Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **Clean Energy** sector in **China**, specifically highlighting the **Yarlung Zangbo hydropower project** which commenced construction on July 19, 2025, in Nyingchi, Tibet [1] Company and Project Details - The **Yarlung Zangbo River Lower Reaches Hydropower project** is operated by the newly-established **China Yajiang Group Corporation** and consists of five cascade power stations with a planned investment of approximately **Rmb1.2 trillion** [1] - For comparison, the **Three Gorges** and **Baihetan projects** had investments of **Rmb250 billion** and **Rmb220 billion**, respectively [1] Investment Implications - Key beneficiaries identified within the coverage include **UHV transmission equipment players** such as: - **Pinggao (600312.SS)** - **XJ Electric (000400.SZ)** - **NARI Tech (600406.SS)** - **Sieyuan (002028.SZ)** [2] - Opportunities are also seen for: - **Hydropower plant engineering companies** - Key hydropower equipment manufacturers like **Dongfang Electric (600875.CH/1072.HK)** and **Harbin Electric (1133.HK)** [2] - Potential for the development of **"hydro-solar-wind bases"** to leverage solar and wind power during the dry season for stable renewable energy output [2] Capacity and Output Estimates - The **Medog hydropower station** is designed with an installed capacity of approximately **60 GW**, significantly higher than the **Three Gorges' 22.5 GW** and **Baihetan's 16 GW** [5] - Estimated annual electricity output for the Medog station is around **300 billion kWh**, compared to **80-90 billion kWh** for the Three Gorges and **~60 billion kWh** for Baihetan [5] - The electricity generated will be transmitted to other regions in China via **UHV lines**, while also catering to local demand in Tibet [5] Valuation Methodology - **XJ Electric (000400.SZ)** uses a discounted cash flow model with a WACC of **8.0%**, reflecting a cost of equity of **9.5%** and an after-tax cost of debt of **4.5%** [8] - **Sieyuan Electric Co. Ltd. (002028.SZ)** employs a similar discounted cash flow analysis with a WACC of **7.5%** [9] - **Henan Pinggao Electric (600312.SS)** also uses discounted cash flow methodology with a WACC of **8.2%** [10] - **NARI Technology (600406.SS)** follows a discounted cash flow approach with a WACC of **8.0%** [16] Risks and Opportunities - **Upside Risks** include: - Better-than-expected progress in orders - Market share gains - Higher-than-expected investment in the grid distribution network [12][13][14] - **Downside Risks** include: - Delays in the working progress of orders - Lower-than-expected investment in the grid distribution network - Increased competition affecting margins [12][18][19] Analyst Ratings - The report includes various companies in the **China Utilities** sector with ratings such as **Overweight** and **Equal-weight** for companies like **CGN Power Co., Ltd.** and **China Gas Holdings** [78][80] Conclusion - The Clean Energy sector in China, particularly hydropower, presents significant investment opportunities driven by large-scale projects like the Yarlung Zangbo and Medog stations, with various companies positioned to benefit from this growth.

Renewable Energy Investment - Google signs a $3 billion (30 亿) deal to purchase hydropower from Brookfield [1] Business Agreement - Google enters into an agreement with Brookfield for hydropower [1]

Core Viewpoint - Statkraft is seeking a license to construct a new Aura power plant in Sunndal, Norway, with a budget of 6 billion NOK, which will significantly enhance the region's power supply capacity [1][2]. Group 1: Project Details - The new Aura power plant will increase the maximum capacity from 310 MW to approximately 810 MW, representing a 2.5 times increase in output [5]. - The upgrade will enable the plant to produce an additional 130 GWh of electricity annually, sufficient to power over 130,000 Norwegian households [6]. - The current Aura facility has been operational since 1953 and contributes over 25% of the electricity in the Møre og Romsdal region [4]. Group 2: Strategic Importance - The new power plant is part of Statkraft's largest hydropower investments in decades, aimed at modernizing existing facilities and meeting future energy demands [1][8]. - The project is expected to create significant local investment and job opportunities for contractors and suppliers [7]. - Statkraft plans to upgrade four other major hydropower plants, potentially increasing its installed capacity in Norway by 1,500 to 2,500 MW, which is over a 20% increase [8]. Group 3: Environmental and Community Engagement - The capacity upgrades will require substantial investment and are only marginally profitable, necessitating careful consideration of environmental impacts and community engagement [9]. - The company emphasizes the importance of local dialogue and engagement in the planning and execution of these projects [9].

Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC suggests that A-shares are likely to experience a "good start" after the holiday due to marginal improvement in the performance of listed companies in the first quarter and positive external factors during the A-share market closure [1] Group 1: Market Performance - A-share companies showed marginal performance improvement in Q1 [1] - Positive external market conditions, including better performance of Hong Kong and US stocks during the A-share market closure, are expected to influence A-shares positively [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - Focus on sectors with recovering demand and low tariff impact, such as AI development, cloud computing, and robotics [1] - Consider export sectors with low exposure to the US, including engineering machinery, power grid equipment, and commercial vehicles [1] - Highlight high cash flow and low external demand correlation sectors, such as hydropower, telecommunications, and leading companies in the food and beverage industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - Statkraft is applying for a license to upgrade the Nore hydropower plants with a budget of 4 billion NOK to enhance electricity production and stabilize prices in Norway [1][2]. Company Overview - Statkraft is a leading international hydropower company and Europe's largest generator of renewable energy, with operations in over 20 countries and around 7,000 employees [14]. Project Details - The Nore hydropower plants consist of Nore I, operational since 1928 with a capacity of 212 MW and annual production of 1150 GWh, and Nore II, operational since 1946 with a capacity of 60 MW and over 300 GWh annual production [10]. - The upgrade aims to nearly double the capacity from 274 MW to 500 MW and increase annual production from approximately 200 GWh to about 1700 GWh under the preferred alternative [6]. - An alternative plan would increase the combined capacity by 65 MW and production by around 150 GWh [6]. Future Plans - Statkraft plans to build a next-generation hydropower system and initiate five major upgrades by 2030, with the Nore plants upgrade being a significant step [2][8]. - The company aims to increase its installed capacity in Norway by over 20 percent, providing an additional 1500 to 2500 MW of capacity through various upgrades [8]. Environmental and Economic Considerations - Upgrading existing hydropower plants is seen as a way to enhance capacity and energy production while considering environmental impacts [3][9]. - The company acknowledges that such upgrades require substantial investments and are often only marginally profitable, necessitating careful assessment of various factors [9]. Licensing Process - The license application will be processed by the Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate (NVE), followed by a hearing process, with the Ministry of Energy making the final decision [13].

Core Insights - Velcan Holdings reported strong financial results for 2024, with a significant increase in net income and stable turnover from the Rodeio Bonito plant despite operational challenges [2][6][19]. Financial Performance - Revenues for 2024 reached EUR 3.0 million, a 2% increase from EUR 2.9 million in 2023 [2]. - Net income surged to EUR 11.2 million, up 2005% from EUR 0.5 million in 2023 [2][6]. - EBITDA for the year was negative at EUR -5.6 million, compared to EUR 1.8 million in 2023 [2][36]. - Cash and financial assets increased by 8% to EUR 135 million from EUR 125 million in 2023 [2]. Portfolio Allocation - As of December 31, 2024, the portfolio consisted of 43% cash and short-term Western sovereign bonds, 22% in gold mining and silver-linked securities, and 25% in other equity-long positions [3][9]. - The financial portfolio's value increased significantly, driven by investments in precious metals and Japanese stocks [2][4]. Rodeio Bonito Plant Operations - The Rodeio Bonito plant generated 52,190 MWh in 2024, an increase from 50,190 MWh in 2023, despite operational disruptions due to turbine damage [5][20]. - Turnover from electricity sales was EUR 3.0 million, up 2% in Euros and 10% in BRL compared to 2023 [5][23]. - The plant's EBITDA decreased by 22% in BRL terms due to lower turnover and increased expenses related to turbine repairs [24]. Regulatory Changes - A new regulation proposal by ANEEL may adjust guaranteed energy for power plants based on actual availability, potentially impacting profitability for the Rodeio Bonito plant [25][26]. Investment Strategy - The company has maintained a diversified investment strategy, focusing on safe-haven assets amid geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures [2][8]. - Significant investments were made in the Japanese hotel REIT industry and the Filipino markets, with exposure exceeding EUR 2 million in various sectors [11][12]. Shareholder Actions - Velcan Holdings continued its share buyback program in 2024, purchasing a total of 92,892 shares for EUR 1.29 million [30].