Summary of the Conference Call on China Property Market Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China Property** market, specifically analyzing trends in property sales, prices, and inventory levels in the Asia Pacific region [1][9]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Decline in Property Sales**: - Property sales in June experienced a significant drop, with primary sales volume in 65 cities decreasing by **23% year-on-year** compared to a **12% decline** in May. Secondary sales volume in 33 cities fell by **5% year-on-year**, reversing a **1% increase** in May [3]. - Year-to-date growth for primary sales is now at **-6% year-on-year**, while secondary sales show a **+11% year-on-year** increase for the first half of 2025 [3]. 2. **Falling Housing Prices**: - Primary home prices in 70 cities dropped by **3.7% year-on-year** and **0.3% month-on-month** in June, worsening from a **0.2% month-on-month** decline in May. Secondary home prices fell by **6.1% year-on-year** and **0.6% month-on-month** [4]. - In top-10 cities, secondary prices decreased by **5.3% year-on-year** and **0.6% month-on-month**, while in top-100 cities, the decline was **7.3% year-on-year** and **0.7% month-on-month** [4]. 3. **Increased Inventory Levels**: - Primary inventory months rose to **23.8x** in May, with tier 1 cities at **14.3x**, tier 2 cities at **24.0x**, and tier 3 cities at **29.0x** [6]. 4. **Land Sales Trends**: - Land sales in 300 cities showed a **4.4% year-on-year** decline in gross floor area (GFA) but a **36.9% year-on-year** increase in value, primarily due to changes in city mix. The year-to-date decline in land sales is now **-5.0% year-on-year** in GFA [7]. 5. **Market Sentiment and Future Outlook**: - The weakened resident sentiment and reactive policy measures are expected to exert additional pressure on home prices in the third quarter of 2025. The report suggests maintaining a defensive and selective investment approach, focusing on quality state-owned enterprises (SOEs) with high visibility, such as CR Land [1][2]. Additional Important Insights - **Client Engagement**: Client visits increased by **14% year-on-year** but decreased by **5% month-on-month** [5]. - **Secondary Listing Trends**: Secondary listing prices fell by **8.2% year-on-year** and **0.9% month-on-month**, while new secondary listings remained stable with a **-1% month-on-month** change and a **+13% year-on-year** increase [5]. - **Investment Recommendations**: The report highlights CR Land (1109.HK) and CR Mixc (1209.HK) as consumption beneficiaries, and C&D (1908.HK) and Greentown Management (9979.HK) as high-dividend-yield plays [2]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call regarding the current state and future outlook of the China property market, emphasizing the ongoing challenges and strategic recommendations for investors.

Core Viewpoint - Palantir Technologies has experienced significant stock growth, with shares increasing over 2,200% since the beginning of 2023, but its high market cap of $350 billion and price-to-sales ratio over 100 suggest future returns may be weak [1][2] Company Overview: The Real Brokerage - The Real Brokerage is a cloud-based digital brokerage aimed at modernizing the residential real estate market, which has been slow to adopt digital tools and continues to operate with high commission rates [4][5] - By eliminating physical offices and adopting a software-first approach, The Real Brokerage can offer lower transaction costs to real estate agents, making it an attractive alternative to traditional brokerages [6] Growth Metrics - The Real Brokerage has seen a 61% year-over-year increase in the number of agents, reaching approximately 27,000, which has contributed to a 76% revenue increase in the first quarter of 2025, totaling $354 million [7] - Since going public, The Real Brokerage's revenue has surged over 10,000% cumulatively, positioning it as one of the fastest-growing companies globally [8] Market Conditions - Despite a slowdown in existing home sales in the U.S. due to high interest rates, The Real Brokerage is gaining market share and is expected to benefit when the market rebounds [9][10] - The current environment has seen annualized transactions drop to 4 million, down from around 6 million in a typical market, indicating potential for future growth as conditions improve [9] Technological Innovation - The Real Brokerage is leveraging AI technology, having launched Leo AI, a digital concierge for real estate agents, to streamline the home buying and selling process [12] - The company aims to develop an AI-assisted real estate portal to compete with established players like Zillow Group, indicating ambitious long-term growth plans [13] Financial Position - The Real Brokerage currently has a market cap of $823 million and is close to breakeven, generating $128 million in gross profit while growing revenue at over 50% year-over-year [14]

Core Viewpoint - The real estate market in Baoding is experiencing a continuous decline in housing prices, leading to various strategies for ordinary people to cope with the situation [3][10]. Market Conditions - Housing prices in Baoding have been steadily decreasing over the past few years, with new developments often seeing a drop in value once they transition to the secondary market [3][10]. - The decline in property values is significant, with reports indicating that some properties lose over 100,000 yuan annually [4]. Selling Strategies - Individuals looking to sell their homes must adopt a pragmatic approach, letting go of emotional attachments and recognizing that prices may continue to fall [3][5]. - A case is mentioned where a homeowner sold their only property to rent a larger and better place for a lower annual cost [4]. Buying Strategies - Buyers should prepare for ongoing price declines, understanding that the moment a purchase is made, the property begins to depreciate [5][6]. - The article emphasizes the importance of recognizing the current market reality, where properties bought in the last three years have not appreciated in value [6]. Market Dynamics - The market is undergoing a cleansing process, with high leverage and speculative bubbles being eliminated, which is essential for the healthy development of the real estate sector [10][13]. - The demand for improved living conditions remains strong, but the constraints of land availability must be respected [10]. Investment Opportunities - Families with sufficient resources are encouraged to consider upgrading their properties during this downturn, as the current market conditions may provide favorable negotiation opportunities [10][13]. - Patience is advised for those with tighter budgets, as waiting for the market to stabilize could yield better investment conditions in the future [11]. Policy Implications - The introduction of property taxes is seen as a tool to balance the market, discouraging excessive speculation and promoting fairer resource distribution [11][13]. - The article suggests that property taxes can be viewed as a necessary cost for those who see real estate as a key asset in their financial strategy [11].

Market Intervention - Rising property prices in Tokyo have triggered intervention from a central ward [1] - Local officials are aiming to cool the market by controlling resales [1]

Group 1: COSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd. (CICOY) - The company has seen a 7.4% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [1] - It has a dividend yield of 12.9%, significantly higher than the industry average of 2.1% [1] Group 2: Clipper Realty Inc. (CLPR) - The company has experienced a 21.3% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [2] - It offers a dividend yield of 9.8%, compared to the industry average of 4.8% [2] Group 3: Invesco Ltd. (IVZ) - The company has witnessed an 8.9% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [2] Group 4: General Dividend Information - A Zacks Rank 1 company has a dividend yield of nearly 5%, which is above the industry average of nearly 3% [3]

Group 1 - China reduced its holdings of US Treasury bonds by $900 million in May, marking the third consecutive month of reduction [1] - The first data asset-backed securities (ABS) were issued on the Shanghai Stock Exchange [1] - The scale of 10 newly listed Sci-Tech Innovation Bond ETFs increased by 164% on the first day to reach 76.5 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - Emperor International is seeking to extend the maturity date of its bank loans to the end of 2027 [1] - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) will pay interest on its 5 billion yuan corporate bonds on July 24 [1] - Jinju Group's application for an 8 billion yuan corporate bond issuance has been accepted by the Shanghai Stock Exchange [1] Group 3 - Citigroup is optimistic about emerging market sovereign bonds, betting on declining interest rates and a weaker dollar [1] - Shimao Group announced that the effective date for its offshore debt restructuring will be July 21 [1] - Huafa Leasing's first phase of ABS successfully issued, with underlying assets from Dalian Huafa Mountain Villa [1] - Oceanwide Holdings is repaying the principal of its "21 Oceanwide 01" corporate bond in installments, with a remaining scale of 2.6 billion yuan [1]

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Legal Dispute - Zillow Group denies anticompetitive tactics claims from rival Compass Inc [1] Industry Dynamics - Ongoing real estate legal battle over property listings involves Zillow Group and Compass Inc [1]

Labor Market & Immigration Policy - Prologis CEO 表示，美国移民政策导致劳动力短缺 [1] - 劳动力短缺推高了建筑成本 [1] Real Estate Industry Impact - 劳动力短缺对房地产投资信托基金（REITs）产生影响 [1] - 仓库的建设和运营成本增加 [1]