Workflow
Mining – Gold
icon
Search documents
Can AngloGold Ashanti Meet Its Upbeat 2025 Gold Production Guidance?
ZACKS· 2025-12-11 18:16
Core Insights - AngloGold Ashanti (AU) has shown strong performance in 2025, with a 20% year-over-year increase in gold production, reaching 2.292 million ounces in the first nine months, driven by the acquisition of the Sukari mine and solid performances from key assets [1][3] Production Growth - The company has reaffirmed its 2025 production guidance of 2.900-3.225 million ounces, indicating a year-over-year growth of 9-21% [2] - The Sukari mine is expected to contribute significantly, with a potential annual output of 500,000 ounces, having added 129,000 ounces and 135,000 ounces in the second and third quarters of 2025, respectively [3] - Obuasi mine's production increased by 31% year-over-year in Q2 and 30% in Q3, driven by grade improvement and steady ramp-up [4] - Cerro Vanguardia and Geita also reported increased production, with Geita's output up by 6% in Q3 [5] Peer Comparison - Newmont Corporation produced 1.42 million ounces in Q3 2025, down 15% year-over-year, maintaining a production expectation of 5.9 million ounces for 2025 [6] - Agnico Eagle Mines expects gold production between 3.3 million and 3.5 million ounces for 2025, with a slight increase in Q3 production compared to the previous year [7] Stock Performance and Valuation - AngloGold Ashanti's stock has appreciated by 274.7% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry, which saw a 139.7% increase [8] - The company is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 12.79X, slightly below the industry average of 13.11X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 sales is $9.67 billion, reflecting a 66.9% year-over-year increase, with earnings expected at $5.51 per share, a 149.3% rise [13] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 sales suggests a 13.3% year-over-year dip, while earnings are expected to grow by 16.8% [15] - EPS estimates for 2025 have increased by 3.8% over the past 60 days, while 2026 estimates have risen by 29.6% [15]
AU Stock Soars 266% YTD: What's the Right Strategy for Investors Now?
ZACKS· 2025-12-10 18:50
Core Insights - AngloGold Ashanti PLC's stock has surged 265.7% year to date, significantly outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's increase of 132.7% [1] - The company has also outperformed other gold mining stocks, such as Agnico Eagle Mines and Newmont Corporation, which have risen 115.3% and 157% respectively [4] Financial Performance - AngloGold Ashanti's Q3 results showed a 17% year-over-year increase in gold production, leading to a 61.9% rise in gold revenues to $2.37 billion and a 136% increase in earnings per share to $1.32 [9][10] - The adjusted EBITDA for Q3 rose 9% to $1.56 million, despite facing higher operating costs, with total cash costs per ounce increasing 5% year over year to $1,225 [9][11] - The company generated a record $920 million in free cash flow in Q3, a 141% year-over-year increase, and improved its adjusted net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio to 0.09X [13] Production Outlook - Gold production for 2025 is projected to be between 2.9 million and 3.225 million ounces, indicating a year-over-year growth of 9-21% [14] - The company is advancing growth projects, including investments in the Sukari and Geita mines, with plans to increase Geita's mineral reserves by 60% [18][19] Strategic Growth Initiatives - AngloGold Ashanti is executing a strategy of organic and inorganic growth, including the acquisition of Centamin, which added the Sukari mine to its portfolio [16] - The company has also completed the acquisition of Augusta Gold Corp, enhancing its presence in Nevada's emerging gold district [17] Market Conditions - Gold prices have increased 54.5% year to date, currently trending above $4,200 per ounce, supported by geopolitical tensions and central bank purchases [20] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AngloGold Ashanti's 2025 sales is $9.67 billion, reflecting a 66.9% year-over-year increase, with earnings expected to rise 149.3% to $5.51 per share [21] Valuation - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 12.49X, which is below the industry average of 12.73X, making it an attractive investment opportunity [25][28]
Can Newmont's Record Free Cash Flow Momentum Carry Into Q4?
ZACKS· 2025-12-03 14:56
Core Insights - Newmont Corporation achieved a record quarterly free cash flow of $1.6 billion in Q3 2025, more than doubling year-over-year, driven by a 40% increase in net cash from operating activities [1][7] - The company has cautioned that Q4 cash flow may decline due to increased spending on water treatment at Yanacocha and planned severance payments [2][7] - Despite potential short-term cash flow pressures, Newmont's strong balance sheet supports ongoing growth initiatives and debt commitments [3] Financial Performance - Newmont's free cash flow exceeded $1 billion for the fourth consecutive quarter, with net cash from operating activities reaching $2.3 billion [1][7] - Comparatively, Barrick Mining Corporation reported a free cash flow of $1.5 billion, up from $444 million year-over-year, while Agnico Eagle Mines Limited recorded approximately $1.2 billion, nearly doubling its previous year's figure of $620 million [4][5] Market Position - Newmont's shares have increased by 143.5% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's rise of 139.1% [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a projected earnings increase of 73.9% for 2025 and 18.3% for 2026, with EPS estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [10] - Newmont is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 12.8, which is about 4.8% lower than the industry average of 13.44 [11]
Can Agnico Eagle's Growth Pipeline Spark Its Next Production Surge?
ZACKS· 2025-12-02 14:06
Key Takeaways AEM is progressing growth projects like Odyssey, Detour Lake, Hope Bay and San Nicolas.Agnico Eagle's strong portfolio of projects is set to shape its next phase of production strength.AEM's 2025 and 2026 EPS estimates imply 83.7% and 21.1% growth, with estimates moving higher.Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) is advancing its growth initiatives, which are expected to drive increases in production and cash flow. Its solid liquidity and healthy cash generation enable the company to sustain a str ...
Can AngloGold Ashanti's Augusta Buyout Aid Further Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-12-01 18:40
Core Insights - AngloGold Ashanti plc has successfully completed the acquisition of Augusta Gold Corp, enhancing its presence in the Beatty District of Nevada, a significant emerging gold district in the U.S. [1][2] - The acquisition was funded with cash at a price of C$1.70 (approximately $1.24) per share, resulting in an equity value of C$152 million (around $111 million) [1][2]. - The deal includes the Reward project, which is construction-ready and expected to commence production within 12 months, targeting an annual output of 150,000 ounces of gold by 2027 [2][7]. Acquisition Details - The acquisition was approved by Augusta Gold shareholders on October 20, 2025, and adds the Bullfrog deposit and surrounding tenements to AngloGold Ashanti's portfolio, strengthening its position in the U.S. gold market [2][3]. - The adjacent properties are expected to significantly enhance AngloGold Ashanti's mineral resources [3]. Industry Context - Competitors in the industry are also pursuing acquisitions, such as Coeur Mining's acquisition of New Gold, which aims to create a leading North American precious metals producer with a projected output of 900,000 ounces of gold and 20 million ounces of silver by 2026 [4]. - Newmont Corporation's acquisition of Newcrest Mining is expected to generate substantial synergies and deliver significant value to shareholders, with $500 million in annual run-rate synergies achieved post-acquisition [5]. Financial Performance - AngloGold Ashanti's stock has appreciated 265.4% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry, which saw a 125.1% increase [6]. - The company is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 13.33X, slightly below the industry average of 13.42X [9]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 sales is $9.67 billion, reflecting a 66.9% year-over-year increase, while earnings are expected to rise by 158.3% to $5.71 per share [11].
Barrick Mining's Gold Output Dips Y/Y in Q3: Will It Rebound in Q4?
ZACKS· 2025-11-21 14:45
Key Takeaways B's Q3 gold production fell 12% year over year to 829,000 ounces, pressuring sales volumes and unit costs.The company now sees full-year 2025 output tracking near the low end of its 3.15-3.5M-ounce range.Barrick expects Q4 to be its highest-producing quarter, though Hemlo and Tongon divestments will weigh.Barrick Mining Corporation (B) saw a 12% year-over-year decline in third-quarter 2025 gold production to 829,000 ounces. This follows a roughly 16% year-over-year decline in the prior quarter ...
Can AngloGold Ashanti's Investment in Geita Mine Improve Production?
ZACKS· 2025-11-20 18:40
Core Insights - AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) is advancing its investment strategy with approved capital expenditure for the Geita Gold Mine in Tanzania, including a planned $100 million investment over the next three years and an increase in annual exploration spending from $35 million to $50 million [1][9]. Investment Plans - The Geita Gold Mine has produced 4.3 million ounces of gold from 2017 to 2024 and has mineral reserves of 2 million ounces. The ongoing investment aims to increase these reserves by approximately 60%, extending the mine's life from seven years to at least a decade by 2028 [2]. - A conceptual study is being conducted to evaluate the potential upgrade of processing capacity by 1 million tons annually, which could boost annual production to 600,000 ounces, up from the current 500,000 ounces per year. A feasibility study for this expansion is expected to be completed by 2027 [3]. Operational Strategy - Geita will maintain a flexible ore sourcing strategy with one open pit and three underground fronts, focusing on high-value deposits to enhance overall production. The Tailings Storage Facility capacity will be maintained through incremental extensions, with a new facility anticipated to be built in the mid-2030s [4]. Market Performance - AngloGold Ashanti's stock has appreciated 239.2% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's growth of 101.9%. The Basic Materials sector has risen by 10.5%, while the S&P 500 has gained 14.3% during the same period [8]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 12.87X, slightly above the industry average of 12.78X, and holds a Value Score of B [11]. Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AU's 2025 sales is $9.29 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 60.4%. The consensus for earnings per share (EPS) stands at $5.80, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 162.4%. For 2026, sales are expected to dip by 0.3%, while earnings are projected to grow by 11.4% [12]. - EPS estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been trending upward over the past 60 days, with significant revisions noted [13].
Should You Buy Kinross Gold Stock After an 82% Rally in 6 Months?
ZACKS· 2025-11-17 14:42
Core Viewpoint - Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) has experienced a significant share price increase of 82.3% over the past six months, outperforming both the Zacks Mining – Gold industry and the S&P 500, driven by strong earnings performance and higher gold prices [1][7]. Performance Comparison - KGC's peers, including Barrick Mining Corporation, Newmont Corporation, and Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, have also seen substantial share price increases of 103.5%, 72.4%, and 55.4%, respectively, during the same period [2]. Technical Indicators - KGC has been trading above its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) since March 6, 2024, and is currently above its 50-day SMA, indicating a bullish trend [5]. Production Growth Drivers - KGC has a strong production profile supported by key development projects such as Great Bear in Ontario and Round Mountain Phase X in Nevada, which are expected to enhance production and cash flow [10]. - The company has made progress in its Advanced Exploration program at Great Bear and confirmed strong grades at Round Mountain Phase X, indicating potential for high-margin production [11]. Financial Health - KGC ended the third quarter of 2025 with robust liquidity of approximately $3.4 billion, including cash and cash equivalents of about $1.7 billion, and reported record free cash flow of $686.7 million, a 66% year-over-year increase [13]. - The company has successfully reduced its debt, repaying $800 million in 2024 and planning to redeem $500 million in senior notes due in 2027 [14]. Gold Price Impact - Gold prices have surged approximately 55% this year, reaching historic highs, driven by global trade tensions and central bank purchases, which are expected to sustain the upward trend in gold prices [15][16]. Dividend and Analyst Sentiment - KGC offers a dividend yield of 0.5% with a low payout ratio of 9%, indicating a sustainable dividend [17]. - Analysts have raised earnings estimates for KGC, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings suggesting a year-over-year growth of 139.7% [18]. Valuation - KGC is currently trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 12.93X, slightly above the industry average of 12.79X, indicating a competitive valuation compared to its peers [19]. Investment Outlook - KGC presents an attractive investment opportunity due to its strong financial foundation, robust development pipeline, and favorable market conditions, making it a strong buy recommendation [21].
Can Agnico Eagle Keep Its Shine Amid Rising Production Costs?
ZACKS· 2025-11-14 13:31
Core Insights - Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) reported better-than-expected earnings in Q3 but is facing challenges due to higher unit costs, with an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of $1,373 per ounce, a 6% increase from the previous quarter and a 7% rise year-over-year [1][7] - The company anticipates total cash costs per ounce in the range of $915 to $965 and AISC between $1,250 and $1,300 for 2025, indicating a year-over-year increase at the midpoint of these ranges [2][7] - AEM's shares have increased by 115.9% year-to-date, compared to a 130.1% rise in the Zacks Mining – Gold industry, largely driven by a rally in gold prices [6][7] Cost Management and Projections - Higher production costs are expected to impact AEM's profitability, necessitating prudent cost management to maintain competitiveness and sustain margins [2][3] - AEM is taking measures to control costs, but inflationary pressures are likely to persist, potentially leading to a rise in AISC in late 2025 as deferred expenditures are realized [3] Peer Comparison - Among peers, Newmont Corporation (NEM) reported a Q3 AISC of $1,566 per ounce, a 3% decrease from the prior year, while Barrick Mining Corporation (B) saw a 9% sequential decline in AISC to $1,538 per ounce [4][5] - Newmont expects its gold AISC to rise to $1,630 per ounce in 2025, while Barrick projects AISC in the range of $1,460-$1,560 per ounce for the same year [4][5] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - AEM is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 19.51, which is approximately 46.1% higher than the industry average of 13.35 [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AEM's earnings implies a year-over-year rise of 82.3% for 2025 and 20.7% for 2026, with EPS estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [10]
Should AU Stock Be Part of Your Portfolio Post Q3 Results?
ZACKS· 2025-11-13 19:52
Core Insights - AngloGold Ashanti PLC (AU) shares reached a new 52-week high of $85.85, driven by strong third-quarter results, although revenues and earnings fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate [1][6] Financial Performance - The company reported a 17% year-over-year increase in gold production to 768,000 ounces in Q3, aided by the recently acquired Sukari mine and strong performances from key assets [5][7] - Gold revenues surged 61.9% to $2.37 billion, while earnings per share increased 136% to $1.32, despite missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.34 [6][9] - Total cash costs per ounce rose 5% to $1,225, and all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) increased 6% to $1,720, influenced by inflationary pressures [7][8] Cash Flow and Debt Management - The company generated a record $920 million in free cash flow in Q3, marking a 141% year-over-year increase, with an improved adjusted net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 0.09X [9] Future Guidance - AngloGold Ashanti reaffirmed its 2025 gold production guidance of 2.9-3.225 million ounces, indicating a year-over-year growth of 9-21% [10] Market Performance - Year-to-date, AngloGold Ashanti's stock has increased by 283.3%, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry, which rose 125.2% [2] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 13.36X, slightly above the industry average of 13.35X, reflecting its growth prospects [18] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on organic and inorganic growth, highlighted by the acquisition of Centamin, which added the Sukari asset, capable of producing 500,000 ounces annually [21] - Efforts are underway to enhance operations at the Obuasi mine, targeting 400,000 ounces of annual production by 2028 [22] - Recent acquisition of Augusta Gold Corp enhances AU's presence in Nevada [23] Analyst Outlook - Given the strong year-to-date performance and positive Q3 results, along with an optimistic 2025 outlook, AU is considered a solid investment opportunity, supported by a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [24]