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General Mills(GIS) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-09-17 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects profit results in Q1 to be significantly pressured by increased investment and the impact from the yogurt divestiture, with expectations of improvement in the back half of the year [10][11] - Operating profit performance in Q1 was better than expected, attributed to lighter inflation phasing and trade expense timing benefits [55][56] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has strengthened its pound share in eight of its top ten categories and is holding pound share in the Pet segment [9][10] - New product volumes are up 25%, with strong plans for Q2 in categories like baking and soup [10][11] - The cereal business showed improvement with consecutive quarter pound share growth, particularly in Cheerios protein and granola [26][28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The North America Retail segment saw household penetration grow for the first time since fiscal 2022, driven by pricing adjustments and innovation [62] - The company noted a stable traffic trend in the away-from-home eating segment, with growth in non-commercial channels like K-12 schools and hospitality [105][106] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on returning to profitable organic growth as the best way to create shareholder value, with significant investments in innovation and new product launches [6][8] - The strategy includes adjusting base shelf prices and enhancing marketing efforts to improve consumer value perception [46][47] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate the current challenging volume environment, attributing it largely to factors within their control [15][17] - The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance, indicating that early signs of improvement are encouraging [11][12] Other Important Information - The company is actively working on reformulating products to meet consumer demand for cleaner ingredient lists, with a focus on removing artificial dyes and other additives [72][76] - The company is leveraging technology for better demand forecasting, allowing marketing teams to focus on demand generation [67][68] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on the current volume environment in the food space - Management believes the volume environment is largely within their control, with historical volume trends being stable despite external pressures [15][17] Question: Path back to volume growth and category performance - Management indicated that while category volume is flat, they are gaining share in several categories, and they expect volume growth to improve by Q4 [21][22][24] Question: Trends in dog food and pet treats - The core Pet business held pound share, with positive growth in specific segments, but challenges remain in the Wilderness business [33][36] Question: Balance between scale and complexity in the portfolio - Management emphasized the importance of focusing on consumer needs and leveraging scale for better marketing and operational efficiency [40][41] Question: Impact of price promotions and innovation on growth - Management noted that price adjustments are crucial, and they are increasing the contribution from new products to drive growth [47][48] Question: Household penetration gains and driving factors - Household penetration improved across several categories, driven by pricing adjustments and effective marketing strategies [62][63] Question: Clarification on operating profit expectations - Management confirmed that operating profit in the first half of the year would be down similar to Q4, with some volatility expected in the Pet segment [100][102] Question: Competition in the away-from-home channel - Management noted that while competition is increasing, traffic in the commercial channel remains stable, with growth opportunities in non-commercial segments [105][106]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-17 11:55
“I can no longer, in good conscience, and after 47 years, remain an employee of Ben & Jerry’s,” Jerry Greenfield said.The Ben & Jerry’s co-founder is resigning from the ice cream company he started in 1978, saying the brand’s freedom to speak out on social issues has been stifled by parent company Unilever. Read more: https://t.co/Q18gQnD6dt📷: Lisa Lake/Getty Images ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-17 11:30
Cheerios maker General Mills reported profit that beat estimates, as consumers shift to eating more meals at home https://t.co/eUljCwfzt5 ...
X @The Wall Street Journal
The Wall Street Journal· 2025-09-17 10:09
Ben & Jerry’s co-founder Jerry Greenfield said he is quitting the company after 47 years, ahead of Unilever’s planned spinoff of its ice-cream business as a separate entity https://t.co/wH7ktu8WrN ...
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures stall as Wall Street braces for Fed decision
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-16 23:05
Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - Wall Street anticipates a 25 basis-point interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve, with a 96% probability assigned to this outcome [2] - The Fed's "dot-plot" will be closely monitored for insights on future rate cuts throughout 2025 [3] - Fed Chair Jerome Powell's remarks during the press conference following the decision will be significant for market sentiment [3] Political Influence on the Federal Reserve - Concerns are rising regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve amid President Trump's influence and recent nominations [4] - Stephen Miran was confirmed to the Federal Reserve Board, indicating a potential shift in policy direction, while he plans to take a leave of absence from his White House advisor role [5] - Fed governor Lisa Cook remains on the board despite legal challenges, ensuring continuity in policy discussions [6] Market Reactions and Economic Indicators - Asian markets showed mixed reactions following tariff reductions on Japanese goods and expectations surrounding the Fed's rate cut [9] - Investors are also awaiting new data on housing starts and earnings reports from General Mills and Cracker Barrel [6] Gold Market Outlook - Deutsche Bank maintains a bullish outlook on gold, projecting a price target of $4,000 per ounce by 2026, citing favorable market conditions despite a significant price increase this year [7]
Stock market today: Dow rises, S&P 500 and Nasdaq steady as Wall Street braces for Fed decision
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-16 23:05
Corporate Developments - General Mills (GIS) reported quarterly sales that exceeded estimates, but shares declined due to warnings about a challenging consumer environment [6] - Cracker Barrel (CBRL) is under scrutiny following controversy over its now-abandoned logo change, with results being closely watched [6] - Nvidia (NVDA) shares fell by 1.5% in premarket trading after reports that China has instructed major tech companies, including Alibaba, not to purchase its AI chips, effectively banning tens of thousands of orders [5] Economic Indicators - The interest rate on a 30-year mortgage has dropped to its lowest level since October 2024, leading to a nearly 60% increase in refinancing applications, the highest since March 2022 [5]
S&P 500 Gains and Losses Today: Oil Stocks Climb; Warner Bros. Discovery and Paramount Retreat
Investopedia· 2025-09-16 22:35
Group 1: Market Movements - Shares of oil producers gained ground due to an uptick in commodity prices, with APA Corp. surging 7% and Occidental Petroleum up 5% [3][8] - The S&P 500 slipped 0.1%, while the Nasdaq and Dow were down 0.1% and 0.3% respectively, retreating from record levels ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision [2] Group 2: Company-Specific Developments - Warner Bros. Discovery shares fell 6.2%, losing the most among S&P 500 stocks, as concerns grew over a potential merger with Paramount Skydance [7][9] - Paramount Skydance shares dropped 5.7% following criticism from Senator Elizabeth Warren regarding the potential takeover and a downgrade from TD Cowen analysts [8][9] - Steel Dynamics issued a stronger-than-expected outlook for Q3, leading to a 6.1% jump in its shares, driven by strong demand across various sectors [4] - Hershey shares increased by 4.3% after Goldman Sachs upgraded the stock to "buy," citing strong pricing and improving market share trends [5] - Moderna shares gained 4% after positive preliminary data on its updated COVID-19 vaccine, showing a strong immune response in high-risk individuals [6]
Why homebuilder confidence is so low, what Stephen Miran's addition to the FOMC means for rate cuts
Youtube· 2025-09-16 21:31
Market Overview - Major stock indices are experiencing a pullback from record highs, with the Dow down approximately 80 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are roughly flat [1][2][3] - The Russell 2000 small-cap index is down about 0.25%, indicating more negativity compared to larger indices [4] - The 10-year Treasury yield is down to 4.03%, approaching the psychological level of 4.0% [4][5] Federal Reserve Insights - The Senate confirmed Steven Myron as a Federal Reserve governor, with expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut during the upcoming FOMC meeting [9][10] - Myron's dovish stance raises questions about his support for the rate cut, as he may prefer a larger reduction [10][11] - The Fed's dual mandate is under tension, with a softening job market and broadening inflation, complicating the decision-making process [17][23] Consumer Behavior and Retail Sales - Retail sales data shows strength, with August figures beating expectations, indicating consumer resilience despite economic uncertainties [15][20] - Best Buy's CEO noted steady consumer demand, particularly in electronics, with low single-digit positive comps expected for the quarter [108][111] - The housing market's performance is linked to consumer spending on big-ticket items, with a sub-6% mortgage rate seen as a potential catalyst for recovery [116][117] Sector Performance - The energy sector leads with a gain of 1.75%, while utilities and real estate are underperforming [5][6] - Tesla has been a standout performer, up 2%, contributing to the consumer discretionary sector's strength [6][7] - Chinese tech stocks are showing positive momentum, with Alibaba and JD.com up 2% and 3% respectively, indicating a divergence from U.S. market trends [7][84] Company-Specific Developments - Hershey Foods received a double upgrade from Goldman Sachs, reflecting strong pricing power and a positive outlook ahead of the holiday season [68][70] - Ralph Lauren's long-term financial outlook disappointed some investors, but the stock remains up 35% year-to-date, with a focus on inclusive luxury [63][66] - CLA, a new fintech stock, received mixed reviews from analysts, with a buy rating from Compass Point Research and holds from others, indicating cautious optimism [58][60]
How Strong QSR Demand Supports PPC's Small Bird Segment in Q2 2025
ZACKS· 2025-09-16 14:05
Core Insights - Pilgrim's Pride Corporation's Small Bird segment experienced growth due to increased demand in the quick-service restaurant (QSR) channel during Q2 2025, leading to expanded sales and margins [1][9] - The overall margins for the Small Bird segment remained strong, driven by significant demand from key QSR customers, with foodservice volumes increasing nearly 10% year-over-year [2][9] - Management highlighted the company's focus on quality, service, and innovation to meet QSR demand, positioning Small Bird products effectively in a price-sensitive market [3] Industry Trends - The chicken-focused QSRs outperformed the broader dining sector by leveraging chicken's affordability, with operators focusing on value offerings and targeted promotions to attract consumers [2] - The resilience of the Small Bird segment was crucial for Pilgrim's results amid a challenging macroeconomic environment, showcasing the strategic importance of QSRs as a stable, high-volume channel [4] Financial Performance - Pilgrim's Pride shares have declined by 6.7% over the past three months, underperforming both the industry and the broader Consumer Staples sector [5] - The company currently trades at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 8.79, which is below the industry average of 12 and the sector average of 16.89, indicating a modest discount relative to peers [10]
US manufacturing output unexpectedly rises on rebound in motor vehicle production
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-16 14:04
Core Insights - U.S. factory production unexpectedly increased by 0.2% in August, rebounding from a downwardly revised 0.1% decline in July, contrary to economists' expectations of a 0.2% decrease [2][3] - The manufacturing sector, which constitutes 10.2% of the economy, saw a year-over-year production increase of 0.9% in August [2] Manufacturing Sector Performance - Motor vehicle and parts production rose by 2.6% in August after a 0.7% decline in July, while production of fabricated metal products and machinery decreased [4] - Durable manufacturing production increased by 0.2% in August, following a 0.3% gain in July [4] - Nondurable manufacturing output rebounded by 0.3% after a 0.5% decline in the previous month, with increases in textiles, petroleum, and coal products, although plastics and rubber products saw a decline [5] Mining and Utilities - Mining output increased by 0.9% in August after a 1.5% decrease in July, while utilities production dropped by 2.0% following a 0.7% decline in the prior month [6] Industrial Production Overview - Overall industrial production edged up by 0.1% in August after a 0.4% decline in July, with a year-over-year increase of 0.9% [6] Capacity Utilization - Capacity utilization in the industrial sector remained unchanged at 77.4% in August, which is 2.2 percentage points below the 1972–2024 average, while the manufacturing sector's operating rate increased slightly to 76.8%, 1.4 percentage points below its long-run average [7]