Market Overview - Asian stocks continued a global record run, with investors focusing on upcoming U.S. economic data despite geopolitical tensions [1] - U.S. manufacturing activity contracted in December, the most significant decline since 2024, increasing expectations for Federal Reserve policy easing [1] Commodity Prices - Gold prices rose to over $4,460 an ounce, while oil prices eased after a previous increase of $1 per barrel due to concerns about crude flows from Venezuela [2] - The U.S. military operation in Venezuela has sparked optimism for future investments in the U.S. oil industry [5] Regional Stock Performance - China's Shanghai Composite index increased by 1.50% to 4,083.67, marking its highest level in over a decade [2] - Hong Kong's Hang Seng index surged by 1.38% to 26,710.45, driven by gains in the financial sector [2] - Japan's Nikkei average rose by 1.32% to 52,518.08, led by oil-related stocks and precision tools maker Disco Corp., which increased by 6.1% [3] - Seoul's Kospi average jumped by 1.52% to 4,525.48, supported by gains in semiconductors, brokerages, and shipbuilders [4] - New Zealand's S&P/NZX-50 index rose by 0.56% to 13,663.58, nearing a six-week high [5] U.S. Stock Market - U.S. stocks experienced gains, with the Dow increasing by 1.2% to a new record closing high, the S&P 500 gaining 0.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite advancing by 0.7% [6]

Market Performance - Asian shares experienced strong gains, with Tokyo's Nikkei 225 closing at a record high of 52,518.08, up 1.3% [2] - South Korea's Kospi rose 1.5% to 4,525.98, driven by gains in automakers and electronics manufacturers [2] - Hong Kong's Hang Seng increased by 1.5% to 26,748.80, while the Shanghai Composite index also rose 1.5% to 4,082.36, marking its highest level in four years [3] - The S&P 500 rose 0.6%, just below its record set in late December, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average set a new record, increasing by 1.2% to 48,977.18 [4] Energy Sector - Oil prices initially surged following the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, with U.S. crude rising 1.7% to $58.32 per barrel and Brent crude also up 1.7% to $61.76 per barrel [5] - However, oil prices fell back early Tuesday, with U.S. crude dropping to $58.14 per barrel and Brent crude to $61.64 per barrel [5] - Energy companies saw significant gains, with Chevron up 5.1%, Exxon Mobil rising 2.2%, and Halliburton surging 7.8% after discussions about U.S. oil companies aiding in the rebuilding of Venezuela's oil industry [6] Economic Indicators - The Institute for Supply Management reported a continued contraction in the manufacturing sector for December, with a focus on the upcoming services sector report [7] - Job market reports later in the week will be crucial for the Federal Reserve, which is balancing a slowing job market against rising inflation risks [8][9] Technology Sector - Technology companies, particularly in artificial intelligence, were highlighted during the CES trade show, with Nvidia falling 0.4% and Applied Materials rising 5.7% [10] - The advancements in AI have contributed to a series of market records in 2025, with updates from major tech firms expected to clarify the financial implications of AI investments [10] Currency and Commodities - The U.S. dollar weakened against the Japanese yen, slipping to 156.28 from 156.40, while the euro rose to $1.1739 from $1.1724 [11] - Gold prices increased by 0.5% after a significant jump of 2.8% on Monday, and silver added 2.9% following a 7.9% rise [11] - Bitcoin fell 1.3% to approximately $93,700 after reaching its highest level since mid-November [12]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. president is advocating for oil companies to increase production in Venezuela [1] Group 1 - The U.S. administration is focusing on enhancing oil production in Venezuela to address global supply issues [1] - This initiative is part of a broader strategy to stabilize oil prices and reduce dependency on other oil-producing nations [1]

Core Viewpoint - Oil prices have decreased in early Asian trading due to expectations of a potential easing of sanctions related to Venezuela [1] Group 1 - The market is reacting to the possibility of relief from Venezuela-related sanctions, which could impact oil supply dynamics [1]

Crude oil began trade this year with a dip, despite the news about U.S. strikes on Venezuela and the taking of President Nicolas Maduro to the U.S. Normally, such events would have pushed oil higher, but not this year. This year, oil prices will need a much more major disruption to rebound – and so will gas prices. Brent crude was trading at a little over $60 per barrel at the start of the first full trading week of 2026, after President Trump announced the capture of the Venezuelan president, accompanied ...

Core Viewpoint - The United States is considering subsidizing oil companies to assist in the reconstruction of Venezuela's energy infrastructure [1] Group 1 - President Donald Trump mentioned the potential for U.S. subsidies during an interview with NBC News [1]

Group 1: Market Reactions - Canadian oil companies experienced a decline in share prices, with Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. down 6%, Cenovus Energy Inc. down 4.8%, and Suncor Energy Inc. down 1.7% [1] - The TSX energy subindex fell by 3.6% [1] - The overall market showed positive movement, with the S&P/TSX composite index up 336.58 points, and major U.S. indices also reporting gains [3] Group 2: Oil Production Insights - Venezuela holds the world's largest oil reserves but is significantly underproducing, currently at about one million barrels compared to peak levels of over 3.5 million barrels [2] - Even if Venezuelan production returned to previous highs, it would only account for about 2% of the global market [5] - The limited impact of Venezuelan supply on oil prices is noted, as it currently represents about 1% of the market [5] Group 3: Economic Implications - The situation in Venezuela is expected to have a muted impact on the U.S. market due to its small role in the global economy and limited trading relationship with the U.S. [5] - U.S. President Donald Trump has proposed a plan for U.S. oil companies to assist in rebuilding Venezuela's oil industry, leading to gains for companies like Chevron (up 5.1%), Exxon Mobil (up 2.2%), and Halliburton (up 7.8%) [6]

Group 1 - Chevron shares experienced significant gains, increasing by 5.1% [1] - The Dow industrials rose by 1.2% [1] - The S&P 500 added 0.6% [1]

US President Donald Trump, alongside L/R Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller, CIA Director John Ratcliffe, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Dan Caine, speaks to the press following US military actions in Venezuela, at his Mar-a-Lago residence in Palm Beach, Florida, on January 3, 2025.The Trump administration has spoken to multiple oil companies about Venezuela, a White House official told CNBC on Monday. President Donald T ...

Core Insights - The U.S. military action to capture Venezuela has created significant geopolitical implications for global equity markets, particularly in the energy sector [1][10]. Energy Sector - Venezuela possesses the world's largest proven oil reserves at approximately 303 billion barrels, representing about 17-18% of global oil reserves, yet its crude production has plummeted to below 2 million barrels per day from 3.5 million barrels per day due to infrastructure issues and sanctions [3][4]. - The potential for increased Venezuelan crude exports to U.S. refineries exists, but analysts caution that any significant output recovery will require years of investment and political stabilization, rather than immediate supply increases [4][5]. - Chevron, the only major U.S. oil company operating in Venezuela, has limited exposure to the country's oil production, with its Venezuelan operations contributing only a small portion to overall revenues [6]. Defense Sector - Defense stocks are expected to benefit from heightened geopolitical tensions, as historical patterns show increased military spending during such periods [8][9]. - The recent U.S. intervention is likely to establish a higher baseline for defense spending, particularly in aerospace and surveillance, benefiting major defense contractors like Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman [9]. Technology Sector - Technology stocks typically respond to geopolitical shocks through risk sentiment rather than direct revenue exposure, with initial pressure on high-value stocks as investors shift to defensive sectors [11]. - Over the medium term, certain technology companies, such as CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks, may benefit from increased demand for cybersecurity solutions driven by heightened security concerns [11]. Healthcare Sector - Healthcare equities tend to remain resilient during geopolitical uncertainty due to the inelastic nature of demand, with pharmaceutical and medical device companies largely insulated from disruptions [12]. - Large healthcare firms, including Johnson & Johnson and Abbott, may benefit from increased government focus on medical preparedness and biosecurity during global instability [12]. Conclusion - The evolving geopolitical landscape suggests that defense stocks will see the most immediate benefits, while select technology firms may gain over time through security-related demand, and healthcare will continue to act as a stabilizing force in volatile markets [13][14].