergies from the Worldpay business as all impacts were accounted for during the separation [108] Question: ACV growth in Q1 - Management indicated strong growth in ACV across the business, consistent with historical trends [113][114]

Q1 2025 Financial Performance - Priority Technology Holdings' Q1 2025 total revenue increased by 9% to $2246 million[8, 13, 14] - Adjusted Gross Profit increased by 14% to $873 million[8, 15, 16] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 11% to $513 million[8, 19, 20] - Adjusted Gross Profit margin increased by 170 basis points to 389%[17] Segment Performance - SMB revenue increased by 5% year-over-year to $1517 million with Adjusted Gross Profit of $331 million[38] - B2B revenue increased by 12% year-over-year to $239 million with Adjusted Gross Profit of $73 million[43] - Enterprise revenue increased by 22% year-over-year to $501 million with Adjusted Gross Profit of $469 million[49] Financial Position - The company repaid $10 million of outstanding Term Loan during Q1 2025[59, 61] - The company has ample liquidity of $1176 million, comprised of $476 million of unrestricted cash and unfunded $700 million Revolver at the end of Q1 2025[61]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The computer industry experienced a revenue growth of 16.14% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with net profit attributable to shareholders increasing significantly by 608.38% [1][5][6] - The industry shows signs of improvement, with both overall and median methods indicating a turning point in performance [1][5] Core Insights and Arguments - Hardware performance outperformed software, and companies with B/C-end business models performed better than those focused on G-end [1][6] - Companies with overseas business showed better performance, particularly in sectors like computing power, securities IT, and automotive electronics [1][6] - Kingsoft Office is highlighted as a key investment opportunity due to its strong performance in the信创 (Xinchuang) business, leading AI applications, and solid growth fundamentals [1][9] - The SaaS sector has seen many companies reach bottom valuations after adjustments, benefiting from AI model developments, with strong commercial models and solid data/user bases [1][11][12] Specific Company Highlights - **Kingsoft Office**: Current stock price is low with potential for recovery; aims for over 100 million AI users this year, with a high valuation ceiling [1][9][10] - **Newland**: Despite a negative absolute return of -10.24% in April, it has shown resilience with a historical absolute return of 446.36% since 2020 [2] - **Unisplendour**: Benefiting from AI computing power and acquisition of Xinhua San, with a Q1 revenue growth of 22.25% [4][33] - **Han's Laser**: Reported a 1.27% revenue growth in Q1, with a nearly 30% increase in net profit [14][16] - **Tax Friend**: Significant recovery in profits with effective cost control and a focus on AI product matrix [15][16] Investment Opportunities - The AI application sector is a focal point for investment in May 2025, particularly in agent product series and related industries [1][13] - Companies like Han's Information, Newland, and Tax Friend are recommended due to their strong performance and growth potential [1][14][15] - The financial technology sector is also highlighted, with a focus on potential policy changes that could improve market liquidity [27][31] Market Trends and Predictions - The month of May typically shows better performance for the computer industry compared to April, with historical data indicating a higher probability of positive returns [7][8] - The信创 (Xinchuang) industry is expected to benefit from international dynamics and policy support, accelerating the localization of foundational software products [4][22][24] - The computing power leasing industry is on an upward trend, with companies like Xuechuang Hongjing showing significant revenue growth [26] Additional Insights - The impact of recent AI model developments, including OpenAI's advancements, is expected to enhance the competitive landscape [17][18] - The eCall system in the automotive sector is becoming increasingly important, with significant market growth anticipated by 2027 [19][20] - Companies like Huizhan and Hongquan are positioned for growth in the eCall sector, with strong performance in Q1 2025 [21] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call records, providing a comprehensive overview of the computer industry, specific company performances, and investment opportunities.

证券研究报告 金融行业周报 ——银行1季报整体稳健，推动供应链金融更好服务中小企业 证券分析师 王维逸S1060520040001（证券投资咨询） 袁喆奇S1060520080003（证券投资咨询） 李冰婷S1060520040002（证券投资咨询） 韦霁雯S1060524070004（证券投资咨询） 许 淼S1060525020001（证券投资咨询） 研究助理 李灵琇S1060124070021（一般证券业务） 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 2025年5月5日 1 核心观点 银行1季报整体稳健，推动供应链金融更好服务中小企业 行业新闻 行业数据 • 银行1季报整体稳健，个体分化持续 • 规范供应链金融，更好服务中小企业融资 • 银行卡清算机构管理办法重修订，强调运营监督管理 • 银行：中国人民银行召开落实金融"五篇大文章"总体统计制度动员部署会议 • 证券：《中华人民共和国民营经济促进法》出台 • 保险：发改委：推动稳就业稳经济 • 金融科技：中国支付清算协会发布收单外包风险提示 • 本周银行、证券、保险、金融科技指数分别变动-1.48%、-0.73%、-1.64%、+0.15% • 银行：公开市场操作实现净投 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the rapid development of technology innovation in Hong Kong and Macau, driven by strong governmental support and collaboration within the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area [1][2][3] - Hong Kong's technology innovation is supported by its robust research capabilities, with five universities ranked among the world's top 100 and over 40 academicians from national academies, creating a favorable environment for tech enterprises [2] - Macau is entering a new phase of technology innovation, with plans to invest at least 5 billion Macanese Patacas in R&D over the next five years, marking the highest investment in its history [2] Group 2 - The collaboration within the Greater Bay Area is enhancing the flow of capital, technology, talent, and information, providing broader opportunities for technology innovation in Hong Kong and Macau [3] - Platforms like the Qianhai Shenzhen-Hong Kong Youth DreamWorks and Hengqin Macau Youth Entrepreneurship Valley are becoming popular among young people in Hong Kong and Macau, facilitating their entrepreneurial ventures [3] - The article highlights the potential for Hong Kong and Macau to leverage their unique advantages and actively integrate into the Greater Bay Area's technology innovation ecosystem to achieve high-quality development [3]

Core Viewpoint - Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. (FIS) is expected to report first-quarter 2025 results on May 6, 2025, with earnings estimated at $1.20 per share and revenues at $2.5 billion, indicating a year-over-year earnings increase of 9.1% and revenue growth of 1.7% [1][2] Financial Performance Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FIS's 2025 revenues is $10.5 billion, reflecting a year-over-year rise of 3.4%, while the EPS for the current year is estimated at $5.74, indicating a growth of approximately 10% year-over-year [2] - FIS has consistently beaten consensus estimates in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of negative 9.4% [2] Earnings Prediction - The company is predicted to likely beat earnings this quarter, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +0.76% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [3] Revenue Breakdown - The consensus estimate for Banking Solutions revenues indicates a 1.3% year-over-year increase, while Capital Market Solutions is expected to see a revenue increase of around 7% compared to the same quarter last year [5] - Total Recurring revenues are projected to grow by approximately 1%, with North America and All Other revenues expected to grow by 1% and 2% year-over-year, respectively [6][7] EBITDA Estimates - The adjusted EBITDA for Capital Market Solutions is estimated to increase by 7.5% year-over-year, while total operating expenses are expected to decline by 2.8% year-over-year [7] - The company anticipates adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $940-$960 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin projected between 37.8-38.2% [9] Challenges - The adjusted EBITDA for Banking Solutions is expected to decline by 2.5% year-over-year, which may offset some positive growth factors [8]

Core Viewpoint - Analysts expect Affirm Holdings (AFRM) to report a quarterly loss of $0.08 per share, reflecting an 81.4% year-over-year increase in losses, with revenues projected at $783.11 million, a 35.9% increase from the previous year [1]. Earnings Projections - There has been a 4.9% upward revision in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, indicating analysts' reassessment of their initial forecasts [2]. - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3]. Revenue Estimates - Analysts project 'Revenue- Merchant network' to reach $199.48 million, a 25.2% increase year-over-year [5]. - 'Revenue- Card network' is expected to be $46.40 million, reflecting a 30.1% year-over-year change [5]. - 'Revenue- Interest income' is forecasted at $414.44 million, indicating a 31.3% increase from the previous year [5]. - 'Revenue- Servicing income' is estimated at $31.25 million, suggesting a 23.5% year-over-year change [6]. - 'Revenue- Gain on sales of loans' is projected to reach $81.19 million, a significant 102.1% increase year-over-year [6]. - Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) is expected to be $8,129.51 billion, up from $6,294 billion in the previous year [6]. Consumer Metrics - The average prediction for 'Transactions per Active Consumer' is 5, consistent with the same quarter of the previous year [7]. - Analysts estimate 'Active Consumers' to be 21, an increase from 18 reported in the same quarter last year [7]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, Affirm Holdings shares have gained 46.4%, significantly outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which saw a change of +0.4% [8]. - Affirm Holdings holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a likelihood of outperforming the overall market in the near future [8].