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Prologis Q1 2025 Preview: Leveraging Strengths Amid Market Challenges
ZACKS· 2025-04-15 16:15
Core Viewpoint - Prologis is expected to report its first-quarter 2025 results on April 16, with analysts and investors keen to evaluate its performance amid current economic conditions [1] Company Performance - In the last reported quarter, Prologis achieved an 8.70% surprise in core funds from operations (FFO) per share, driven by increased rental revenues and strong leasing activity, although high interest expenses posed challenges [2] - Over the past four quarters, Prologis exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate for FFO per share three times, with an average beat of 3.46% [2] Industry Overview - The U.S. industrial real estate market demonstrated resilience in Q1 2025, with steady demand despite tariff uncertainties, although vacancy rates rose and rent growth moderated [3] - Net absorption for the first quarter was 23.1 million square feet, matching the previous year's level but down from 42.4 million square feet in Q4 [4] - The overall vacancy rate increased by 30 basis points to 7%, the highest since 2014, indicating a shift towards a more balanced market [5] - Asking rents have flattened, with a year-over-year growth of 4.3%, while the national average rent remained stable at $10.11 per square foot [6] Development Trends - The development pipeline is shrinking, with Q1 2025 seeing 72.6 million square feet of new industrial buildings completed, a 41% year-over-year decline [7] - Speculative assets made up 72% of the total square footage delivered in the first quarter [7] Strategic Positioning - Prologis is well-positioned to navigate the industrial real estate landscape, leveraging its portfolio of premium assets and focusing on targeted acquisitions and developments [8] - The company is expected to utilize its cost efficiency and strong balance sheet to drive growth initiatives, reinforcing its market leadership [9] Financial Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Prologis' first-quarter revenues is $1.94 billion, reflecting a 5.89% year-over-year increase [10] - Average occupancy is projected at 95.5%, indicating an 80 basis points decrease from the prior quarter, while same-store net operating income is expected to rise by 3.7% year over year [10] - Interest expenses are anticipated to increase by 13.3% year over year in the first quarter [10] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have not revised the Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter FFO per share, which remains at $1.38, suggesting a 7.81% year-over-year increase [11] - Prologis holds a Zacks Rank of 3 and an Earnings ESP of +0.21%, indicating potential for an FFO beat this quarter [12]
3 Magnificent S&P 500 Dividend Stocks Down More Than 13% to Buy and Hold Forever
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-17 16:11
Market Overview - The S&P 500 has experienced a sell-off, dropping more than 10% from its peak, with many individual stocks declining even further [1] Dividend Stocks - Falling stock prices have increased dividend yields, making it an opportune time to invest in high-quality dividend stocks [2] - Kinder Morgan, NextEra Energy, and Prologis have all seen declines of over 13% from their recent peaks, making them attractive for dividend investors [2][10] Kinder Morgan - Kinder Morgan's stock has decreased just over 13%, raising its dividend yield to 4.3%, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 1.3% [3] - The company plans to increase its dividend by 2% this year, marking the eighth consecutive year of dividend growth [3] - Kinder Morgan generates substantial excess free cash flow after dividends, allowing for investments in expansion, including a recent $640 million acquisition in North Dakota and $5 billion in new pipeline projects [4] NextEra Energy - NextEra Energy's stock has fallen nearly 14%, resulting in a dividend yield of 3.1% [5] - The company has a strong track record of dividend growth, having increased its payout for 30 consecutive years at a 10% compound annual growth rate over the past 20 years [5] - NextEra Energy is heavily investing in renewable energy capacity, which is expected to support adjusted earnings growth within its 6% to 8% annual target range through 2027 [6] Prologis - Prologis' stock has declined 15.5%, increasing its dividend yield to 3.6% [7] - The company has achieved a 13% compound annual growth rate in dividends over the past five years, significantly outpacing the S&P 500 and average REIT growth rates [7] - Prologis benefits from strong demand for logistics real estate driven by e-commerce growth, allowing for rent increases and investment in new development projects, including data centers [8]