Key Points IonQ believes it technology has use cases in drug development, medical device design, and even industrial materials science. IonQ's stock price has increased nearly 350% in the past five years. The commercial viability of quantum computing is still in its early stages. 10 stocks we like better than IonQ › Quantum computing is moving from the theoretical to the commercially applicable, but only one company has achieved 99.99% two-qubit gate fidelity (a measure of results accuracy). Tha ...

Rigetti Computing FY Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Rigetti Computing (NasdaqCM:RGTI) - **Founded**: 2013 - **Headquarters**: Berkeley, California - **Industry**: Quantum Computing - **Technology**: Focus on superconducting qubits, which are considered the leading modality in quantum computing due to scalability and speed [1][4] Key Points and Arguments Quantum Computing Technology - Rigetti's quantum computers utilize superconducting qubits, achieving gate speeds of 50-70 nanoseconds, significantly faster than other modalities like ion traps [1][5] - The company has developed the first multi-chip quantum processor for scalable systems, manufacturing QPUs in-house at Fab 1, the first dedicated quantum device manufacturing facility [1][4] - Over 90% of current investments in quantum computing are in superconducting gate technology, with major players including IBM, Google, and the Chinese government [5] Scalability and Speed - Scalability and gate speed are critical advantages of superconducting technology, with Rigetti's systems operating at speeds comparable to CPUs and GPUs [5][6] - Historical challenges in fidelity for superconducting qubits have improved, with recent advancements showing fidelity rates of 99.5%-99.7% [8] Go-to-Market Strategy - Rigetti has chosen a hybrid approach, selling both physical quantum computers and offering quantum computing as a service [10] - The company tailors its offerings based on customer needs, providing either complete systems or just QPUs depending on existing infrastructure [13][14] Quantum Advantage - Rigetti is conservative in its estimates, projecting that quantum advantage could be achieved in about three years, requiring at least 1,000 qubits, 99.9% fidelity, and 50 nanosecond gate speeds [18][19] - The company emphasizes the importance of demonstrating clear superiority over classical computing in practical applications [19][21] Roadmap and Future Goals - Immediate goal is to deploy a 108-qubit system with 99.5% fidelity and 60-nanosecond gate speed by the end of Q1 2026 [33] - Plans to exceed 150 qubits at 99.7% fidelity within the year, with a long-term goal of reaching 1,000 qubits at 99.8% fidelity by 2027 [35] Partnerships and Collaborations - Rigetti has partnered with various companies for different aspects of its technology stack, including Riverlane for error correction and NVIDIA for distribution layer software [40][41] - The company believes in an open and modular architecture, allowing for integration of innovative solutions from other firms [39] Government Funding and Market Outlook - The U.S. government is expected to increase funding for quantum computing significantly, with recent initiatives indicating a commitment to maintaining leadership in the field [69][70] - Rigetti anticipates that the market for quantum computing will grow to approximately $3 billion by 2030 and $15-$20 billion by 2035 [17] Customer Base and Applications - Current customers include Fermilab, Air Force Research Laboratory, and Montana State University, primarily using systems for research applications [60] - The company does not foresee practical workloads being handled by quantum computers until quantum advantage is achieved [60] Additional Important Insights - Rigetti's balance sheet is strong, with $600 million in cash and no debt, allowing for a focus on organic growth and technology milestones [70] - The company stresses the need for patience in the quantum computing sector, indicating that significant advancements will take time [72]

Core Insights - Rigetti Computing's update on its 108-qubit Cepheus-1-108Q system indicates a focus on performance discipline, delaying general availability to late Q1 2026 for further testing and optimization to achieve 99.5% median two-qubit gate fidelity [1][9] Company Updates - Rigetti has demonstrated 99% median two-qubit fidelity on the 108-qubit system and higher fidelities on its 9-qubit and 36-qubit platforms, indicating that the technical foundation is solid despite the delay [2][9] - The complexity of scaling modular quantum systems is highlighted, with the Cepheus-1-108Q system comprising 12 9-qubit chiplets connected via tunable couplers, leading to new engineering challenges [3] - Rigetti's decision to refine chiplet couplers suggests a commitment to launching a system that meets performance benchmarks rather than rushing to market [3][4] Market Position - The timeline adjustment may enhance Rigetti's credibility with partners and customers who value reliable quantum performance, positioning the update as a strategic recalibration for long-term value creation [4] - Rigetti's shares have increased by 99.9% over the last six months, contrasting with a 7.6% decline in the industry [8] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - Rigetti trades at a price-to-book ratio of 22.66, which is above the industry average, and carries a Value Score of F [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Rigetti's 2025 earnings indicates an 88.9% decline from the previous year [12]

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Core Viewpoint - Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT) shows potential for significant upside, with a mean price target of $17 indicating a 40.4% increase from its current price of $12.11, following an 11% gain over the past four weeks [1]. Price Targets and Analyst Estimates - The mean estimate consists of four short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $5.6, indicating variability among analysts; the lowest estimate is $12.00 (0.9% decline), while the highest is $25.00 (106.4% increase) [2]. - A low standard deviation suggests strong agreement among analysts regarding the stock's price direction, which can serve as a starting point for further research [9]. Earnings Estimates and Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have shown growing optimism about QUBT's earnings prospects, as indicated by a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions, which correlates with near-term stock price movements [11]. - Over the past 30 days, one earnings estimate has increased, leading to a 5.3% rise in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year [12]. Zacks Rank and Investment Potential - QUBT holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates, suggesting a strong potential for upside in the near term [13].

Core Insights - Xanadu Quantum Technologies Inc. and Thorlabs have partnered to develop customized optical fiber components for large-scale photonic quantum computing, addressing critical challenges in scaling these systems [1][4] - The collaboration aims to enhance phase and polarization stability in photonic quantum computing, which is essential for reducing computational errors [2][4] - The partnership leverages Thorlabs' manufacturing capabilities and Xanadu's quantum computing expertise to accelerate the production of optical components [3][5] Company Overview - Xanadu is a Canadian quantum computing company founded in 2016, focused on building accessible quantum computers and developing the open-source software library PennyLane [7] - Thorlabs, established in 1989, is a leading manufacturer in the photonics industry, serving various sectors including research and quantum technology, with over 3,000 employees and 1.2 million square feet of manufacturing space [9][10] Business Combination - Xanadu has announced a business combination agreement with Crane Harbor Acquisition Corp., expecting to raise approximately US$500 million in gross proceeds, with US$225 million from Crane Harbor's trust account and US$275 million from strategic investors [6] - The combined entity, Xanadu Quantum Technologies Limited, is anticipated to be listed on the Nasdaq and Toronto Stock Exchange [6]

Core Insights - BTQ Technologies Corp. has been included in the VanEck Quantum Computing UCITS ETF, highlighting its growing presence in the quantum technology sector [1][3] - The ETF aims to track the MarketVector Global Quantum Leaders Total Return Net Index, which includes 30 companies involved in quantum computing [2][4] - BTQ's inclusion in the ETF is seen as a significant step in broadening investor access to its quantum security solutions [4][6] Company Overview - BTQ Technologies is a global quantum technology company focused on securing mission-critical networks and transitioning from classical networks to the quantum internet [1][6] - The company offers a full-stack quantum computing platform, including hardware, middleware, and post-quantum security solutions for various industries such as finance and telecommunications [6] ETF and Index Context - The VanEck Quantum Computing UCITS ETF is Europe's first quantum computing UCITS ETF, launched in May 2025, with total net assets of approximately $524.5 million as of January 8, 2026 [2][5] - The ETF is physically replicated and has a total expense ratio of 0.55%, providing diversified exposure to companies with significant quantum-related operations or patent ownership [5]

Investor Presentation January 2026 Cautionary Notes Forward Looking Statements: Certain statements in this presentation may be considered forward-looking statements, including statements with respect to the Company's outlook and expectations, including expectations with respect to a plan to deliver 108Q chiplet-based system at 99.5% median 2Q gate fidelity around the end of Q1 2026 and to reach 1,000+Q at 99.9% median 2Q median fidelity at <50 ns gate speed in 3-5 years to enable quantum advantage; an antic ...

Group 1: Technology Sector Outlook - The current technology market is expected to continue its upward trend after a short-term correction, primarily due to the low likelihood of a fundamental reversal in the AI industry in the US, which will provide significant valuation growth opportunities for comparable companies in the A-share market [1] - AI leaders in the US are still showing strong performance growth, and large-scale stock buybacks by US-listed companies are helping to offset institutional selling pressure, indicating a potential for high-level fluctuations and internal clearing at the individual stock level, but not a systemic collapse like the tech bubble of 2000 [1] Group 2: Quantum Technology Development - The year 2025 is designated as the "International Year of Quantum Science and Technology," marking a critical transition from theoretical research to industrial application in quantum technology, with major global players increasing their strategic investments [3] - Quantum computing, as the crown jewel of quantum technology, has the highest technical barriers and disruptive potential, expected to redefine classical computing boundaries and serve as a key engine for the next technological revolution [3] - The quantum computing industry is entering a phase of rapid growth, with the global market projected to exceed $800 billion by 2035, indicating significant growth potential despite being in the early stages of development [3] Group 3: Precious Metals Market - The current market for precious metals, particularly platinum, is experiencing a rapid increase in prices, with gold stabilizing above $4,500, suggesting a potential for further upward momentum [5] - The ongoing market dynamics for precious metals are largely driven by investor sentiment and market emotions rather than fundamental factors, with no signs of easing in the current market conditions [5] - The best strategy in such a market is to follow the trend rather than operate against it [5] Group 4: Fiber Optics Market - The continuous rise in fiber optic prices in the Chinese market reflects strong demand and overall tight supply, with robust overseas demand contributing to strong export performance [5] - Concerns about market structure persist, especially after the supply-demand imbalance in 2019 led to price crashes, but current production expansions are expected to be more rational [5] - The combination of demand recovery and price increases is likely to enhance both profitability and valuation for leading companies in the industry [5] Group 5: Market Trends and Sentiment - The short-term market trend appears strong, with noticeable inflows of new capital, although the overall market profitability effect remains weak [7] - The Shanghai Composite Index has shown significant volatility, influenced by recent regulatory tightening and the suspension of certain stocks, indicating a cooling trend in the market [11] - Despite recent corrections, the overall market is expected to remain in a "slow bull" trend, with anticipated narrow fluctuations and upward movement as the "14th Five-Year Plan" continues to promote new productive forces [11]

Core Insights - D-Wave Quantum has established itself as a leading player in the quantum computing sector, with significant stock performance and positive analyst coverage driving investor interest [1][2]. Stock Performance - D-Wave's stock rose 15.4% in December, despite volatility in growth stocks, and continued to show bullish momentum into January with a 10% increase [1][6]. - The current stock price is $28.80, with a market capitalization of $9.8 billion [4]. Analyst Coverage - Mizuho initiated coverage on D-Wave with an outperform rating and a one-year price target of $46 per share, citing strengths in quantum-annealing technologies and growth potential through acquisitions [5]. - Jefferies also initiated coverage with a buy rating, emphasizing the rising demand for quantum-computing technologies as a benefit for D-Wave [6]. - Rosenblatt reiterated a buy rating and increased its one-year price target to $43 per share, highlighting the acquisition of Quantum Circuits as a strategic move [8]. Strategic Developments - D-Wave formed a U.S. government business unit, which could lead to significant government contracts and long-term sales growth [3]. - The company announced a breakthrough in scalable on-chip cryogenic control of qubits, indicating potential applications beyond its current technology [7]. - D-Wave is acquiring Quantum Circuits for $550 million, expected to close soon, which is anticipated to enhance its error-correction performance [7][9].