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Nebius Shares Fall Post Q3 Earnings: Should Investors Hold or Sell?
ZACKS· 2025-11-14 14:41
Core Insights - Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) experienced a significant decline in share price following its third-quarter 2025 results, with shares down 20.4% since the earnings report on November 7, 2025 [1][8] - The company's stock has dropped approximately 30% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks Internet Software Services industry's decline of 8.8% [2] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Nebius reported an adjusted net loss of $100.4 million, which is 153% wider than the loss of $39.7 million from the previous year [4] - Revenues surged 355% year over year to $146.1 million, with the core infrastructure segment growing 400% [4] - Adjusted EBITDA loss was $5.2 million, an improvement from the $45.9 million loss in the prior-year quarter [5] - Total operating costs increased by 145% to $276.3 million, with a net loss from operations of $119.6 million compared to a loss of $43.6 million a year ago [5] Operational Challenges - Nebius faces macroeconomic uncertainties, rising expenses, and heavy capital spending, with capital expenditure guidance raised from approximately $2 billion to around $5 billion for 2025 [6][8] - Structural operational challenges include difficulties in securing sufficient power and ongoing supply-chain constraints, which limit the company's ability to serve customers effectively [9] - The company has tightened its full-year revenue outlook to a range of $500 million to $550 million, down from previous guidance of $450 million to $630 million [10] Competitive Landscape - Nebius is competing with major players like Microsoft, Amazon, and CoreWeave, which are rapidly expanding their AI infrastructure [11][12][13] - The company is consistently "sold out" of capacity, risking lost business and delayed onboarding until new capacity comes online in late 2025 and 2026 [9] Long-Term Growth Potential - Despite near-term challenges, Nebius is committed to strengthening its core AI cloud business, with significant multi-billion-dollar agreements with Microsoft and Meta expected to contribute to revenue starting late in the current quarter [19] - The company plans to scale its data centers in various regions and aims for 2.5 GW of contracted power by 2026 [20] - Nebius is also enhancing its enterprise portfolio with new offerings, targeting an annual run-rate revenue of $900 million to $1.1 billion by the end of 2025 [21]
Will CoreWeave's Heavy Debt Load Disrupt Its Growth Momentum?
ZACKS· 2025-11-13 17:46
Core Insights - CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) reported a 134% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.4 billion in Q3 2025, exceeding management's guidance and Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.8% [1][8] - The company raised $14 billion in debt and equity year-to-date to fund the rapid expansion of its GPU-based data centers, crucial for meeting rising AI compute demand [2][8] - Despite revenue growth, CRWV faces financial strain due to rising interest expenses, which surged to $311 million in Q3 compared to $104 million a year ago, with projections for 2025 interest expenses between $1.21 billion and $1.25 billion [3][8] Financial Performance - CRWV's adjusted net loss for Q3 was $41 million, contrasting with breakeven adjusted net income from the previous year [3] - The company's shares have declined by 36.3% over the past month, while the Internet Software industry has seen a decline of 6.8% [9] Capital Structure and Strategy - Management is working to strengthen the capital structure and lower the cost of capital by amending the DDTL 2.0 Facility, increasing drawable capacity by over $400 million [4] - The company is targeting over 850 MW of active power by year-end, positioning itself as a leading provider for large-scale AI workloads [2] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Nebius (NBIS) and Microsoft (MSFT) are also expanding aggressively, with Nebius reporting a 355% revenue increase in Q3 and plans for significant capacity growth [5][7] - Microsoft plans to increase its AI capacity by over 80% this fiscal year and has substantial financial resources, including $102 billion in cash and equivalents [8]
CoreWeave Slides Post Q3 Earnings: Is It Time to Buy the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-11-12 17:21
Core Insights - CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) experienced a significant decline in share price following its Q3 2025 results, with a drop of 16.3% in the last session and a total decline of 37.6% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks Internet-Software Market's loss of 6.8% [1][2] Financial Performance - CRWV reported record revenues of $1.4 billion in Q3, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.8% and reflecting a year-over-year increase of 134% driven by high demand for AI compute capacity [3][7] - The revenue backlog reached $55.6 billion, nearly doubling quarter over quarter, indicating strong future revenue visibility [3][7] - Total operating expenses rose to $1.3 billion from $466.8 million in the previous year, with operating income decreasing to $51.9 million from $117.1 million year-over-year [4] Guidance and Capital Expenditure - The company lowered its revenue guidance for full-year 2025 to between $5.05 billion and $5.15 billion, down from the previous estimate of $5.15 billion to $5.35 billion [8] - Adjusted operating income is now forecasted to be between $690 million and $720 million, reduced from an earlier expectation of $800 million to $830 million [9] - Capital expenditures (capex) are estimated to be between $12 billion and $14 billion, significantly lower than the previous projection of $20 billion to $23 billion [10] Competitive Landscape and Challenges - CoreWeave faces intense competition in the AI cloud infrastructure market from major players like Amazon and Microsoft, as well as emerging companies like Nebius [5][10] - The company has raised $14 billion in debt and equity year-to-date, with interest expenses increasing to $311 million compared to $104 million a year ago [11] Growth Potential and Strategic Initiatives - CoreWeave's GPU-based cloud services are positioned well within the AI infrastructure boom, supported by a substantial backlog and diversified customer base [12][17] - The company is expanding its infrastructure with eight new data centers in the U.S. and further expansions planned in Europe [13][14] - Strategic partnerships with NVIDIA, OpenAI, and Meta Platforms enhance its market position and validate its infrastructure capabilities [16][17] Valuation and Investment Outlook - Despite concerns over high capital expenditures and rising interest costs, CoreWeave's long-term growth potential remains strong, supported by its solid backlog and strategic partnerships [22][23] - The current dip in CRWV stock is viewed as an attractive buying opportunity, with the company holding a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [23]
Nebius to Report Q3 Earnings: How to Approach the Stock Now?
ZACKS· 2025-11-10 16:21
Core Insights - Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on November 11, with a consensus estimate of a loss of 50 cents per share and total revenues projected at $150.6 million [1][9] Company Overview - Nebius, based in Amsterdam, is focused on providing specialized artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure, primarily through its AI-powered cloud platform designed for intensive AI and machine learning workloads [2] - The company recently launched Nebius AI Cloud 3.0 "Aether," aimed at enterprise-scale AI applications [2] - Nebius resumed trading as a public company in October 2024 [2] Earnings Predictions - Current models do not predict an earnings beat for NBIS, with an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [3] Revenue Drivers - The demand for AI cloud services, particularly due to the growth of generative AI and machine learning, is expected to positively impact revenue [5] - A significant deal with Microsoft worth $17.4 billion for dedicated GPU capacity is anticipated to contribute to revenue growth [5] - The company reported a ninefold increase in AI cloud revenue in the previous quarter [5] Competitive Landscape - Nebius faces intense competition from major players like Microsoft and Amazon, as well as emerging companies like CoreWeave [7] - The company is a relatively new entrant in the AI cloud infrastructure market [7] Financial Outlook - Nebius has projected a capital expenditure of $2 billion for 2025, indicating substantial cash outlay [8] - The company raised nearly $4.2 billion through public and private offerings, but high capital spending poses risks if revenue growth does not keep pace [8] Stock Performance - Over the past six months, NBIS shares have increased by 233.7%, outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the S&P 500 [12] - Comparatively, other major players like Microsoft and Amazon have seen lower stock performance during the same period [13] Valuation Concerns - NBIS stock is considered to have a stretched valuation, with a Price/Book ratio of 6.95X, higher than the industry average of 4.28 [14] - This indicates a higher risk profile for investors [14] Strategic Considerations - The company is expanding its global footprint with data centers in the U.S., Europe, and the Middle East [6] - However, execution risks associated with aggressive scaling and reliance on equity stakes for funding could impact growth [10]
How Will CoreWeave's Data Center Push Power AI Innovation?
ZACKS· 2025-10-28 14:55
Core Insights - CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) is enhancing its role as a significant player in AI infrastructure with over $6 billion investments in data centers in Lancaster, PA, and a joint venture project in Kenilworth, NJ [1][9] - The company is on track to exceed 900 MW of active power by year-end, with a total contracted power of 2.2 GW, reflecting a growth of approximately 600 MW [3] - CoreWeave's infrastructure is designed for scalability and sustainability, utilizing advanced cooling and energy-efficient designs [4] Financial Performance - CoreWeave anticipates third-quarter revenues between $1.26 billion and $1.30 billion, with adjusted operating income projected at $160 million to $190 million [5][9] - The company's shares have increased by 217.8% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the Internet Software industry, which grew by 28.7% [10] Strategic Partnerships - The expanded agreement with OpenAI aims to support the training of next-generation AI models, reinforcing CoreWeave's position as a key cloud platform for demanding AI workloads [5] - A recent deal with Meta Platforms involves a commitment of up to $14.2 billion through 2031, enhancing CoreWeave's cloud capacity [5] Competitive Landscape - CoreWeave faces competition from Nebius Group N.V. and Microsoft Corporation, both of which are aggressively expanding their data center footprints to meet rising AI compute demand [6][7][8] - Microsoft has committed $80 billion to AI data center investments by 2025, further intensifying competition in the sector [8]
CRWV Stock Soars 229.9% in 6 Months: Buy, Sell or Stay Invested?
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 16:06
Core Viewpoints - CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) stock has surged 229.9% in the past six months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Internet-Software Market and other major indices [1][9] - The company specializes in high-performance cloud infrastructure tailored for AI workloads, recently launching CoreWeave AI Object Storage, a fully managed service for AI [1][4] Financial Performance - CRWV ended the second quarter with nearly 470 MW of active power, raising total contracted power to 2.2 GW, an increase of approximately 600 MW [5] - The company projects to surpass 900 MW of active power by year-end [5] - For 2025, CRWV anticipates revenues between $5.15 billion and $5.35 billion, up from previous guidance of $4.9 billion to $5.1 billion, reflecting strong customer demand [14] Strategic Partnerships - CoreWeave has established significant partnerships with NVIDIA and OpenAI, including a new $6.3 billion order with NVIDIA and an expanded agreement with OpenAI valued at up to $6.5 billion [10][11] - The total contract value with OpenAI now stands at approximately $22.4 billion [11] Market Position and Competition - CoreWeave is viewed as a key player in the generative AI boom, with strong demand across various sectors including media, healthcare, and finance [4][12] - The company faces competition from Nebius Group N.V. and Microsoft, both of which are rapidly expanding their AI infrastructure capabilities [19][20] Growth Strategies - The company is pursuing inorganic growth through acquisitions, including Monolith AI Limited, to enhance its AI platform [13][14] - CoreWeave's acquisition strategy aims to create synergies and improve efficiency in R&D and product design [13] Challenges - Despite strong revenue growth, CRWV is burdened by high debt, with interest expenses projected to rise significantly [15][18] - The company reported a net loss of $291 million in the second quarter, primarily due to interest expenses [17] - Elevated capital expenditures (CapEx) are expected, with guidance for the third quarter set between $2.9 billion and $3.4 billion, contributing to financial pressures [18] Valuation Metrics - CoreWeave appears overvalued with a Price/Book ratio of 23.36X, compared to the industry average of 6.65X [22]
Nebius Stock Surges 49% in a Month: Should You Hold or Offload?
ZACKS· 2025-10-14 15:41
Core Insights - Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) is trading at $135.46, nearing its 52-week high of $141.10, with a 48.9% increase in the past month, outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the Zacks Internet Software Services industry [1][8] - The stock is above its 50-day and 100-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend [2] Company Performance - Nebius has benefited from the growth in AI infrastructure, with revenues more than doubling from the first quarter and achieving EBITDA positivity in its core AI infrastructure business ahead of projections [4] - In Q2, NBIS revenues surged 625% year over year to $105.1 million, with AI cloud infrastructure revenues growing more than nine times year over year [5] - The company secured a $17.4 billion deal with Microsoft for GPU capacity, potentially increasing to $19.4 billion with additional services [10][8] - Nebius has raised its annualized run rate (ARR) outlook to $900 million-$1.1 billion and reaffirmed revenue guidance of $450 million-$630 million for 2025 [8][13] Market Position and Strategy - Nebius is expanding its global footprint with capacity in the U.S., Europe, and the Middle East, and has partnerships with major tech firms like Cloudflare, Prosus, and Shopify [11][12] - The company launched NVIDIA GB200 capacity in Europe and deployed Blackwell Ultra GPUs in the U.K., benefiting from the growth of AI and high-performance computing [12] - Nebius expects a significant increase in sales by year-end due to the ramp-up of data center capacity and the introduction of Blackwell GPUs [13] Competitive Landscape - Despite its strong market position, Nebius faces competition from other players in the AI cloud infrastructure space, including CoreWeave, which is targeting over 900 MW of active power by year-end [14] - The current high valuation of Nebius, with a forward 12-month P/S ratio of 20.42, exceeds the industry average of 4.73, presenting a potential risk [15]
Will the $14.2B Meta Deal Give CoreWeave an Edge Over Competitors?
ZACKS· 2025-10-07 14:21
Core Insights - CoreWeave (CRWV) is positioned to benefit from a significant partnership with Meta Platforms (META), which involves supplying cloud computing capacity worth up to $14.2 billion through December 14, 2031, with potential for expansion through 2032 [1][10] - The recent expansion of the contract with OpenAI, now totaling $22.4 billion, further enhances CRWV's revenue visibility and validates its AI infrastructure capabilities [2][10] - Collaboration with NVIDIA optimizes CRWV's cloud services, integrating advanced systems for improved performance and reliability [3] Competitive Landscape - Nebius (NBIS) is emerging as a strong competitor, experiencing a 625% year-over-year revenue growth to $105.1 million in Q2 2025, driven by demand for AI cloud infrastructure [6] - NBIS has secured a $17.4 billion deal with Microsoft, which could increase to $19.4 billion, highlighting the competitive pressure in the AI infrastructure market [7][10] - Microsoft continues to dominate the AI-cloud infrastructure space, with significant capital expenditures planned and a massive backlog of $368 billion across its cloud services [8][9] Financial Performance - CoreWeave's shares have increased by 43.1% over the past month, contrasting with a 2% decline in the Internet Software industry [11] - The Price/Book ratio for CRWV stands at 24.61X, significantly higher than the industry average of 6.62X, indicating a premium valuation [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CRWV's earnings for 2025 has been revised downwards over the past 60 days, reflecting potential challenges ahead [14]
Can CoreWeave Sustain Its Impressive EBITDA Margin Performance?
ZACKS· 2025-09-25 13:06
Core Business Performance - CoreWeave, Inc (CRWV) reported a significant revenue increase of 207% year over year, reaching $1.2 billion, marking its first billion-dollar quarter [1][11] - Adjusted EBITDA rose to $753.2 million from $249.8 million in the prior-year quarter, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 62%, slightly below last year's 63% [1][11] Market Position and Demand - The company operates in a structurally undersupplied AI-cloud market, with growth constrained by capacity rather than demand, as evidenced by a backlog of $30.1 billion, which has doubled year to date [2] - Key contracts with OpenAI and other hyperscalers, along with expansion into finance, healthcare, and AI start-ups, are driving this backlog increase [2] Expansion Strategy - CoreWeave aims to increase its active power from 470 megawatts to over 900 megawatts by year-end, supported by major projects including a $6 billion data center investment in Lancaster, PA [3] - The company is also pursuing a joint venture for another data center in Kenilworth, NJ [3] Financial Expenditures - Total operating expenses surged to $1.2 billion from $317.7 million in the previous year, with capital expenditures (capex) rising to $2.9 billion, an increase of $1 billion from the last quarter [4][11] - Interest expenses reached $267 million in the second quarter, reflecting heavy debt usage for growth, contributing to a net loss of $291 million [4][11] Future Financial Outlook - For the third quarter, CoreWeave anticipates interest expenses between $350 million and $390 million due to high leverage, which may pressure adjusted net income and free cash flow generation [5] - Investors are expected to closely monitor the company's ability to manage rising costs while maintaining margins amid aggressive expansion [6] Competitive Landscape - Nebius N.V. Group (NBIS) reported a 625% year-over-year revenue increase to $105.1 million, achieving positive EBITDA in its core AI infrastructure business [7] - Amazon Web Services (AWS) remains a dominant player, with $30.8 billion in sales, up 17.5% year over year, and is actively expanding into AI infrastructure [9][10]
CoreWeave Rises 25% in a Month: Is There More Room for Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-09-16 17:55
Core Insights - CoreWeave, Inc. (CRWV) stock has increased by 24.5% in the past month, outperforming the Zacks Internet-Software Market's gain of 1.9% and the S&P 500 Composite's gain of 3.6% [1] - The momentum is driven by strong AI demand trends and company-specific developments, including a new order form valued at $6.3 billion with NVIDIA Corporation [4][8] - CoreWeave's management has raised 2025 revenue guidance to $5.15-$5.35 billion, citing accelerating demand and a robust pipeline [7] Company Developments - CoreWeave launched a Ventures Group to invest in AI start-ups, enhancing its competitive position in the AI infrastructure space [5] - The company has a significant revenue backlog of $30.1 billion, bolstered by strategic partnerships with OpenAI and NVIDIA [8] - CoreWeave is expanding its data center network, targeting over 900 MW of active power by year-end, with key projects including a $6 billion data center investment [12] Financial Performance - CoreWeave's second quarter capex was $2.9 billion, an increase of $1 billion from the previous quarter, with full-year capex guidance reaffirmed at $20-$23 billion [16] - The company reported a net loss of $291 million in the second quarter, primarily due to high interest expenses, which surged to $267 million compared to $67 million a year ago [15] Competitive Landscape - CoreWeave faces tough competition in the AI cloud infrastructure space from major players like Amazon and Microsoft, as well as emerging competitors like Nebius, which reported a revenue growth of 625% in the last quarter [17][18] - The competitive environment is intensifying, with Nebius securing a deal with Microsoft valued at approximately $17.4 billion [18] Valuation Concerns - CoreWeave appears overvalued with a Price/Book ratio of 20.77X, significantly higher than the industry average of 6.93X [21] - Analysts have revised earnings estimates downward for the current quarter, indicating potential challenges ahead [19]