Group 1 - Wall Street analysts expect Saia (SAIA) to report quarterly earnings of $2.77 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 18.1% [1] - Revenues are anticipated to be $810.08 million, which represents a 7.3% increase from the same quarter last year [1] - There has been a downward revision of 7.6% in the consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [1] Group 2 - Analysts estimate an 'Operating Ratio' of 87.6%, compared to 84.4% from the previous year [4] - The projected 'LTL (Less-Than-Truckload) Revenue Per Hundredweight (CWT)' is expected to be $24.75, down from $26.51 in the same quarter last year [4] - The average prediction for 'LTL (Less-Than-Truckload) Tonnage' is 1,558.55 KTon, an increase from 1,392 KTon a year ago [5] Group 3 - The consensus for 'Fuel, operating expenses and supplies' is projected to reach $159.09 million, slightly up from $156.33 million reported in the same quarter last year [5] - Saia shares have shown a return of -14.4% over the past month, compared to a -8.9% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [5] - Saia holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it is expected to perform in line with the overall market in the near future [5]

Core Viewpoint - Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (KNX) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.25 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 108.3%, while revenues are anticipated to decline by 0.9% to $1.81 billion [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 12.5%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue and Key Metrics - Analysts estimate 'Revenue, excluding truckload and LTL fuel surcharge' at $1.60 billion, a year-over-year change of -0.8% [5]. - The 'Truckload and LTL fuel surcharge' is projected to reach $185.70 million, down 11.4% from the previous year [5]. - 'Operating revenue- LTL' is expected to be $337.40 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 19.6% [6]. - The consensus for 'Revenue, excluding fuel surcharge and intersegment transactions- Truckload Segment' is $1.05 billion, indicating a decline of 3.7% year-over-year [6]. Operating Ratios - The average 'Operating Ratio' is projected at 95.7%, improving from 98.9% in the same quarter last year [6]. - The 'Adjusted Operating Ratio' is expected to be 94.7%, compared to 96.8% in the previous year [7]. - For 'Adjusted Operating Ratio - Truckload', the estimate is 95.3%, down from 97.3% year-over-year [7]. - The 'Adjusted Operating Ratio - LTL' is projected at 93.4%, compared to 90% in the same quarter last year [8]. - The 'Adjusted Operating Ratio - Logistics' is expected to be 93.7%, down from 97.1% in the previous year [8]. Operational Metrics - The consensus for 'Average tractors - Truckload' is 21,818, down from 23,314 year-over-year [9]. - 'Load count - Intermodal' is expected to reach 38,120, an increase from 33,647 in the previous year [9]. - The 'Average revenue per load - Intermodal' is projected at $2,684.32, compared to $2,615 last year [9]. Market Performance - Knight-Swift shares have returned -11.3% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which declined by -5.6% [9].

Industry Overview - The US trucking industry has faced significant challenges following a pandemic-driven boom that led to skyrocketing freight rates and an influx of new capacity, resulting in a downturn in the market [1] Market Dynamics - The low-barrier-to-entry nature of the trucking industry has exacerbated the current issues, as new entrants have contributed to oversupply [1]

Core Insights - J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT) reported first-quarter 2025 earnings per share of $1.17, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.15, although quarterly earnings declined 4.1% year over year due to weak freight demand and excess capacity [1][2] Financial Performance - Total operating revenues for the quarter were $2.92 billion, slightly above the Zacks Consensus Estimate but down 0.8% year over year, primarily due to a 5% decrease in average truck count in the Dedicated Contract Services unit and a 15% drop in stops in the Final Mile Services unit [2] - Total operating income decreased 8% year over year to $178.7 million [2] Segmental Highlights - The Intermodal division generated revenues of $1.47 billion, a 5% increase year over year, with intermodal volume rising 8% [3] - Dedicated Contract Services segment revenues fell 4% year over year to $822 million, impacted by a 5% decline in average trucks [4] - Integrated Capacity Solutions revenues decreased 6% year over year to $268 million, with segmental volumes down 13% [5] - Truckload revenues fell 7% year over year to $167 million, with load volumes increasing 2% [6] - Final Mile Services revenues dropped 12% year over year to $201 million, with operating income plunging 69% [8] Liquidity and Share Buyback - At the end of the first quarter of 2025, JBHT had cash and cash equivalents of $43 million and long-term debt of $880.2 million [9] - The company repurchased 1,400,000 shares for $234 million during the quarter, with approximately $650 million remaining under its share repurchase authorization [9]

Core Viewpoint - Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings despite lower revenues, with the actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated on April 23, 2025, with an expected EPS of $0.25, reflecting a +108.3% change year-over-year, while revenues are projected at $1.81 billion, down 0.9% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 12.49% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4][10]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate for Knight-Swift is lower than the consensus estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.25% [10][11]. Historical Performance - Knight-Swift has beaten consensus EPS estimates in two out of the last four quarters, with a recent surprise of +9.09% when it reported earnings of $0.36 against an expectation of $0.33 [12][13]. Investment Considerations - The combination of a negative Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 4 indicates challenges in predicting an earnings beat for Knight-Swift, suggesting that investors should consider additional factors before making investment decisions [11][16].

Company Overview - Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) is currently facing multiple headwinds, making it an unimpressive investment option [1] - The company's shares have lost 26% year-to-date, compared to a 22.4% decline in the transportation-truck industry [2] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter 2025 earnings has been revised downward by 9.6% in the past 90 days [2] - For the current year, the consensus mark for earnings has been revised down by 7.4% in the same timeframe, indicating a lack of confidence from brokers [2] Financial Performance - KNX has a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell) and a Value Score of C, reflecting its unattractiveness [6] - The company has a negative earnings surprise history, lagging the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the last four quarters with an average miss of 8.96% [6] Cost Structure - High costs related to driver wages, equipment, maintenance, and fuel are restricting bottom-line growth, with salaries, wages, and benefits expenses rising 13.8% year-over-year in 2024 [7] - Total operating expenses increased by 5.3% year-over-year to $7.16 billion in 2024 [7] Leverage and Debt - KNX's cash and equivalents were $166.35 million at the end of Q3 2024, which is significantly lower than its long-term debt of $1.50 billion, indicating insufficient cash to meet debt obligations [8] Industry Context - The trucking industry is facing a persistent driver shortage, complicating recruitment as older drivers retire and younger generations show little interest in these jobs [9] - The industry has a Zacks Industry Rank of 234 out of 248 groups, placing it in the bottom 5%, which negatively impacts stock performance [10]

Company Overview - Landstar System, Inc. (LSTR) is currently facing multiple headwinds, making it an unimpressive investment option [1] - The company is experiencing reduced demand for freight services and increased truck capacity, leading to low shipment volumes and rates [2] Financial Performance - Revenues are expected to remain weak, particularly in the truck transportation segment, with first-quarter 2025 truckloads projected to decline by 2-7% year-over-year [2] - Truck revenue per load is anticipated to decrease by 2% to increase by 3% year-over-year [2] Industry Challenges - The trucking industry is struggling with a persistent driver shortage, as older drivers retire and younger generations show little interest in trucking jobs [3] - LSTR's shares have dropped 18.5% over the past year, while the transportation-truck industry has seen a decline of 37.6% [3] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-quarter earnings has been revised down by 18.4% in the past 90 days, with a 14.8% downward revision for the current year [6] - LSTR has a history of disappointing earnings surprises, lagging the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the last four quarters with an average miss of 0.65% [7] Industry Ranking - LSTR's industry has a Zacks Industry Rank of 171 out of 248 groups, placing it in the bottom 31% of Zacks industries [9] - The performance of the industry group is crucial, as studies indicate that 50% of a stock's price movement is tied to its industry performance [9]

Core Insights - MingZhu Logistics Holdings Limited has secured a significant coal transport contract with Ruoqiang Tengyue Logistics Co., Ltd. through its subsidiary, Shenzhen Yangang Mingzhu Supply Chain Management Co. [1][2] - The contract entails providing coal transportation services until March 20, 2030, utilizing approximately 300 trucks during the contract period [2]. Company Overview - MingZhu Logistics Holdings Limited, established in 2002 and headquartered in Shenzhen, China, is recognized as a 4A-rated professional trucking service provider [5]. - The company operates regional logistics terminals in Guangdong Province, offering tailored logistics solutions through a combination of self-owned and subcontracted fleets [5]. Subsidiary Insights - Mingzhu Supply Chain, founded in 2018, focuses on providing integrated logistics solutions aimed at reducing costs and enhancing efficiency within the supply chain [3]. - The subsidiary's recent contract win is seen as a significant milestone, reinforcing its market position and driving growth momentum for the company [3]. Partner Insights - Ruoqiang Logistics specializes in coal transportation, connecting power plants and chemical factories with efficient logistics solutions [4]. - The company emphasizes operational excellence and customer satisfaction, ensuring timely delivery of coal, which is critical for energy and industrial operations [4]. - Ruoqiang Logistics is noted for its strong cash flow management, enabling financial stability and strategic investments [4].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2024, revenues totaled $755 million, down 8% year-over-year [19] - Adjusted EPS was $0.08, a decrease of $0.31 compared to the previous year [19] - Adjusted operating margin was 1.6%, a decrease of 69% year-over-year [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Truckload Transportation Services (TTS) revenue for the quarter was $527 million, down 9% [20] - TTS adjusted operating income was $14.6 million, a 60.1% decrease year-over-year [20] - Logistics revenue was $213 million, representing 28% of total revenues, down 6% year-over-year but up 3% sequentially [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Spot rates have improved, reaching a two-year high, with tender rejection rates remaining seasonally elevated [7] - The logistics division reported improved adjusted operating income, marking the best quarter of the year [12] - The company expects truckload fundamentals to gradually improve throughout 2025 [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on driving growth in core business, operational excellence, and capital efficiency [13][15] - Investments have been made in maintaining a modern fleet and advancing technology for better decision-making and operational efficiencies [9] - The company aims to improve TTS margins and return to double-digit operating margins over time [22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the freight recession has persisted but positive signs are emerging, indicating an improving environment [6][7] - The company anticipates a challenging but improving environment as 2025 begins, with expectations for better rates and demand [7][16] - Management emphasized the importance of controlling costs and focusing on operational excellence to navigate the current market [14][40] Other Important Information - The company achieved over $50 million in cost savings in 2024, with a total of nearly $100 million over two years [29] - The effective tax rate for Q4 was 7%, with a full-year rate of 21% [38] - The company ended the year with $41 million in cash and cash equivalents, and total liquidity of $460 million [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: What actions are being taken regarding tariff threats in Mexico? - Management indicated ongoing conversations with shippers in Mexico, noting that there hasn't been significant change in shipping patterns despite tariff rhetoric [45][46] Question: How is the company balancing fleet growth with rate insulation in Dedicated services? - Management highlighted a robust pipeline for dedicated opportunities and emphasized the importance of selecting true dedicated opportunities that ensure high retention rates [52][54] Question: What is the outlook for insurance costs and margin trajectory? - Management acknowledged the outlier nature of recent insurance costs and indicated that claims are trending down, with expectations for improved margins moving forward [79][82]