Economic Environment - Economic uncertainty is currently heightened due to tariffs and associated price increases, potential inflation, prolonged job searches, and stock market volatility [1] Investment Focus - The primary interest remains in stocks, mutual funds, and ETFs for intermediate- to long-term investing and retirement purposes [1] - The individual has engaged in various investment vehicles including stocks, options, mutual funds, bonds, ETFs, commodities, futures, and forex since 2007 [1] Research and Writing - A strong interest in investment research and analysis has led to a career in freelance financial writing since 2010 [1] - Articles have been published on notable financial websites such as Investopedia, Google Finance, Yahoo Finance, and CBS MoneyWatch, among others [1]

Altria Group (MO -0.71%) makes and sells Marlboro cigarettes. Philip Morris International (PM 0.06%) makes and sells Marlboro cigarettes. How do they both do the same thing? They limit their sales to different markets. Philip Morris was spun off by Altria so the latter could focus entirely on the North American market. If you are looking at these two stocks with the idea of holding one for the long term, you'll probably want to think carefully about the mistakes that Altria has made. That list looks increas ...

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Core Viewpoint - Philip Morris International has experienced significant stock price appreciation, with shares up nearly 40% in 2025 and over 75% in the past year, following strong earnings results [1][2] Group 1: Earnings Performance - In Q1, Zyn, a nicotine pouch product, saw U.S. shipment volumes increase by 53% to 202 million cans, with international volumes also rising 53% [4][3] - Overall oral product shipments grew by 27%, while traditional cigarette volumes rose by 1.1% to 144.8 billion units [8][7] - Organic revenue increased by 10% year over year to $9.3 billion, with adjusted earnings per share climbing 17% to $1.76 [8][9] Group 2: Growth Drivers - Zyn and heated tobacco units (HTUs), including the IQOS system, are key growth drivers, with HTUs volumes increasing nearly 12% to 37.1 billion units [7][6] - The company expects U.S. Zyn shipments to reach between 800 million and 840 million cans, up from a previous forecast of 780 million to 820 million cans [5][4] - The smoke-free business saw organic revenue surge by 20%, indicating strong demand for non-combustible products [9][10] Group 3: Future Outlook - Philip Morris has maintained its full-year outlook, with organic revenue growth projected between 6% to 8% and adjusted EPS expected to be between $7.01 and $7.14 [11][12] - The company is expanding its capacity in the U.S. for Zyn and testing IQOS in new markets, indicating ongoing growth opportunities [14][13] - The stock is considered undervalued with a forward P/E ratio of 23 and a PEG ratio under 0.4, suggesting potential for further appreciation [15][16]

Core Insights - The article highlights the performance of dividend-paying stocks during market downturns, emphasizing their stability and ability to outperform the S&P 500 in 2025 [1][2] Group 1: AT&T - AT&T is a major U.S. telecom provider with 72.7 million post-paid phone subscribers and 9.3 million fiber optic broadband customers as of the end of 2024 [3] - The stock has a low beta of 0.42, indicating less volatility during market downturns, and offers a dividend yield of 4.1%, which is sustainable as it represents only half of the company's earnings-per-share estimate for 2025 [4] Group 2: Philip Morris International - Philip Morris is the largest tobacco company globally, selling products in 180 countries, and has a beta of 0.44, making it a reliable investment during economic downturns [5] - The company has consistently paid and raised its dividend since 2008, currently yielding 3.2%, and smoke-free products now account for 40% of total sales, indicating a shift towards long-term growth [6] Group 3: The Coca-Cola Company - Coca-Cola is a well-established blue-chip dividend stock with a diverse portfolio of beverages and a low beta of 0.45, making it a stable investment choice [7][8] - The company has a dividend yield of 2.8% and a payout ratio of 69% of 2025 earnings estimates, with a strong track record of increasing dividends over six decades [9]

Core Viewpoint - Altria remains an attractive investment for income investors due to its long history of dividend increases and its current high dividend yield of 7% [1][14] Company Strategy - Altria has faced challenges over the past decade due to declining smoking rates and strategic missteps, including a $12 billion investment in Juul and a failed investment in Cronos Group [5] - The company has shifted focus to smoke-free products, selling the rights to market Iqos back to Philip Morris International and investing in Njoy, which has received FDA marketing authorization for its pod-based e-vapor product [6][8] - Altria's next-gen portfolio includes on!, an oral nicotine pouch, and a new heated tobacco product called Ploom, developed in partnership with JT Group [7] Market Performance - Njoy's consumables saw a 15.3% increase to 12.8 million units, and device shipments rose 22.2% to 1.1 million, with retail market share nearly doubling to 6.4% [8] - Despite Njoy's growth, cigarettes still account for the majority of Altria's revenue, with volume sales declining from 76.4 million in 2023 to 68.6 million in 2024, while smokeable products represented 88% of revenue in 2024 [9] Future Goals - Altria aims for a mid-single digits adjusted earnings per share (EPS) compound annual growth rate (CAGR) off $4.84 in 2022, with adjusted EPS rising 3.4% to $5.12 in 2024, resulting in a 2.9% CAGR over the last two years [10] - The company plans to increase its dividend by mid-single digits annually, following a 4.1% increase in 2024, and targets a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 2, currently at 2.1 [11] - Altria expects to maintain an adjusted operating margin of at least 60% through 2028, although it has struggled to meet growth targets and has adjusted its expectations for Njoy's cash flow contributions [12] Investment Outlook - Altria's stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12, with a 7% dividend yield, indicating potential for success even if not all 2028 goals are met [13] - In the current economic climate, Altria is positioned to potentially outperform the S&P 500, benefiting from its status in the consumer staples sector and the consistent demand for its products [14] - Overall, despite declining cigarette consumption, Altria is expected to be in a better position three years from now [15]

The fight for the US nicotine market is heating up. Incumbent MO has been stumbling on their non-combustible strategy, with little to show other than how not to transform a business. On the other end of the spectrum, Philip Morris, until recently out of theStriving to compound knowledge. Long-time fan of Warren and Charlie. Always invert. "To finish first, you must first finish". Investing own and family funds for +20 years. Senior finance roles at public and private corporations for most of that time.Analy ...

Contributing analyst to the iREIT+Hoya Capital investment group. The Dividend Collectuh is not a registered investment professional nor financial advisor and these articles should not be taken as financial advice. This is for educational purposes only and I encourage everyone to do their own due diligence. I'm a Navy veteran who enjoys dividend investing in quality blue-chip stocks, BDC's, and REITs. I am a buy-and-hold investor who prefers quality over quantity and plans to supplement his retirement income ...

Momentum investing is all about the idea of following a stock's recent trend, which can be in either direction. In the 'long' context, investors will essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." And for investors following this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving in that direction. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.Whil ...

Momentum investing is all about the idea of following a stock's recent trend, which can be in either direction. In the 'long' context, investors will essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." And for investors following this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving in that direction. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades.Whil ...