The GEO Group Inc. (NYSE:GEO) is one of the best upside stocks to buy now. On November 8, JonesResearch lowered the firm’s price target on GEO Group to $37 from $50 with a Buy rating on the shares. The firm noted that the company has started to show a trajectory toward over $3 billion in annualized revenue for the full-year 2026, driven by upcoming contracts and monitoring services. At the same time, the firm revised its financial estimates downward to account for slower growth than previously expected. D ...

Fiscal 2025 Year End Earnings Call Bruce Caswell President & Chief Executive Officer November 20, 2025 1 | Maximus: Q4 FY25 Earnings Presentation Forward-looking Statements & Non-GAAP Information These slides should be read in conjunction with our most recent quarterly earnings press release, along with listening to or reading a transcript of management comments from our most recent quarterly earnings conference call. This document contains non-GAAP financial information. Management uses this information in ...

Core Insights - Maximus reported quarterly earnings of $1.62 per share, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.63 per share, but showing an increase from $1.46 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of -0.61% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.32 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, which also missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.52%, remaining unchanged from the previous year's revenues [2] - Maximus has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times over the last four quarters, indicating some volatility in earnings performance [2] Earnings Outlook - The future performance of Maximus shares will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the trends in earnings estimate revisions [3][4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.73 on revenues of $1.43 billion, while for the current fiscal year, the estimate is $7.07 on revenues of $5.58 billion [7] Industry Context - The Government Services industry, to which Maximus belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 9% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a challenging environment for the sector [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact Maximus's stock performance [5][6]

Core Insights - Gulf Island Fabrication, Inc. reported strong third-quarter results for 2025, with revenue of $51.5 million, an increase from $37.6 million in the prior year period, and adjusted EBITDA of $2.5 million, down from $2.9 million [4][6]. Financial Performance - Consolidated revenue for Q3 2025 was $51.5 million, compared to $37.6 million in Q3 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 37.9% [6]. - Net income for Q3 2025 was $1.6 million, a decrease from $2.3 million in Q3 2024 [6]. - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $2.5 million, down from $2.9 million in the prior year [6]. - The Services Division generated revenue of $21.5 million, a 6.2% increase from the previous year, primarily due to the Englobal government services business [7]. - The Fabrication Division saw revenue of $30.6 million, a significant increase of 78.6% compared to Q3 2024, driven by large structural steel components projects [10]. Division Performance - Services Division operating income was $0.8 million, down from $1.4 million in Q3 2024, with EBITDA of $1.3 million, a decrease from $1.9 million [8]. - Fabrication Division operating income was $2.1 million, slightly up from $2.0 million in Q3 2024, with EBITDA increasing to $2.9 million from $2.7 million [11]. - The Corporate Division reported an operating loss of $1.8 million for both Q3 2025 and Q3 2024, with adjusted EBITDA losses of $1.7 million [12]. Strategic Developments - The company is focusing on business diversification, highlighted by the acquisition of Englobal and contracts in infrastructure and government services, such as the rebuild of the Francis Scott Key Bridge [5]. - Gulf Island entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by IES Holdings, Inc., with shareholders expected to receive $12.00 per share in cash upon completion of the transaction [16]. Balance Sheet and Liquidity - As of September 30, 2025, the company had cash and short-term investments totaling $64.6 million, with total debt of $19.0 million at a fixed interest rate of 3.0% [13]. - The estimated fair value of the debt was $13.3 million based on market interest rates [13]. Share Repurchase Activity - During Q3 2025, the company repurchased 42,761 shares for $0.3 million at an average price of $6.75 per share, but has suspended further repurchases due to the pending acquisition [14].

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Core Viewpoint - Geo Group reported quarterly earnings of $0.25 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.22 per share, and showing an increase from $0.21 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +13.64% [1][2] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $682.34 million for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.54%, and up from $603.13 million year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Geo Group has exceeded consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates two times [2] Stock Performance - Geo Group shares have declined approximately 39.9% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 15.6% [3] - The current Zacks Rank for Geo Group is 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [6] Earnings Outlook - The consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.31 on revenues of $666.49 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.89 on revenues of $2.56 billion [7] - The trend of estimate revisions for Geo Group was mixed ahead of the earnings release, which may change following the recent report [6] Industry Context - The Government Services industry, to which Geo Group belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 26% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges for stock performance [8]

Core Insights - Maximus has been awarded a new Joint Cyber Command & Control (JCC2) Readiness contract by the United States Air Force, with a potential value of $86 million [1] Group 1 - The contract aims to enhance interoperability and deliver innovative solutions in the field of cyber command and control [1] - This is the second award received by Maximus from the Air Force, indicating a growing relationship and trust in the company's capabilities [1]

Core Viewpoint - Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) reported weak financial results for Q2 of fiscal 2026, leading to multiple analysts reducing their price targets for the stock [2][5]. Financial Performance - Revenue decreased by 8.1% year-over-year to $2.9 billion, while net income fell by 55.1% to $175 million compared to the same period last year [2]. - The company has revised its full-year outlook downward due to a "continued funding slowdown" [2]. Analyst Reactions - Stifel reduced its price target from $119 to $106 while maintaining a Hold rating, noting this was the second time in three months that management's outlook was worse than expected [3]. - Goldman Sachs lowered its price target from $93 to $80 and kept a Sell rating, citing weak financial performance and adverse effects from government funding re-prioritization [5]. - UBS also cut its price target from $115 to $93, maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock [6]. Market Environment - Analysts indicated that while the market environment for government services is not worsening, it remains far from normalizing for Booz Allen [4]. - There is ongoing volatility and uncertainty in the market, prompting analysts to favor stocks that are not experiencing similar declines [4][6].

Labor Market Impact - Federal government efficiencies reduction led to thousands of federal job eliminations [3] - Black unemployment rose 1.5 percentage points from February to August, exceeding other demographic groups [3] - Late career transitions can mean lost pensions, reduced earnings, and potentially delayed retirement [8] Government and Policy Response - Representative Ayanna Presley is calling on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to act, urging the Fed to use all available tools to uphold its mandate of maximum employment [4][5] Workforce Demographics and Challenges - Black workers have long dominated the federal workforce, with nearly one in five federal workers identifying as black or African-American last November [2] - Public sector jobs offer better benefits packages, better retirement packages, and more stable employment compared to the private sector [7] - Disruption of livelihoods and lives is palpable and feels personal to black professionals [5]

Core Insights - ICF International reported quarterly earnings of $1.67 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.75 per share, and down from $2.13 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -4.57% [1] - The company posted revenues of $465.41 million for the quarter ended September 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.51%, and down from $517 million year-over-year [2] Company Performance - Over the last four quarters, ICF has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times, but has only topped consensus revenue estimates once [2] - ICF shares have declined approximately 28.2% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 17.2% [3] Future Outlook - The company's earnings outlook will be crucial for investors, particularly in light of management's commentary on the earnings call [3][4] - Current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.71 on revenues of $472.42 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $7.06 on revenues of $1.92 billion [7] Industry Context - The Government Services industry, to which ICF belongs, is currently ranked in the top 39% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8] - The performance of ICF's stock may also be influenced by the overall industry outlook and trends in earnings estimate revisions [5][8]