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Relative Price Strength: A Smart Strategy Amid Market Turmoil
ZACKSยท 2025-03-13 13:20
Market Overview - The U.S. stock market experienced a downturn in early 2025 after a strong performance in 2023 and 2024, with the S&P 500 dropping 1.4% in February and continuing losses into March [1] - Investors are concerned about the economic effects of Trump's tariff policies, which may lead to inflation and hinder growth [1] - The Atlanta Fed forecasts a 2.8% contraction in the first quarter of 2025, raising recession concerns [1] Investment Strategy - In the current uncertain market, focusing on relative price strength is a beneficial strategy for investors, as stocks with strong fundamentals tend to perform better when market sentiment stabilizes [2] - Identifying stocks that have shown resilience during market turbulence can help investors position for potential upside while managing risks [2] Recommended Stocks - Stocks recommended based on their relative price strength include Ooma, Inc. (OOMA), ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ANIP), Matson, Inc. (MATX), Virtu Financial, Inc. (VIRT), and EverQuote, Inc. (EVER) [3] Screening Parameters - The screening criteria for selecting stocks include: - Relative price change over 12 weeks, 4 weeks, and 1 week being greater than 0 [8] - Positive current-quarter estimate revisions over the last four weeks [8] - Zacks Rank equal to 1, indicating strong buy potential [9] - Current price of at least $5 and average 20-day volume of at least 50,000 [10] Company Performance Highlights - **Ooma, Inc. (OOMA)**: Expected earnings growth of 13.6% for fiscal 2026, with a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of approximately 18% and a share price increase of 59.3% over the past year [10][11] - **ANI Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ANIP)**: Projected earnings growth of 21.4% for 2025, with a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of about 17.3%, although shares have declined by 4.4% in the past year [11][12] - **Matson, Inc. (MATX)**: Current market capitalization of $4.3 billion, with a 20.6% upward revision in earnings estimates for 2025 and a share price increase of 23.7% over the past year [12][13] - **Virtu Financial, Inc. (VIRT)**: Expected earnings growth of 3.9% for 2025, with a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of roughly 25.1% and a share price increase of 84.8% over the past year [14][15] - **EverQuote, Inc. (EVER)**: Anticipated earnings growth of 34.1% for 2025, with a significant 47.5% increase in earnings estimates over the past 60 days and a share price increase of 36.4% over the past year [15][16]