Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed down by 0.34% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 0.15% [1] Company Specifics - Pop Mart International, known for its collectible toys, saw a decline of 6% in its stock price [1] - Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group experienced a drop of 7.3% in its stock price [1]

Market Overview - The US stock market saw gains with the Dow Jones up 0.77%, S&P 500 up 0.9%, and Nasdaq up 1.5% [3] - European indices also closed higher, with Germany's DAX30 up 0.78%, UK's FTSE 100 up 0.28%, and France's CAC40 up 0.75% [3] - Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose 0.7% to 24060.99 points, with significant activity in oil and gas stocks [4] Commodity Prices - Spot gold decreased by 1.4% to $3385.30 per ounce, while spot silver increased slightly by 0.06% to $36.32 per ounce [5] - WTI crude oil fell by 4.01% to $69.99 per barrel, and Brent crude oil dropped by 2.61% to $72.44 per barrel [5] Economic Indicators - In May, China's retail sales grew by 6.4% year-on-year, and the industrial added value increased by 5.8% [11] - The unemployment rate in urban areas was reported at 5.0% [11] Corporate Developments - Meituan plans to repurchase shares worth between 5 billion to 10 billion yuan [11] - Hong Kong Monetary Authority is set to expedite the processing of stablecoin license applications [11]

Group 1: Market Trends - The Shanghai Composite Index and ChiNext Index have shown significant fluctuations over the past year, with the Shanghai Composite Index experiencing a decline of 32% and the ChiNext Index a decline of 16% [1] - In the past week, the top-performing sectors included Communication (+2.105%), Computer (+1.987%), Real Estate (+1.849%), and Comprehensive (+1.755%) [4][2] Group 2: Real Estate Sector Insights - In May 2025, the sales area of commercial housing nationwide was 353 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 2.9%, while the sales amount was 3.41 trillion yuan, down 3.8% year-on-year [36] - New housing prices in first-tier cities showed a mixed trend, with Shanghai and Hangzhou leading in price increases, while second-hand housing prices continued to decline [11][10] - The real estate market is gradually stabilizing, with expectations for a weak recovery trend supported by improved marketing efforts and supply increases [40] Group 3: Consumer Market Dynamics - In May 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 4.1326 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.4%, indicating a positive trend in social consumption [30] - The online retail sector showed growth, with a total online retail sales of 604.02 billion yuan from January to May 2025, up 8.5% year-on-year [33] - The consumer market is witnessing a recovery, particularly in discretionary spending categories such as home appliances, which saw a significant year-on-year increase of 53% [31] Group 4: Gaming Industry Outlook - The gaming market in China reached a scale of 857.04 billion yuan in Q1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 17.99% [24] - New game releases have performed well, with several titles achieving high rankings in the iOS game charts, indicating strong market demand [27] - Policy support for the gaming industry, particularly for international expansion, is expected to enhance the competitiveness of domestic gaming products [28] Group 5: Automotive Industry Developments - Several automotive companies are committing to optimize supplier payment terms, which is expected to promote a healthier industry environment [41] - The domestic automotive market is experiencing intense competition, particularly in the luxury segment, where companies are expected to achieve better profitability [41] - The trend towards intelligent driving and the development of high-growth component companies are anticipated to create significant opportunities in the automotive sector [43] Group 6: Financial Sector Analysis - In May 2025, new RMB loans increased by 620 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 330 billion yuan, indicating a slowdown in credit growth [45] - The total social financing in May was 2.28 trillion yuan, with government bonds contributing significantly to this growth [46] - The banking sector is expected to benefit from stable dividend strategies and improved credit conditions, with recommendations for specific banks to capitalize on these trends [48]

小米集团-W(01810)表现亮眼。截至收盘，涨4.23%，报54.15港元，成交额118.49亿港元，贡献恒指 62.92点。小米集团董事长兼CEO雷军今早发布微博称，小米yu7将于6月底发布。还有很多重磅新品同 场一起发布，比如搭载玄戒O1芯片的第二款平板：小米平板7S Pro。 其他蓝筹股方面，周大福(01929)涨6.03%，报113.72港元，贡献恒指2.45点；恒基地产(00012)涨4.67%， 报26.9港元，贡献恒指2.79点；中国生物制药(01177)跌3.83%，报5.28港元，拖累恒指3.47点；紫金矿业 (02899)跌2.79%，报19.54港元，拖累恒指4.99点。 热门板块方面 智通财经APP获悉，港股今日低开高走，三大指数午后涨幅进一步扩大，恒指重返两万四关口，恒科指 涨幅则超1%。截止收盘，恒生指数涨0.7%或168.43点，报24060.99点，全日成交额为2292.41亿港元； 恒生国企指数涨0.86%，报8729.99点；恒生科技指数涨1.15%，报5299.91点。 华泰证券指出，利率、风险溢价和盈利三因素视角下市场或缺乏短期大幅上行的基础，叠加3Q全球经 济和地缘 ...

Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose by 0.7%, closing at 24,060.99 points [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 1.15%, ending at 5,299.91 points [1] - The total market turnover reached 229.24 billion HKD [1] Sector Performance - Oil and gas stocks continued to perform well, with low-priced oil and gas stocks showing significant gains [1] - Stablecoin concept stocks and IP economy concept stocks were active, while real estate stocks strengthened [1] - Gold stocks and pharmaceutical outsourcing concept stocks declined [1] Notable Stock Movements - Kingsoft Corporation (03888.HK) surged over 11% [1] - Chow Tai Fook (01929.HK) increased by 6% [1] - Henderson Land Development (01929.HK), China Resources Mixc Lifestyle (01209.HK), and Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) all rose over 4% [1] - WuXi Biologics (02269.HK) fell by 5.36% [1] Low-Priced Oil and Gas Stocks - Jixing New Energy (03395.HK) skyrocketed by 200% [1] - Baikin Oilfield Services (02178.HK) rose by 66.67% [1] - Yanchang Petroleum International (00346.HK) increased by 35.56% [1] - Shandong Molong Petroleum Machinery (00568.HK) gained 32.67% [1]

6月16日，恒生指数、恒生科技指数集体低开，盘中回升，中证港股通消费主题人民币指数(931455.CSI) 下跌0.43%，该指数成分股中，周大福上涨超4%，中国儒意、农夫山泉上涨超3%，中国飞鹤与小米集 团-W上涨超1%。 东莞证券表示，关注6月底前政策落地情况。6月仍有多个重要会议，比如6月18至19日召开的陆家嘴论 坛，有望为当前结构性行情提供支持，短期A股有望维持震荡抬升基本格局。关注科技自主可控、消费 升级等领域，以及大金融、红利、重组概念等国家队增持方向。 相关ETF方面，港股消费ETF（159735）低开高走，截至发稿上涨0.5%，涨幅暂居同标的第1名，成交 额为282.87万元，暂居同标的第1名，实时溢价率为0.14%。资金流向方面，该ETF上个交易日(6月13日) 净流入额为162.01万元，截至上个交易日，已连续2个交易日获资金净流入，累计净流入额为244.98万 元。该ETF最新流通份额为7.77亿份，最新流通规模为6.29亿元。 港股消费ETF（159735）跟踪中证港股通消费主题指数，该指数选取港股通范围内流动性较好、市值较 大的50只消费主题相关股票组成指数样本，采用自由流通市值加 ...

Core Viewpoint - Chow Tai Fook's financial performance for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, shows a significant decline in revenue and net profit, reflecting challenges in the jewelry retail sector amid global economic uncertainties and fluctuating gold prices [2][5]. Financial Performance - Chow Tai Fook reported a 17.5% year-on-year decline in revenue to HKD 89.656 billion and an 8.97% decrease in net profit to HKD 5.916 billion for the fiscal year [2]. - Same-store sales in mainland China fell by 19.4%, while sales in Hong Kong and Macau dropped by 26.1% [2]. Market Conditions - The jewelry retail sector is under pressure due to global economic uncertainties, changes in consumer behavior, and ongoing fluctuations in gold prices [5]. - Despite the revenue decline, Chow Tai Fook's operating profit increased by 9.8% to HKD 14.746 billion, with a gross margin expansion of 550 basis points to 29.5% [5]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively optimizing its store structure by closing underperforming locations, with a net closure of 896 retail stores in mainland China, bringing the total to 6,274 [7]. - Chow Tai Fook plans to open approximately 20 new high-profile stores in mainland China and Hong Kong in the current fiscal year [8]. Product Development - The company is focusing on enhancing the design premium and craftsmanship of its gold products, with a 29.4% decline in revenue from gold products due to price volatility, while revenue from priced gold products surged by 105.5% [10]. - The launch of the high-end jewelry series "Timeless Harmony" marks a significant step in Chow Tai Fook's transition into the high-end jewelry market [10]. Competitive Landscape - Chow Tai Fook faces increasing competition from emerging players like Lao Pu Gold, which reported a 166% increase in revenue and a 254% rise in net profit [12]. - The company maintains a leading market share and diverse product offerings, emphasizing its long-standing history and comprehensive supply chain as competitive advantages [14].

【固收】促信贷还有"撒手锏"——2025年6月13日利率债观察 众所周知，地方政府隐性债务置换是用成本低、期限长的地方政府债券来置换成本高、剩余期限短的债 务，这有利于纾解债务链条，让地方政府卸下包袱，轻装上阵。所以，在地方政府隐性债务置换阶段，虽 然信贷增长的速度并不高，但这不意味着信贷支持实体经济力度出现了下降，反而是有利于经济增长的。 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 今 日 聚 焦 2025 年 4 月 7 日至 6 月 12 日期间， AI 芯片龙头公司英伟达 /AMD/ 博通累计上涨 54%/38%/75% （ vs 纳斯达克指数累计上涨 26% ），北美 AI 板块股价表现强劲， AI 相关利好频出。 （张旭） 2025-06-13 您可点击今日推送内容的 ...

老美是坚决反对伊L自制核武的，所以他们坚决不允许伊L哪怕拥有1%的浓缩铀。 最近 两国还因为伊L是否彻底放弃核能力开始了谈判 ， 美国当然是希望完全把伊L的核能力彻底阉割掉，但是伊L则坚持拥有铀浓缩能力是底线，两家没 有彻底谈拢，谈判进展不顺利。 黑天鹅事件来了！ 今天， 以S列 突然袭 击伊L ，不稳定的国际局势，再添一把柴火。 中东现在是全球最大的火药桶，冲突从未停止，而且随时有加剧的可能。 大家应该都留意到了，中东近几年的冲突，搞事情的一直都是以S列。 而以S列的背后是谁？ 其实大家都很清楚，就是 老美 。 没有老美撑腰，被伊斯兰国家包围的小国以S列根本不可能这么穷兵黩武。 袭击之后伊L那边也说了，以S列是在老美的支持下对伊L发动的袭击。 美国想动伊L，主要有两个方面的考虑： 一方面，是为了核安全。 既然没有谈拢，弱的不行就来硬的。 老美自己不动手，就放开掣肘让以S列干。 毕竟相比老美，其实 以S列更忌惮伊L的核能力 ，因为伊L只要拥有小型核武器，就能打到以S列 的本土，所以他们动手的决心甚至超过老美。 而且别忘了，老美在中东各国至少有64个军事基地，这些基地其实就是以S列出手的底气。 一边谈判一边打， ...

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 0.59% to close at 23,959 points, breaking below the 24,000 mark [1] - The market opened lower and saw a brief recovery, reaching a high of 24,100 points before facing increased selling pressure [1] - The market's trading volume was recorded at 294.28 billion HKD [1] Sector Performance - Strong performances were noted in sectors such as gold, oil and gas equipment, and military stocks [1] - Conversely, sectors including Chinese brokerage firms, electronic components, and film and entertainment stocks saw declines [1] - The automotive sector continued its downward trend, while rare earth and biopharmaceutical stocks experienced corrections [1] Notable Stock Movements - Individual stocks such as Yunfeng Financial (003763.HK) dropped nearly 17%, and Genscript Biotech (01952.HK) fell over 12% [1] - Xpeng Motors (09868.HK) and Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) both saw declines of around 5% [1] - On the upside, Shandong Molong (00568.HK) surged over 75%, while Chow Tai Fook (01929.HK) and Orient Overseas International (00316.HK) rose by over 5% and 4%, respectively [1]