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Alphabet: Is This the Greatest Business Ever Built?
ZACKS· 2026-02-05 19:50
Core Insights - Alphabet's quarterly report highlights its strong market position, showcasing durable growth and competitive advantages across various business segments [1][2][4] Financial Performance - Alphabet reported a revenue increase of 18%, with annual sales exceeding $400 billion for the first time, driven by digital advertising, cloud computing, and AI initiatives [2] - The Search segment experienced a 17% growth, indicating that generative AI is enhancing user engagement rather than disrupting the core business [8][9] - Google Cloud achieved a remarkable 48% growth rate, indicating strong enterprise demand tied to AI workloads [10] Strategic Investments - The company has outlined an aggressive spending plan for AI infrastructure, with capital expenditures projected between $175 billion and $185 billion for 2026, reflecting its commitment to leading in AI development [3][13] - Alphabet's balance sheet remains strong, although it has taken on approximately $25 billion in additional debt to support its growth initiatives [14] Market Positioning - Alphabet has transitioned from being viewed as an undervalued opportunity to a premium stock, trading at around 30.1x forward earnings, which is competitive compared to peers like Nvidia and Apple [6] - The company has outperformed most of its "Magnificent Seven" counterparts, indicating a strong competitive position in the technology sector [5] Business Segments - YouTube has generated over $60 billion in annual revenue, with 325 million paid subscriptions, showcasing the strength and durability of Alphabet's ecosystem [12] - The Gemini app has gained traction with approximately 750 million monthly active users, processing around 10 billion tokens per minute through its API, highlighting Alphabet's advancements in generative AI [11]
Alphabet's Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Increase Y/Y
ZACKS· 2026-02-05 19:25
Core Insights - Alphabet's fourth-quarter 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $2.82 exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 9.73% and represented a 31.2% increase year over year [1] Revenue Performance - Total revenues reached $113.8 billion, marking an 18% year-over-year increase (17% at constant currency) [2] - Net revenues, excluding traffic acquisition costs (TAC), were $97.23 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate by 2.58% and increasing 19.1% year over year [2] - TAC amounted to $16.59 billion, growing 11.8% year over year [2] Segment Analysis - Google Services revenues rose 14% year over year to $95.86 billion, accounting for 84.2% of total revenues and beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.31% [3] - Google Cloud revenues surged 47.8% year over year to $17.66 billion, representing 15.5% of total revenues for the quarter and exceeding the consensus estimate by 8.70% [3] - Search and other revenues increased 16.7% year over year to $63.07 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate by 2.94% [4] - YouTube's advertising revenues improved 8.7% year over year to $11.38 billion, although it missed the consensus mark by 3.70% [5] - Google advertising revenues increased 13.6% year over year to $82.28 billion, accounting for 72.3% of total revenues and beating the consensus mark by 1.62% [6] - Google subscriptions, platforms, and devices revenues were $13.57 billion, up 16.7% year over year, but missed the consensus mark by 0.49% [7] Cloud and AI Adoption - Google Cloud ended the quarter with a backlog of $240 billion, up 55% sequentially, with nearly 75% of customers utilizing AI products [8] - Revenues from products built on Alphabet's generative AI models grew over 400% year over year, indicating strong adoption [10] Operating Performance - Fourth-quarter costs and operating expenses were $77.89 billion, up 18.9% year over year, with an operating margin of 31.6%, contracting 50 basis points year over year [12] - Google Services' operating margin expanded 280 basis points year over year to 41.9% [12] Financial Position - As of December 31, 2025, cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaled $1.26 billion, up from $98.5 billion as of September 30, 2025 [14] - Long-term debt increased to $46.54 billion as of December 31, 2025, compared to $21.61 billion as of September 30, 2025 [14] - Alphabet generated $52.4 billion in cash from operations in the fourth quarter, with capital expenditures of $27.85 billion, resulting in a free cash flow of $24.55 billion [15] Capital Expenditure Guidance - For 2026, Alphabet expects capital expenditures to range between $175 billion and $185 billion, indicating a significant increase [16]
GOOGL Results "Phenomenal," Massive 2026 CapEx Opportunities in Risks
Youtube· 2026-02-05 19:00
And it's time now for our 360 round. Our panel will be joining us to discuss Alphabet. The company slipping this morning despite an earnings beat.Investors keying in on this massive jump in AI spending. The company says it plans to spend more than double its capback spending to as much as $185 billion this year. That's largely due to build out this AI data center capacity.It's an aggressive investment. It's overshadowing some strong fundamentals, including record annual sales that were above $400 billion fo ...
As Alphabet Plunges Below Its 50-Day MA, Should You Buy the Dip in GOOGL Stock?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-05 18:46
Alphabet (GOOG) (GOOGL) stock is sliding this morning after a slight YouTube miss and aggressive capex guidance overshadowed the company’s overall better-than-expected financials for its fiscal Q4. The post-earnings dip made GOOGL slip below its 50-day moving average (MA) today, signaling that downward momentum may sustain in the near term. More News from Barchart Despite the recent decline, however, Google shares remain up more than 100% versus their 52-week low. www.barchart.com Why Capex Guidance ...
Alphabet: The Tech Conglomerate To Own
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-05 17:22
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes a Strong Buy thesis on Alphabet Inc. (Google) following its latest quarterly earnings release, highlighting the importance of reviewing undervalued companies with strong fundamentals and cash flows [1]. Group 1: Investment Focus - The company focuses on analyzing undervalued and disliked sectors, particularly Oil & Gas and consumer goods, which have strong fundamentals and good cash flows [1]. - Energy Transfer is identified as a company that was previously overlooked but now shows potential for substantial returns [1]. - The investment strategy leans towards long-term value investing while also exploring deal arbitrage opportunities in various sectors [1]. Group 2: Personal Investment Philosophy - The company tends to avoid investments in high-tech businesses or certain consumer goods that are not well understood, such as fashion [1]. - There is skepticism towards cryptocurrencies, indicating a preference for more traditional investment avenues [1]. Group 3: Community Engagement - The company aims to connect with like-minded investors through platforms like Seeking Alpha, sharing insights and fostering a collaborative community focused on informed decision-making [1].
ETFs to Watch as Alphabet Reports Q4 Earnings
ZACKS· 2026-02-05 16:51
Core Insights - Alphabet (GOOGL) reported fourth-quarter 2025 earnings of $2.82 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.57 by 9.73% and showing a 31.16% increase from $2.15 per share in the same period last year [1] - Despite strong earnings, GOOGL shares fell approximately 3% in extended trading and 2.63% in pre-market trading on February 5, primarily due to the forecasted capital expenditure (capex) for 2026 of $175 to $185 billion, which represents more than double the capex from the previous year [2][10] Financial Performance - Alphabet's revenues for Q4 2025 reached $97.23 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $94.79 billion by 2.58% and marking a 19.12% increase from the year-ago quarter [4] - The company's net income for the quarter surged to $34.46 billion, a 30.0% increase from the previous year, while the total net income for 2025 reached $132.17 billion, up 32.01% from 2024 [4] - Operating income for Q4 was $35.94 billion, reflecting a 16.02% increase year-over-year, with total operating income for 2025 reaching $129.04 billion, a 14.81% increase from 2024 [5] Segment Performance - Google advertising revenues in Q4 reached $82.28 billion, up 13.56% from the previous year, with revenues from Google Search & other increasing to $63.07 billion, a rise of 16.73% [6] - Revenues from Google Services increased by 13.99% year-over-year to $95.86 billion, with operating income from this segment reaching $40.13 billion, a 22.22% increase from the prior year [7] - The Google Cloud business saw significant growth, with revenues rising 47.75% year-over-year to $17.66 billion and operating income increasing by 153.45% to $5.31 billion, driven by advancements in AI Infrastructure and enterprise AI Solutions [8] Market Outlook - Alphabet has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.27 on a scale of 1 to 5, indicating a strong buy sentiment among analysts, with 83.93% of recommendations classified as Strong Buy and Buy [9][11] - The average price target for Alphabet, based on short-term estimates from 53 analysts, is $347.02, representing a 4.19% increase from the last closing price of $333.04 [12] ETF Exposure - Several ETFs have significant exposure to Alphabet, including Global X PureCap MSCI Communication Services ETF (29.38%), Fidelity MSCI Communication Services Index ETF (14.75%), Vanguard Communication Services ETF (13.98%), iShares Global Comm Services ETF (12.74%), and Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (11.45%) [13]
Alphabet stock is falling on its CapEx guidance, but this analyst says "it's still a great story"
Youtube· 2026-02-05 16:44
Core Insights - Alphabet plans to nearly double its capital expenditure (capex) this year, forecasting spending between $175 billion and $185 billion, driven by AI investments that are enhancing revenue and growth across its operations [1][3] - The market reaction to the spending announcement has been mixed, with a decline in stock price attributed to investor expectations not aligning with the company's guidance [2][4] Capital Expenditure and Revenue Growth - The midpoint of Alphabet's capex guidance at $180 billion is significantly higher than previous forecasts, with sell-side consensus at $115 billion and investor expectations around $130 billion [3] - Despite the increase in capex, Alphabet is still facing capacity constraints due to strong demand in cloud and search services, indicating robust growth potential in AI offerings [3] AI and Cloud Performance - Alphabet's cloud revenue has seen substantial acceleration, attributed to AI demand and investments, with core search business growth also exceeding street estimates [4][5] - The Gemini suite of AI models is positioned as a leading technology, contributing to increased engagement and performance in both consumer and enterprise segments [4][8] User Engagement and Enterprise Growth - The Gemini app has reached 750 million monthly active users, up from 650 million, indicating rising engagement levels [7] - There are 8 million paid users on Gemini Enterprise, showcasing the model's effectiveness in driving enterprise growth [6] Strategic Partnerships and Future Outlook - Alphabet's partnership with Apple to build foundation models off the Gemini suite enhances its enterprise capabilities and creates additional growth opportunities [8] - The company is expected to continue modest headcount growth, leveraging AI for productivity gains rather than significant job cuts [11][12] Autonomous Vehicle Segment - Whimo, Alphabet's autonomous vehicle technology, is expanding its market presence, recently launching in Miami and aiming for a broader rollout in the U.S. and internationally [14][15] - Although Whimo currently represents a small portion of Alphabet's overall valuation, its long-term growth potential in the ride-sharing industry is significant [15] Market Sentiment and Execution - The current tech selloff is impacting Alphabet's stock, but the fundamentals of the company remain strong, with a focus on execution and returns from AI investments being crucial for regaining market confidence [16][18]
Why Alphabet's stock is falling despite booming cloud growth
MarketWatch· 2026-02-05 16:41
Core Viewpoint - Alphabet's stock is experiencing a decline despite significant growth in cloud revenue, primarily due to concerns over its projected capital expenditures for 2026, which are expected to reach $185 billion, nearly double the $91 billion spent in 2025 [1][1][1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Alphabet reported a remarkable 48% growth in cloud revenue, indicating strong performance in this segment [1][1] - The company's capital expenditure forecast for 2026 is set to nearly double compared to the previous year, raising investor concerns [1][1] Group 2: Market Reaction - Following the announcement of the capital expenditure forecast, Alphabet's stock declined by 3% on Thursday morning, reflecting investor apprehension [1][1] - Analysts have noted that Alphabet is a unique case where AI spending could lead to significant financial benefits, yet the market remains cautious [1][1]
Google Says Spending Could Double This Year Amid Its AI Push. Investors Don't Seem Excited
Investopedia· 2026-02-05 16:07
Core Insights - Alphabet (GOOGL) shares fell over 5% after announcing significant spending plans to enhance its AI infrastructure, forecasting capital expenditures between $175 billion and $185 billion for the year, nearly double the $91.45 billion spent in 2025 [1][5] - The decline in share price resulted in a loss of approximately $170 billion in market value, bringing Alphabet's market capitalization below $4 trillion [2] Investor Implications - The substantial spending plans may indicate investor caution regarding Alphabet's ability to effectively utilize its AI investments, as Big Tech companies are under pressure to demonstrate returns on such expenditures [3] - Despite the drop in share price, some analysts from JPMorgan, Citi, and Wedbush have raised their price targets for Alphabet, citing strong signals of AI demand and positive fourth-quarter results, which included $113.83 billion in revenue and $2.82 earnings per share, with cloud revenue increasing by 48% year-over-year to $17.7 billion [4]
Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) Sees Optimistic Price Target Amidst Strong Performance
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-02-05 16:06
Core Viewpoint - Alphabet Inc. is experiencing significant growth in its advertising and cloud sectors, leading to an optimistic price target of $420, representing a 26% increase from its current price of $333.34 [1][6] Financial Performance - The company reported an 18% increase in revenue and a 31% growth in earnings per share for Q4 2025, exceeding market expectations [2][6] - The Cloud segment achieved a remarkable 48% rise in revenues, with margins increasing to 30% [2] Capital Expenditure and Strategic Initiatives - Alphabet announced a substantial increase in its capital expenditure forecast for 2026, estimating between $175 billion and $185 billion, aimed at enhancing its competitive edge in AI technologies [3][6] - CEO Sundar Pichai highlighted the commitment to responsibly scale infrastructure to meet the growing demand for AI [3] Challenges and Investments - Despite strong performance, Alphabet faces near-term challenges such as power, land, and supply chain issues [4] - The company is investing in custom chips, specifically tensor processing units (TPUs), to address the rising demand for AI technologies [4] Stock Performance - The current stock price of GOOG is $333.34, reflecting a decrease of 2.16% or $7.36, with a market capitalization of approximately $4.02 trillion [5]