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LiveWire (LVWR) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-30 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenue for Q2 2025 decreased by 19%, primarily due to a planned reduction in motorcycle shipments and soft demand [10][27] - Consolidated operating income was $112 million, reflecting a 69% decline at HDMC, while HDFS operating income decreased by 2% [28][43] - Earnings per share for Q2 was $0.88, with global retail sales down 15% year over year [28][29] - Operating cash flow decreased by $68 million from the prior period, totaling $509 million [47] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - HDMC revenue decreased by 23% in Q2, driven by a 28% decline in motorcycle shipments [34][35] - HDFS revenue was $257 million, down 2% due to lower retail and commercial receivables [43] - LiveWire reported an operating loss of $19 million, an improvement from a $28 million loss in the prior year [46] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North American retail sales were down 17%, while international markets saw a 12% decline [28][29] - In EMEA, retail was down 5%, with growth in Germany and the Benelux regions offset by declines in France and the UK [30] - Asia Pacific retail was down 21%, attributed to intense competition in the lightweight motorcycle segments [31] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company entered strategic partnerships with KKR and PIMCO for HDFS, aiming to enhance long-term value and reduce overall funding costs [4][5] - Plans to reduce debt by $450 million and accelerate a $1 billion share buyback program were announced [9][49] - The introduction of new entry-level products and a small displacement motorcycle is scheduled for 2026, targeting a price below $6,000 [20][19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted ongoing economic uncertainty and elevated interest rates impacting customer purchasing behavior [10][11] - There are signs of improvement in customer traffic in North America, with expectations for positive retail performance in the second half of the year [66][67] - The company remains cautious about the global tariff environment, estimating a full-year impact of $50 million to $85 million from tariffs [42] Other Important Information - The HDFS transaction is expected to generate $1.25 billion in cash for Harley Davidson, representing about 40% of the current market cap [9][10] - The company is committed to returning capital to shareholders despite the challenging operating environment [48] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the components used to calculate the 1.75 times book value marker for the HDFS transaction? - The calculation is based on the proceeds from KKR and PIMCO's equity investment in the business, reflecting the premium paid versus the post-transaction book value [52][54] Question: What is driving the underlying profitability of HDFS? - The profitability has improved due to stabilization in used motorcycle values and better repossession rates, contributing positively to HDFS performance [56][58] Question: How does the company view current dealer inventories and what is the target for year-end? - The company expects a significant reduction in dealer inventory, targeting a double-digit decline by year-end [71] Question: What is the timing of the model launch shift? - The model year shift is planned for the fall, with new models being introduced to maintain excitement in dealerships [73][74] Question: Are there any guarantees associated with the HDFS transaction regarding growth in retail sales? - There are no guarantees for maintaining certain growth rates or loss levels; however, there is confidence in the business's ability to run profitably through cycles [88][89]
Harley-Davidson(HOG) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-30 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenue in Q2 2025 decreased by 19%, largely in line with expectations across HDMC and HDFS, while revenue also decreased at LiveWire [27] - Consolidated operating income for Q2 was $112 million, a decline of 69% at HDMC, while HDFS operating income decreased by 2% [28] - Earnings per share for Q2 was $0.88, with global retail sales down 15% year-over-year [28][29] - Operating cash flow was $509 million, down $68 million from the prior period, with total cash and cash equivalents at $1.6 billion, a decrease of $261 million year-over-year [46][47] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - HDMC revenue decreased by 23% in Q2, driven by a 28% decline in motorcycle shipments, totaling 36,000 units compared to 50,000 units in the prior year [34] - HDFS revenue was $257 million, a decrease of 2%, with operating income at $70 million, down 2% compared to last year [43] - LiveWire reported an operating loss of $19 million, an improvement from a $28 million loss in the prior Q2, with unit sales down to 55 from 158 [46] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North American retail sales were down 17%, while international markets saw a decline of 12% [28][29] - In EMEA, retail was down 5%, with growth in Germany and the Benelux regions offset by declines in France and the UK [30] - Asia Pacific retail was down 21%, attributed to intense competition in the lightweight motorcycle segments [31] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company has entered strategic partnerships with KKR and PIMCO for HDFS, aiming to enhance long-term value and reduce overall funding costs [3][5] - A new efficiency program will be introduced to enhance productivity, leveraging technology including AI for cost savings [11] - Plans to launch new entry-level products and a small displacement motorcycle are set for 2026, targeting an entry price below $6,000 [20][19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted ongoing economic uncertainty and elevated interest rates impacting customer purchasing behavior [10][29] - There are signs of improvement in customer traffic in North America, with expectations for positive comp growth in the latter half of the year [64][65] - The company remains cautious about the global tariff environment, estimating a full-year impact from tariffs to be between $50 million and $85 million [42] Other Important Information - The HDFS transaction is expected to generate $1.25 billion in cash for Harley Davidson, allowing for debt reduction and share buybacks [9][49] - The company plans to reduce debt by $450 million and invest up to $300 million in future growth opportunities [49] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the components used to calculate the 1.75 times book value marker for the HDFS transaction? - The calculation is based on the proceeds from KKR and PIMCO for their equity investment in the business, reflecting the premium paid versus the post-transaction book value [51][53] Question: What is driving the underlying profitability of HDFS, and what is the normalized profitability expected in 2026? - The profitability has improved due to stabilization in used values and better repossession rates, with normalized earnings expected to be around $240 million to $250 million annually [55][62] Question: How does the company feel about current dealer inventories and the target for year-end? - The company expects a significant reduction in dealer inventory, targeting a double-digit decline by year-end [69][70] Question: What is the rationale for the 4.9% equity sale in the HDFS transaction? - The 4.9% limit is due to regulatory requirements from the FDIC regarding ownership percentages in the HDFS business [76][78]
Harley-Davidson(HOG) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-07-30 13:00
Q2 2025 Performance - Harley-Davidson diluted EPS was $0.88[6] - HDMC operating income margin was 5.9%[6] - HDMC revenue decreased by 23% year-over-year[6] - Global motorcycle shipments decreased by 28%, primarily due to planned dealer inventory reduction[6] - Global motorcycle retail sales decreased by 15% year-over-year[6] - Global dealer inventories decreased by 28% compared to Q2 '24[6, 21] - The cost of new or increased tariffs implemented in '25 was $13 million in Q2 '25[6] - HDFS operating income margin was 27.1%[6] HDFS Transaction - Strategic partners valued the HDFS business at approximately 1.75x post-transaction book value[7, 11, 14] - HDFS agreed to sell a 4.9% common equity interest to investment vehicles managed by KKR and PIMCO[7] - HDFS will sell approximately two-thirds of HDFS future retail loan originations at a premium on an annual basis for five years[7, 14, 55, 58] - The transaction unlocks $1.25 billion in discretionary cash, representing approximately 40% of current Harley-Davidson market capitalization[7] - HDFS agreed to sell over $5 billion of existing gross consumer retail loan receivables and residual interests in securitized consumer loan receivables at a premium[7, 14, 55] - HDFS expects to use a portion of the proceeds to reduce indebtedness to optimize its post-transaction capital structure[7] Financial Outlook & Capital Allocation - HDFS transaction is expected to generate ~$1B of available cash and allow for ~$1.25B distribution to H-D from HDFS[14, 67] - The company intends to use available cash for share buyback of $500M, HDI debt reduction of $450M and reinvestment in HDMC[14, 66]
Will Harley-Davidson Stock Rise On Its Upcoming Earnings?
Forbes· 2025-07-28 09:35
Group 1 - Harley-Davidson is expected to report Q2 2025 earnings on July 30, 2025, with consensus forecasts indicating earnings of approximately $0.96 per share, down from $1.63 in the same quarter last year, and revenue expected to be around $1.1 billion, reflecting a nearly 19% year-over-year decrease [2] - The decline in earnings and revenue suggests a diminishing interest in Harley's high-end motorcycles, attributed to low consumer confidence amid high interest rates and economic uncertainty [2] - The company has retracted its full-year 2025 outlook due to uncertainties related to trade policies and macroeconomic fluctuations, while management emphasizes commitment to cost control and stricter inventory management [2] Group 2 - Harley-Davidson currently has a market capitalization of $3.0 billion, with revenue for the past twelve months at $4.8 billion, generating $314 million in operating profits and $354 million in net income [3] - Historical trends indicate that there have been 17 earnings data points over the past five years, with 11 positive and 6 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 65% occurrence of positive returns [5] - The median of the 11 positive returns is 7.8%, while the median of the 6 negative returns is -6.8% [5] Group 3 - A strategy to analyze the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can be effective, particularly if the correlation is strong [6] - The correlation between 1D and 5D returns can guide traders to position themselves "long" for the subsequent 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive [6] - The performance of peers can influence Harley-Davidson's stock reaction following earnings, with market adjustments potentially beginning prior to the earnings announcement [7]
Harley-Davidson's Challenges Necessitate Extreme Caution
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-26 05:38
Group 1 - Harley-Davidson has been facing challenges recently, with a previous recommendation of 'buy' made in late October 2022 [1] - The overall picture for the motorcycle manufacturer has deteriorated since the earlier positive outlook [1] Group 2 - Crude Value Insights provides an investment service focused on oil and natural gas, emphasizing cash flow and growth potential [1] - Subscribers benefit from a stock model account, detailed cash flow analyses of exploration and production firms, and live discussions about the sector [2]
Chinese Off-Road Motorcycle Manufacturer BSE Makes Strong Debut at São Paulo Electronics Exhibition, Signals South American Expansion Plans
Globenewswire· 2025-07-22 13:00
The company plans to leverage insights gained from this market research trip to develop tailored products and marketing approaches that resonate with Brazilian consumers, positioning itself for continued international growth in emerging South American markets. Established manufacturer showcases off-road motorcycles at Brazil's premier electronics trade show, exploring strategic market opportunities SÃO PAULO, Brazil, July 22, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Zhejiang Bosuer Motion Apparatus Co., Ltd. ("BSE" or "Bos ...
The New Sturgis Harley-Davidson Dealership Makes Sturgis Rally History with Limited-Edition Motorcycle Giveaway and First-Ever Sales on Main Street
Prnewswire· 2025-07-22 13:00
Rallygoers can Purchase or Win One of 26 Exclusive Sturgis Edition Motorcycles and Join the Sturgis Harley-Davidson Founders Club CHARLOTTE, N.C. and STURGIS, S.D., July 22, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Sonic Automotive, Inc. ("Sonic" or the "Company") (NYSE: SAH), one of the nation's largest automotive and powersports retailers, is kicking off a milestone celebration for the 85th Sturgis Motorcycle Rally with a regionwide push across all five of its Harley- Davidson dealerships in the Black Hills, including the fi ...
Harley-Davidson, Inc. To Report Second Quarter 2025 Results on July 30, 2025
Prnewswire· 2025-07-10 12:48
Core Points - Harley-Davidson, Inc. will release its second quarter 2025 financial results on July 30, 2025, before market hours [1] - An audio webcast for discussing financial results and business developments is scheduled from 8-9 a.m. CT on the same day [1] - A slide presentation supporting the discussion will be available prior to the audio webcast [1] Company Background - Harley-Davidson, Inc. is the parent company of Harley-Davidson Motor Company and Harley-Davidson Financial Services [3]
Synchrony and KTM North America Partner to Sponsor Babes in the Dirt 2025 Off-Road Adventure Series to Highlight Women Off-Roaders
Prnewswire· 2025-06-25 13:00
Core Insights - Synchrony has partnered with Babes in the Dirt as the official financing partner for the 2025 Off-Road Adventure Series, aiming to support women's participation in powersports [1][2][4] - Babes in the Dirt is the largest network for women off-roaders in the US, established to transform the powersports industry and promote inclusivity [3][9] - Women are the fastest-growing segment in the powersports market, highlighting a significant opportunity for growth and engagement [2][3] Company Overview - Synchrony is a leading consumer financial services company, providing access to credit and banking products for nearly 100 years, serving tens of millions of people [6] - KTM North America, a subsidiary of KTM AG, is recognized as Europe's leading high-performance motorcycle manufacturer, known for its competitive edge in the powersports industry [7][8] Event Sponsorship and Impact - Synchrony will facilitate financing for motorcycle sales, parts, garments, and accessories through Babes in the Dirt, addressing the needs of attendees who intend to purchase motorcycles [4] - In 2024, 23% of attendees at Babes in the Dirt events did not own a motorcycle but planned to buy one, indicating a strong demand for financing options [4] Mission and Goals - Babes in the Dirt aims to create a supportive environment for women in the powersports community, encouraging participation and adventure [5][9] - The collaboration with Synchrony and KTM is designed to enhance accessibility to motorcycles and related services for aspiring women riders [5][6]
Ituran Announces Strategic Partnership with BMW Motorrad in Brazil
Prnewswire· 2025-06-12 12:30
Core Insights - Ituran Location and Control Ltd. has partnered with BMW Motorrad Brasil to enhance telematics services for motorcycle riders in Brazil, significantly expanding Ituran's total addressable market [1][4] - The partnership aims to provide advanced safety and connectivity features for BMW Motorrad customers, including real-time location tracking and vehicle recovery services [2][3] Company Overview - Ituran is a leader in mobility technology, offering location-based services and is the largest OEM telematics provider in Latin America, with over 2.5 million subscribers [7][8] - BMW Group is a leading premium manufacturer of automobiles and motorcycles, with a global sales network in over 140 countries and a workforce of 159,104 employees as of December 31, 2024 [5][6] Partnership Details - The collaboration will provide BMW Motorrad customers with 24 months of free access to Ituran's services for new motorcycles, while existing customers will have special conditions to access the same features [3] - The initiative is expected to strengthen Ituran's innovation leadership in Brazil, a key market for its global growth [4]