Core Points - South Bow Corp. held its annual general meeting on May 15, 2025, where shareholders approved all resolutions presented [1][2] - The company appointed 11 board members with voting in favor ranging from 96.51% to 99.83% [1] - KPMG LLP was appointed as the company's auditors with 99.76% of votes in favor [2] - The approach to executive compensation was accepted with 95.95% of votes in favor [2] Company Overview - South Bow operates 4,900 kilometers (3,045 miles) of crude oil pipeline infrastructure, connecting Alberta crude oil supplies to U.S. refining markets [2] - The company is based in Calgary, Alberta, and is a spinoff from TC Energy, officially becoming a standalone entity on October 1, 2024 [2]

Group 1 - Pembina Pipeline reported revenue of $1.59 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a 39.2% increase year-over-year [1] - The company's EPS for the quarter was $0.56, slightly up from $0.54 in the same quarter last year [1] - Revenue fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.6 billion, resulting in a surprise of -0.48%, while EPS also missed the consensus estimate of $0.57 by -1.75% [1] Group 2 - Over the past month, Pembina Pipeline's shares returned +9.4%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +11.3% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market [3] Group 3 - Total pipeline volumes reached 2808 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, slightly above the average estimate of 2799.12 million barrels [4] - Conventional pipeline volumes were 1033 million barrels per day, compared to the average estimate of 1052.21 million barrels [4] - Transmission pipeline volumes were 740 million barrels per day, exceeding the average estimate of 707.5 million barrels [4] - Marketing & New Ventures volumes totaled 369 million barrels per day, significantly higher than the estimated 302.01 million barrels [4] - Facilities volumes for gas services were 619 million barrels per day, close to the estimate of 621.53 million barrels [4] - NGL services volumes were 277 million barrels per day, surpassing the average estimate of 264.34 million barrels [4]

Core Insights - Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) reported a revenue of $15.42 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 4.5% and a positive surprise of 9.42% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $14.09 billion [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $0.64, down from $0.66 in the same quarter last year, resulting in an EPS surprise of -7.25% against the consensus estimate of $0.69 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - NGL Pipelines & Services reported daily NGL fractionation volumes of 1,652 million barrels of oil, exceeding the average estimate of 1,613.15 million barrels [4] - Fee-based natural gas processing volumes were 7,181 million barrels of oil, surpassing the estimated 7,062.97 million barrels [4] - NGL pipeline transportation volumes were 4,447 million barrels of oil, slightly below the estimate of 4,458.61 million barrels [4] - Natural gas transportation volumes reached 20,310 BBtu/D, exceeding the average estimate of 20,175.16 BBtu/D [4] - Butane isomerization volumes were 114 million barrels of oil, below the estimate of 120.07 million barrels [4] - Propylene fractionation volumes were 113 million barrels of oil, above the estimate of 104.11 million barrels [4] - Octane enhancement and related plant sales volumes were 46 million barrels of oil, significantly exceeding the estimate of 31.03 million barrels [4] - Equity NGL production was 225 million barrels of oil, surpassing the estimate of 196.18 million barrels [4] Gross Operating Margins - Gross operating margin for NGL Pipelines & Services was $1.42 billion, slightly below the average estimate of $1.46 billion [4] - Gross operating margin for Petrochemical & Refined Products Services was $315 million, below the estimate of $352.84 million [4] - Gross operating margin for Natural Gas Pipelines & Services was $357 million, exceeding the estimate of $342.12 million [4] - Gross operating margin for Crude Oil Pipelines & Services was $374 million, below the estimate of $411.62 million [4] Stock Performance - Shares of Enterprise Products have returned +2.1% over the past month, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +11.3% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]

Core Viewpoint - South Bow Corp. has successfully restarted the Keystone Pipeline after receiving regulatory approval following an oil release incident on April 8, 2025, near Fort Ransom, North Dakota [1][3]. Group 1: Incident Response and Recovery - South Bow has repaired and replaced the affected pipeline section and has recovered most of the estimated 3,500 barrels of oil released, focusing on soil remediation [2]. - The company is committed to the safety of personnel and minimizing environmental risks, with continuous air quality monitoring showing no adverse health concerns [2]. - A Corrective Action Order was issued by PHMSA on April 11, 2025, requiring South Bow to implement specific corrective actions, which included a restart plan that has been approved [3]. Group 2: Regulatory Compliance and Operations - The Keystone Pipeline is now operating under certain pressure restrictions as mandated by PHMSA, and South Bow has also informed the Canada Energy Regulator about similar restrictions on the Canadian sections of the pipeline [3]. - The pipeline was operating within its design and regulatory approval requirements at the time of the incident [3]. - South Bow is actively engaging with regulators, local officials, landowners, and the community during the recovery process [2][3]. Group 3: Communication and Updates - South Bow will continue to provide updates regarding the incident and recovery efforts on its website [4].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - South Bow generated normalized EBITDA of $1.09 billion and distributable cash flow of $608 million in 2024 [13] - The company expects to generate normalized EBITDA of $1.01 billion in 2025, reflecting a range of 3% [15] - The net debt to normalized EBITDA ratio is forecasted to be approximately 4.8% by the end of 2025 [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - 90% of normalized EBITDA is secured through committed arrangements, minimizing commodity price or volumetric risk [14] - The marketing segment is expected to see a reduction of approximately $30 million year-over-year due to reduced activity and certain unwinds of positions [99] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - There is significant demand for uncommitted capacity on Keystone and continued strength in demand for capacity on the U.S. Gulf Coast segment [14] - The company has observed extreme demand in the Gulf Coast for heavy barrels out of Canada, indicating strong supply and demand fundamentals [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - South Bow aims to leverage existing infrastructure to deliver high returns for shareholders, with a focus on capital allocation priorities and risk management [10] - The company is committed to maintaining a sustainable dividend while strengthening its investment-grade financial position [10][17] - Future growth will be pursued within risk preferences, with a focus on optimizing existing corridors and enhancing contracted strategies [12][55] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's strong financial position entering 2025 and the ability to meet near-term deleveraging targets [16] - The ongoing uncertainty around tariffs may create headwinds for uncommitted capacity, but the company believes it can manage risks within its guidance [29] Other Important Information - The company received approval from PHMSA to lift pressure restrictions on a segment of the Keystone system, which is expected to improve operational efficiency [96] - The variable toll complaint process is ongoing, with decisions awaited from both Canadian and U.S. regulatory bodies [78] Q&A Session Summary Question: Discussion on open season and interest levels - Management noted that Western Canadian sedimentary basin has been egress constrained for years, but there is encouragement from both supply and demand fundamentals [22][24] Question: Changes in long-term debt-to-EBITDA target - Management confirmed a focus on deleveraging to reach a target of four times by 2028, emphasizing the importance of maintaining a strong balance sheet [26] Question: Guidance on tariffs and downside risks - Management indicated that 90% of EBITDA is contracted, allowing for stability despite market uncertainties, and they believe they can manage risks within a 3% range [28][29] Question: Future growth opportunities and recapitalized optionality - Management highlighted the importance of leveraging existing infrastructure and optimizing capital investments to support growth [39][40] Question: Marketing strategy and market conditions - Management is shifting towards a more contracted marketing strategy to mitigate volatility and improve shareholder value [71][106] Question: PHMSA approval impact on capacity - Management stated that the approval will enhance operational efficiency but did not provide specific throughput increases at this time [97] Question: Long-term EBITDA growth outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving a 2% to 3% growth rate, driven by increased delivery points and capturing additional volumes [87][106]