Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights a significant improvement in ADT-related businesses, indicating potential for valuation uplift. The company's revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 reached HKD 218.5 billion and HKD 134.2 billion, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 37% and 45% [5][6] - The report anticipates continued high growth in the company's fundamentals, driven by a recovery in IPO activities and sustained inflows of southbound capital, with a forecasted increase in ADT for 2025-2027 [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, trading, settlement, listing, custody, data, and other investment income grew by 57%, 66%, 16%, 25%, 8%, 10%, and 4% year-on-year, respectively. The core driver of revenue growth is the significant increase in trading and settlement fees directly linked to ADT [5][6] - The company has revised its ADT assumptions for 2025-2027 to HKD 2,580 billion, HKD 2,620 billion, and HKD 2,700 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 96%, 2%, and 3% [5][6] Market Outlook - The primary market for Hong Kong stocks is experiencing high demand, with 69 new listings in Q1-Q3 2025, a 53% increase year-on-year, and total fundraising amounting to HKD 1,883 billion, more than three times that of the same period in 2024 [7] - The report notes that the trading volume is expected to remain active due to the influx of quality assets from Chinese concept stocks returning to Hong Kong and the wave of A-share listings in Hong Kong [7] Valuation and Dividend - The expected dividend yield for 2025 is 3.0%, assuming a constant payout ratio of 90%. The report suggests that a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve could drive foreign capital back into the Hong Kong market, benefiting the exchange [8] - The current PE ratio is 31.2, which is at the 22nd percentile of the past ten years, indicating room for valuation improvement [8]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Open Source Securities indicates that the combination of the AtoH wave and the return of Chinese concept stocks is driving long-term asset expansion in the Hong Kong stock market, leading to sustained net inflows of southbound funds and active trading volumes in the market. The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is expected to benefit from the anticipated foreign capital inflow due to potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, maintaining a high level of business performance and a "buy" rating for the stock [1]. Group 1 - The active spot ADT is driving significant increases in trading and settlement revenues, with trading fees and system usage fees reaching HKD 7.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 57%, including spot/derivatives/commodity revenues of HKD 4.7 billion/HKD 2.0 billion/HKD 1.1 billion, which are year-on-year increases of 116%/15%/6% [2]. - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing a high level of activity, with 69 new listings in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 53%, and total fundraising amounting to HKD 188.3 billion, more than three times that of the same period in 2024 [2]. - The report highlights that the trading volume increase indirectly boosts custodial, trustee, and agent service fees, as well as market data fees, which have seen year-on-year increases of 25% and 8%, respectively [2]. Group 2 - The investment yield of HKEX has decreased, with a projected dividend yield of 3.0% for 2025, indicating potential for valuation improvement. The net investment income for the first three quarters of 2025 is HKD 3.89 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4% [3]. - The expected dividend yield for 2025, assuming a constant payout ratio of 90%, is 3.0%, while the current yield on U.S. Treasury bonds is 4.10%. The anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are expected to drive foreign capital back into the Hong Kong stock market [3]. - The current price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) for the company is 31.2 times, which is at the 22nd percentile of the past ten years, with a dynamic PE of 30.2 times, indicating potential for valuation enhancement [3].

Core Viewpoint - UBS has lowered the target price for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388) by 3% from HKD 485 to HKD 471, reflecting the latest outlook on interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - UBS has raised the average daily turnover forecast for FY2025 from HKD 250 billion to HKD 259 billion, considering market activity since Q4 [1] - The performance for Q3 2025 met expectations, with revenue increasing by 45% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations by 3% [1] - Net profit for Q3 2025 rose by 56% year-on-year, surpassing market expectations by 4% [1] Group 2: Market Challenges - As the company enters Q4, it faces tougher year-on-year comparisons due to a more challenging base [1]

Core Insights - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) reported record high total revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue reaching HKD 21.851 billion, a 37% year-on-year increase, and net profit of HKD 13.419 billion, up 45% [1][3] Revenue and Profit Growth - The significant growth in HKEX's performance is attributed to increased market trading activity and a surge in new stock listings, with major business revenue rising by 41% year-on-year [3][4] - In Q3 alone, HKEX achieved a revenue of HKD 7.775 billion, marking a 45% increase, and a net profit of HKD 4.9 billion, which is a 56% rise compared to the previous year [1][3] Trading Activity - The average daily trading volume for the first three quarters reached HKD 256.4 billion, a remarkable 126% increase year-on-year, driving significant growth in trading and settlement fees [3][4] - Stock trading fee revenue amounted to HKD 4.193 billion, more than double that of the same period last year [3] Stock Connect Performance - The Stock Connect mechanism showed strong performance, with average daily trading volumes for Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect reaching RMB 206.4 billion and HKD 125.9 billion, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 67% and 229% [3][4] - Total revenue from Stock Connect rose to HKD 3.225 billion, an 81.18% increase year-on-year [3] New Listings and Capital Raising - The new stock market has become a crucial driver of HKEX's growth, with 297 new stock listing applications processed by the end of Q3, more than triple the 84 applications at the end of 2024 [4] - HKEX led the global market in new stock fundraising, with a total of HKD 188.3 billion raised from 69 companies, over three times the amount raised in the same period last year [4] Strategic Initiatives - HKEX's CEO emphasized ongoing strategic reforms aimed at diversifying the market, enhancing liquidity, and strengthening global connectivity to solidify Hong Kong's status as an international financial center [4] - Industry experts express optimism about HKEX's future, highlighting its core trading business, Stock Connect mechanism, and strong performance in new stock fundraising as indicators of resilience and vitality in the international financial hub [4]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating on Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388) and raises the target price from HKD 544 to HKD 562, indicating a positive outlook for the stock [1] Financial Performance - The stock is currently trading at approximately 30 times forward P/E, which is below the mid-cycle P/E level of around 35 times [1] - For Q3 2025, the earnings exceeded Goldman Sachs' expectations, primarily due to better-than-expected investment income performance [1] - Core profit, excluding investment income, met expectations, growing by 101% driven by a 141% year-on-year increase in average daily turnover [1] Earnings Forecast Adjustments - Following the inclusion of Q3 performance and recent trading volume trends, Goldman Sachs has raised its earnings per share estimates for fiscal years 2025 to 2028 by 5%, 4%, 4%, and 5% respectively [1] Valuation Drivers - Three key factors are expected to further drive the revaluation of Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited: 1. Market consensus has raised average daily turnover forecasts [1] 2. The P/E ratio of Hong Kong Exchanges is expanding its premium relative to the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index [1] 3. The growth momentum of listed companies in Hong Kong is recovering [1]

Core Insights - Goldman Sachs reported that Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) exceeded profit expectations for the third quarter, primarily due to better-than-expected investment income [1] - Core profit, excluding investment income, met expectations, driven by a 141% year-on-year increase in average daily trading volume, resulting in a 101% growth [1] - Following the third-quarter performance and recent trading volume trends, Goldman Sachs raised its earnings per share estimates for fiscal years 2025 to 2028 by 5%, 4%, 4%, and 5% respectively [1] Company Valuation Factors - Three key factors are identified that could further drive the revaluation of HKEX: 1. Market consensus has raised average daily trading volume forecasts [1] 2. The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of HKEX has expanded relative to the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index [1] 3. The growth momentum of listed companies in Hong Kong is recovering [1] Investment Rating - Goldman Sachs maintains a "Buy" rating on HKEX, increasing the target price from HKD 544 to HKD 562 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) has achieved record highs in trading volumes and financial performance in the third quarter of 2025, driven by increased market activity and a significant number of IPO applications [1][2][6]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, HKEX reported revenue and other income of HKD 77.75 billion, a year-on-year increase of 45% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8% [2][3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 2025 was HKD 49 billion, reflecting a 56% year-on-year increase and a 10% quarter-on-quarter increase [2][3]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue and other income reached HKD 218.51 billion, up 37% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 134.19 billion, a 45% increase year-on-year [2][3]. Trading Activity - The average daily trading volume in the cash market reached HKD 2,564 billion, more than double that of the same period in 2024 [3]. - The average daily trading volume for derivatives reached 170,000 contracts, an 11% increase year-on-year [3]. - The average daily trading amounts for the Northbound and Southbound Stock Connects were HKD 206.4 billion and HKD 125.94 billion, respectively, marking increases of 67% and 229% year-on-year [4]. IPO Market - As of September 30, 2025, there were 297 IPO applications in Hong Kong, with total IPO financing amounting to HKD 1,883 billion, more than three times that of the same period in 2024 [5][6]. - The number of new listings reached 69, with total fundraising of HKD 1,883 billion, the highest in three years [6]. Institutional Investment - HKEX has seen increased holdings from major institutions such as BlackRock and Citigroup, each acquiring 63.5 million shares, reaching a 5.01% ownership stake [7]. - Other funds, including passive index funds, have also increased their stakes in HKEX, indicating strong institutional confidence [7].

Core Insights - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) reported record-high total revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of the year, with total revenue reaching HKD 21.851 billion, a 37% year-on-year increase, and net profit at HKD 13.419 billion, up 45% year-on-year [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3, HKEX's revenue was HKD 7.775 billion, reflecting a 45% year-on-year increase, while net profit was HKD 4.9 billion, up 56% year-on-year [1] - Average daily trading volume for the first three quarters reached HKD 256.4 billion, a 126% increase year-on-year, significantly contributing to the rise in trading and settlement fees [1] - Revenue from equity securities trading fees was HKD 4.193 billion, more than double the amount from the same period last year [1] Group 2: Market Activity - The average daily trading volume for the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect reached RMB 206.4 billion and HKD 125.9 billion respectively, both marking record highs for the first three quarters, with year-on-year increases of 67% and 229% [2] - Total revenue from the Stock Connect program rose to HKD 3.225 billion, an 81.18% increase year-on-year [2] - The derivatives market saw average daily trading volume for warrants and structured products reach HKD 17.7 billion, a 67% year-on-year increase [2] Group 3: New Listings and Capital Raising - The number of new stock listing applications surged, with 297 applications pending as of the end of Q3, more than three times the 84 applications expected by the end of 2024 [2] - HKEX ranked first globally in new stock fundraising for the first three quarters of 2025, with 69 companies listed and total fundraising amounting to HKD 188.3 billion, over three times the amount from the same period last year [2] - The total amount raised from follow-on offerings after listing reached HKD 457.2 billion, more than double the amount from the same period last year, marking the highest level since 2021 [2] Group 4: Strategic Developments - HKEX is actively optimizing mechanisms and responding to investor demands, with ongoing strategic reforms aimed at enhancing market diversification, liquidity, and global connectivity [3] - Analysts express optimism about HKEX's future performance, highlighting its core trading business and capital-raising capabilities as indicators of resilience and vitality as an international financial hub [3] - Continuous attention to international regulatory changes and compliance governance is essential for HKEX to maintain its competitive edge [3]

Core Insights - Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) reported record high revenue and profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue and other income reaching HKD 21.851 billion, a 37% increase compared to the same period in 2024, and shareholder profit rising to HKD 13.419 billion, up 45% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Total revenue and other income for the first three quarters of 2025 was HKD 21.851 billion, a 37% increase from HKD 15.973 billion in 2024 [1] - Shareholder profit for the same period reached HKD 13.419 billion, reflecting a 45% increase from HKD 9.253 billion in 2024 [1] - Average daily trading volume in the cash market reached HKD 256.4 billion, more than double the amount in the first three quarters of 2024 [1] Group 2: Market Activity - The average daily trading volume for the third quarter of 2025 hit a record high of HKD 286.4 billion, more than double that of the third quarter of 2024 [1] - In September 2025, the average daily trading volume exceeded HKD 300 billion for the first time, reaching HKD 316.7 billion [1] - The average daily trading volume for the first three quarters of 2025 was HKD 256.4 billion, a 126% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [1] Group 3: Stock Connect and IPOs - The average daily trading volume for the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect reached historical highs, with average daily trading amounts of RMB 206.4 billion and RMB 125.9 billion, respectively, representing increases of 67% and 229% year-on-year [2] - The total fundraising amount from IPOs in Hong Kong reached HKD 188.3 billion, more than three times that of the first three quarters of 2024, with 69 companies listed during this period [2] - HKEX's CEO emphasized the ongoing strategic reforms aimed at enhancing market diversification, liquidity, and global connectivity [2]

Group 1: Hong Kong Stock Exchange Performance - Hong Kong Stock Exchange reported total revenue of HKD 21.851 billion for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 37% [1] - Main business income reached HKD 20.438 billion, up 41% year-on-year, while net profit was HKD 13.419 billion, reflecting a 45% increase [1] - The exchange achieved record highs in revenue and profit for the third consecutive quarter, indicating strong market activity and operational efficiency [1] Group 2: Biopharmaceutical Company Performance - Biopharmaceutical company Wangshan Wangshui-B saw a significant increase of 154.72% in the dark market, closing at HKD 85 per share [2] - The company focuses on discovering, developing, and commercializing small molecule drugs in the fields of neuropsychiatry and reproductive health [2] - The surge in dark market trading highlights strong market interest in the biopharmaceutical sector, particularly in neuropsychiatry and reproductive health treatments [2] Group 3: Electric Vehicle Company IPO - Seres (09927.HK) became the largest IPO for a Chinese automotive company in Hong Kong, raising over HKD 14 billion [3] - The company attracted 22 cornerstone investors and issued 108.6 million shares at a price of HKD 131.5 each [3] - The successful listing reflects the strong momentum in China's electric vehicle industry and positive market expectations for high-growth companies [3] Group 4: Instant Noodle Company Stock Performance - Master Kong Holdings (00322.HK) saw its stock price rise over 4%, closing at HKD 11.86, marking a new high since July [4] - Goldman Sachs reported that the company's profit targets are likely to be met, driven by pricing strategies, cost advantages, efficiency improvements, and strict promotional management [4] - The strong stock performance indicates optimistic market sentiment regarding the company's profitability outlook [4]