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Bear of the Day: Generac (GNRC)
ZACKS· 2026-01-28 12:21
Core Insights - Generac Holdings (GNRC) is a leading manufacturer of power generation equipment, focusing on backup power solutions due to rising demand from outages, data centers, and electrification trends [1] Revenue Segments - In 2024, Generac's revenue reached $4.3 billion, with Residential products contributing 56-57% ($2.4 billion), Commercial & Industrial (C&I) at 32% ($1.4 billion), and Other products/services at 11% [2] - Domestic sales account for 84% of total sales, while international sales make up 16% [2] - The trailing twelve months (TTM) revenue through mid-2025 stands at $4.41 billion, but fiscal year 2025 revenues are projected to remain flat near $4.3 billion [2] Growth Rates - Revenue grew by 6.8% in 2024 after an 11.9% decline in 2023, with TTM growth at 9.7% [3] - Residential products averaged 9.5% year-over-year growth over two years, while C&I experienced a 2.2% decline [3] - Analysts project a 7.7% revenue growth over the next year, with flat sales expected in 2025 amid weak outages [3] - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise by 15.8% to $7.54, but the Zacks consensus for 2025 projects EPS at $6.61, indicating a 9% annual drop [3] Q3 Report Displays the Weakness - In Q3 2025, Generac reported adjusted EPS of $1.83, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.25 by 18% [4] - Net sales were $1.11 billion, down 5% from $1.17 billion in the prior-year quarter, also missing the consensus estimate of $1.2 billion [4] Demand and Backlog - Management views data center power as a "generational opportunity," with potential to double C&I sales over the next three to five years due to hyperscale and AI-driven capacity build-out [8] - The order backlog for large megawatt generators has roughly doubled in recent quarters, although fewer power outages have kept sales flat in 2025 [8][9] Adjusted Expectations - Due to a weak power outage environment, management has revised its expectations for 2025, now forecasting flat revenues compared to earlier guidance of a 2-5% increase [6] - Net income margin is now expected to be 6%, down from the previous guidance of 7.5-8.5% [7] - Adjusted EBITDA margin is estimated at 17%, compared to the previous range of 18% to 19% [7] - Free cash flow conversion from adjusted net income is now expected to be 80%, down from the previous guidance of 90% to 100% [7] Customers, Partners, and Competition - Key customers include residential homeowners and C&I clients like data centers [10] - Generac has acquired a manufacturing site in Sussex, WI, to expand C&I production, which is crucial for long-term growth [11] - Bloom Energy (BE) is emerging as a competitor with its solid oxide fuel cells targeting data centers, posing indirect competition to Generac's combustion generators [12][14]
Constellation Energy (CEG) Price Target Lowered by $15, ‘Overweight’ Rating Maintained
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-28 11:45
Core Insights - Constellation Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:CEG) experienced a share price decline of 6.06% from January 16 to January 23, 2026, ranking among the energy stocks that lost the most during that week [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Constellation Energy is the largest private-sector power producer and clean energy producer in the United States, as well as the leading operator of nuclear power plants [2] - The company has been recognized as a key player in supporting the AI boom, having signed multiple long-term Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) with hyperscalers, and achieved a gain of nearly 58%, ranking among the 10 Best Performing Utility Stocks in 2025 [5] Group 2: Analyst Insights - Wells Fargo analyst Shahriar Pourreza reduced the price target for Constellation Energy from $478 to $460 while maintaining an 'Overweight' rating, indicating a potential upside of 59% from the current share price [3] - The firm continues to view Constellation as rich with catalysts, highlighting asset opportunities and multiple deals in the pipeline [3] Group 3: Regulatory Developments - On January 17, the President's National Energy Dominance Council (NEDC) signed an agreement with regional governors to address rising electricity prices due to increased demand from data centers, aiming to cap charges in the PJM capacity market and promote affordable electricity for residential customers [4]
Generac Announces Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Earnings Release Date and Conference Call
Globenewswire· 2026-01-28 11:00
Core Viewpoint - Generac Holdings Inc. is set to release its fourth quarter and full-year 2025 financial results on February 11, 2026, with a conference call scheduled for 10:00 a.m. EST to discuss the earnings highlights [1]. Company Overview - Generac is a total energy solutions company founded in 1959, recognized as a leading global designer, manufacturer, and provider of energy technology solutions [3]. - The company offers a wide range of products including power generation equipment, energy storage systems, and energy management devices, catering to residential, light commercial, and industrial markets [3]. - Generac pioneered the affordable backup generator and established the automatic home standby generator category, continuing to expand its energy technology offerings to promote more resilient and sustainable energy solutions [3].
GE Vernova Gears Up For Q4 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts
Benzinga· 2026-01-28 07:48
Core Viewpoint - GE Vernova Inc. is expected to report significant earnings growth in the fourth quarter, with earnings per share projected to rise to $3.13 from $1.73 year-over-year, despite a slight decline in quarterly revenue expectations [1]. Group 1: Earnings and Revenue Expectations - GE Vernova is anticipated to release its fourth-quarter earnings on January 28, with expected earnings of $3.13 per share, an increase from $1.73 per share in the same quarter last year [1]. - The consensus estimate for quarterly revenue is $10.22 billion, down from $10.56 billion reported in the previous year [1]. Group 2: Recent Company Developments - On December 9, GE Vernova raised its FY28 outlook, increased its dividend, and expanded its buyback authorization, leading to a 4% increase in share price, closing at $692.70 [2]. Group 3: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Citigroup analyst Andrew Kaplowitz maintained a Neutral rating and raised the price target from $658 to $708 [3]. - GLJ Research analyst Austin Wang maintained a Buy rating and increased the price target from $758 to $1,087 [3]. - Baird analyst Ben Kallo downgraded the stock from Outperform to Neutral, cutting the price target from $816 to $649 [3]. - Barclays analyst Julian Mitchell maintained an Overweight rating and raised the price target from $800 to $830 [3]. - RBC Capital analyst Christopher Dendrinos maintained an Outperform rating with a price target of $761 [3].
GE Vernova (NYSE:GEV) Quarterly Earnings Preview
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-01-28 02:00
Core Viewpoint - GE Vernova (NYSE:GEV) is set to release its quarterly earnings on January 28, 2026, with a focus on advanced technology and services in the energy sector, particularly in power generation and renewable energy [1] Earnings Expectations - Wall Street estimates GEV's earnings per share (EPS) to be $3.03, reflecting a significant year-over-year growth of 75.14% [2] - Despite the anticipated EPS growth, GEV's revenue is projected to decline by 4.91% to $10.04 billion due to challenges in the energy sector [3][6] Financial Metrics - GEV has a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 110.94, indicating a premium valuation by investors [5][6] - The price-to-sales ratio is about 5.01, and the enterprise value to sales ratio is approximately 4.79, reflecting the market's valuation of the company relative to its sales [5] - The current ratio of 1.03 suggests a modest level of short-term financial health [5] Analyst Revisions - Analysts have revised the consensus EPS estimate downward by 3.4% over the past month, which can impact investor reactions to the stock [4]
TransAlta to Host Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results Conference Call
Globenewswire· 2026-01-27 23:47
Core Viewpoint - TransAlta Corporation will release its fourth quarter and full year 2025 results on February 27, 2026, and will hold a conference call to discuss these results and the 2026 annual guidance [1]. Group 1: Conference Call Details - The conference call will begin at 9:00 a.m. Mountain Time (11:00 a.m. ET) on the same day as the results release [1]. - A webcast link for the conference call is provided, and participants can register in advance to access the call via telephone [2]. Group 2: Company Overview - TransAlta operates a diverse fleet of electrical power generation assets in Canada, the U.S., and Australia, focusing on long-term shareholder value [4]. - The company is one of Canada's largest independent producers of wind power and thermal generation, and the largest producer of hydro-electric power in Alberta [4]. - TransAlta has achieved a 70% reduction in GHG emissions, equating to 22.7 million tonnes CO2e since 2015, and has received an upgraded MSCI ESG rating of AA [4].
Solaris Energy Infrastructure Schedules Full Year and Fourth Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call
Businesswire· 2026-01-27 23:26
Core Viewpoint - Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc. will host a conference call to discuss its full year and fourth quarter 2025 results on February 25, 2026 [1] Group 1: Conference Call Details - The conference call is scheduled for 8:00 a.m. Central Time (9:00 a.m. Eastern Time) [1] - The earnings release will be issued after the market closes on February 24, 2026 [1] - Participants can join the call by dialing (844) 413-3978 within the U.S. or (412) 317-6594 from outside the U.S. [2] Group 2: Replay Information - An audio replay of the conference call will be available shortly after the call and will remain accessible for approximately seven days [3] - The replay can be accessed by dialing (855) 669-9658 within the U.S. or (412) 317-0088 from outside the U.S. [3] - The conference call replay access code is 1195904 [3] Group 3: Company Overview - Solaris Energy Infrastructure, Inc. provides mobile and scalable equipment-based solutions for distributed power generation and management of raw materials in oil and natural gas well completion [4] - The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas, and serves multiple U.S. end markets, including energy, data centers, and other commercial and industrial sectors [4]
NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE: NRG) Acquisition and Price Target Update
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-01-27 22:05
Core Viewpoint - NRG Energy, Inc. is positioned for growth following the successful acquisition of a portfolio from LS Power, which is expected to enhance its market position and financial performance [2][3]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - NRG has obtained all necessary regulatory approvals for its acquisition of 18 natural gas generation facilities and a commercial and industrial virtual power plant platform from LS Power [2][3]. - The U.S. Department of Justice granted antitrust clearance for this acquisition on January 23, 2026, following approvals from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission and the New York State Public Service Commission [3]. Group 2: Market Performance - NRG's current stock price is $153.11, reflecting an increase of 2.12% or $3.18, with fluctuations between a low of $149.32 and a high of $153.89 on the same day [4]. - Over the past year, NRG's stock has experienced significant volatility, reaching a high of $180.54 and a low of $79.57 [4][6]. - The company's market capitalization is approximately $29.34 billion, with a trading volume of 409,137 shares [5]. Group 3: Analyst Outlook - Jefferies has set a price target of $181 for NRG, indicating a potential increase of about 18.3% from its current price [2][6]. - The positive price target and the recent acquisition could attract more investors, potentially increasing NRG's trading volume and market capitalization in the future [5].
AES Announces Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2025 Financial Review Conference Call to be Held on Friday, February 27, 2026 at 10:00 a.m. ET
Prnewswire· 2026-01-27 22:00
Core Viewpoint - The AES Corporation will host a conference call on February 27, 2026, to discuss its fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results [1] Group 1: Conference Call Details - The conference call will include prepared remarks and a question and answer session, accessible to the media and public in listen-only mode [2] - Interested parties can join the call by dialing specific numbers provided for both domestic and international callers, with a Participant Access Code [2] - The call will be available via webcast on the AES website, with a replay accessible shortly after the call [2] Group 2: Company Overview - The AES Corporation is a Fortune 500 global energy company focused on delivering greener and smarter energy solutions [3] - The company emphasizes continuous innovation and operational excellence while partnering with customers for strategic energy transitions [3]
Clayton Allison's Top Picks in ETN, NEE & AVGO Amid Historic AI Buildout
Youtube· 2026-01-27 20:00
Core Viewpoint - The technology sector, particularly mega-cap tech companies, is expected to lead the market in 2026, driven by significant capital expenditure (capex) in data center infrastructure and AI advancements [1][3]. Technology Sector Insights - The semiconductor companies, especially those involved in AI, are anticipated to be at the forefront of this trend, with ongoing investments in data center infrastructure [2][4]. - The focus is shifting towards the entire supply chain of infrastructure buildout, which includes power generation, management, cooling, and connectivity, rather than solely on chip makers [4][5]. Investment Opportunities - Companies like NextEra, Broadcom, and Eaton are highlighted as key players in the infrastructure buildout, with Eaton being particularly noted for its role in power management for data centers [6][7][10]. - Eaton's competitive positioning is strengthened by its partnerships with chipmakers like Nvidia, which enhances the design and management of data center infrastructure [10]. Market Dynamics - Nvidia remains a significant player in the AI chip market, but there is a growing conviction in other companies like Broadcom as secondary beneficiaries of the AI trend [11][12]. - Meta is expected to surprise positively in its upcoming earnings report due to its heavy investments in data infrastructure, despite being perceived as underperforming recently [14].