D-Wave Quantum's stock got crushed in November's tech sell-off.While it was far from the only quantum computing company stock to see red in November, D-Wave Quantum's (QBTS +5.09%) 38.8% drop was one of the worst -- only Rigetti Computing's shares fell further. Thankfully for investors, shares of D-Wave have recovered somewhat in the first few days of December, but they remain more than 36.5% off their October high. Here's what's going on and what might be in store for the quantum company.November was a rou ...

Core Insights - The year 2025 has seen significant advancements in quantum computing, with clearer engineering roadmaps and major capital commitments from key players like IBM and Amazon [1][2] - Investor expectations have shifted towards near-term commercialization, with increased capital deployment anticipated in 2026 [3] Company Developments - IBM launched a new quantum data center and outlined a multi-year plan for fault-tolerant systems, boosting market confidence [1] - Amazon's AWS introduced the Ocelot quantum chip, which aims to reduce error-correction overhead by up to 90% [1] - Honeywell's Quantinuum raised approximately $600 million, achieving a valuation close to $10 billion, supported by a DARPA contract [2] - Google's 105-qubit Willow chip achieved a significant milestone by demonstrating a quantum advantage, reportedly 13,000 times faster than classical supercomputers for molecular simulations [2] - IonQ reported a remarkable 222% year-over-year revenue growth in Q3 2025, achieving a world-record 99.99% two-qubit gate fidelity [7][10] - D-Wave's Advantage2 system, a 4,400+ qubit quantum computer, became available for real-world applications, with revenues increasing by 100% year-over-year [11][12] Market Trends - The momentum in quantum computing suggests a rise in customer engagements and collaborations between industry and government, particularly in materials science and pharmaceuticals [3] - Both IonQ and D-Wave are projected to experience strong earnings and sales growth in 2026, reflecting the active progress made in 2025 [9][13] Financial Performance - IonQ's stock has gained 26.1% year-to-date, with expectations of 66.2% earnings growth and 69% sales growth in 2026 [10] - D-Wave's stock surged 221.4% year-to-date, with projected earnings growth of 9.3% and sales growth of 61.3% in 2026 [13]

D-Wave logo overlaying a quantum computing chip. Key Points After more than a month of sharp declines, shares of D-Wave Quantum suddenly spiked 22% in the first few days of December. The company announced a new government-focused business unit, sparking speculation about future U.S. defense contracts. High R&D costs and a long path to profitability continue to make D-Wave a speculative investment despite short-term rallies. Interested in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? Here are five stocks we like better. D-W ...

Strategic agreement broadens Xanadu’s presence in SingaporeTORONTO, Dec. 08, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Xanadu Quantum Technologies Inc. (“Xanadu”), a leading photonic quantum computing company, today announced it has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (“MoU”) with the Agency for Science, Technology and Research (“A*STAR”) in Singapore. This agreement builds on Xanadu’s existing partnership with A*STAR Institute of Microelectronics (A*STAR IME) and extends to include the A*STAR Institute of High Performance ...

Core Insights - Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT) is highlighted as a unique company within the quantum sector, indicating potential investment interest [1] Company Overview - The article focuses on Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT) as part of an expanding portfolio in the quantum sector [1] Investment Perspective - The author expresses a personal interest in adding QUBT to their investment portfolio, suggesting a positive outlook on the company's potential [1]

Industry Overview - Quantum computing is currently not commercially viable and is expected to take a few more years to reach relevance [2] - The industry has experienced two boom-and-bust cycles, with significant hype in late 2024 and a notable decline in October and November 2025 [1][2] Company Analysis: Alphabet - Alphabet is identified as a leading player in quantum computing, leveraging its cash flows from other successful ventures to invest in this technology [4] - The Willow quantum computing chip has achieved significant milestones, including delivering the first verifiable quantum advantage, completing tasks 13,000 times faster than the fastest supercomputer [5][6] - Alphabet's strong financial position, with a market cap of $3,877 billion and a gross margin of 59.18%, provides a safety net for investors [7] Company Analysis: IonQ - IonQ's business model is highly dependent on the success of its quantum computing technology, presenting a high-risk, high-reward scenario for investors [8] - The company utilizes a trapped ion approach, achieving a two-qubit gate fidelity of 99.99%, which is superior to many competitors [9][11] - IonQ has a market cap of $19 billion but faces significant risks, as failure could lead to a total loss of investment [10][11] Company Analysis: Nvidia - Nvidia is not directly competing in quantum computing but focuses on providing advanced GPUs, which are essential for AI workloads [12] - The company has introduced NVQlink, allowing quantum computing firms like IonQ to integrate with existing GPU ecosystems, ensuring Nvidia's relevance in a hybrid computing future [14][15] - Nvidia's market cap stands at $4,433 billion, with a gross margin of 70.05%, indicating a strong financial position [13]

Core Viewpoint - Quantum computing stocks are experiencing unsustainably high valuations, driven by hype rather than substantial technological advancements or customer traction [3][8][9]. Group 1: Market Performance - Since the launch of ChatGPT in late 2022, shares of the Roundhill Generative AI & Technology ETF and the Invesco QQQ Trust have increased by 137% and 84% respectively, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [1]. - Quantum computing stocks, particularly IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum, have surged over 1,000% since the onset of the AI revolution [6]. Group 2: Valuation Concerns - Current valuations of quantum computing stocks are compared to the dot-com bubble era, where companies had inflated price-to-sales (P/S) ratios without sustainable business models [11][13]. - Quantum computing pure plays are trading at P/S ratios significantly higher than those of leading companies during the dot-com bubble, which peaked at 31 to 51 for firms like Microsoft and Amazon [15]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics - The rise in quantum computing stock prices is largely attributed to speculative trading and hype in online forums, transforming these stocks into "meme stocks" [9]. - Despite significant investments in acquisitions and new technologies, companies like IonQ, Rigetti, and D-Wave have not achieved meaningful technological breakthroughs or substantial enterprise customer traction [8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - There is a belief that a correction in quantum computing stock prices is likely, with indications that insiders at D-Wave and Rigetti are selling shares, suggesting a lack of confidence in sustained high valuations [17][18]. - The expectation is that quantum computing stocks may experience a significant decline in 2026, with pure plays being particularly vulnerable [18].

Core Insights - Wall Street analysts expect shares of Rigetti Computing and D-Wave Quantum to increase over the next year, with unanimous positive outlooks from analysts covering both companies [1][2]. Rigetti Computing - The median target price for Rigetti Computing is $40 per share, indicating a 42% upside from its current price of $28, with the highest target suggesting an 82% upside [4]. - Rigetti specializes in superconducting quantum computing, utilizing microscopic superconducting circuits cooled to near absolute zero to create qubits, which allow for more efficient problem-solving compared to classical computers [5]. - The company benefits from vertical integration, controlling its supply chain to achieve cost efficiencies, and has developed the first multi-chip quantum processor, potentially giving it an edge in scaling fault-tolerant systems [6]. - Rigetti's valuation is a concern, with a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 1,080, significantly higher than the most expensive stock in the S&P 500, indicating potential unsustainability [9]. D-Wave Quantum - The median target price for D-Wave Quantum is $40 per share, suggesting a 48% upside from its current price of $27, with the highest target indicating a 77% upside [10]. - D-Wave focuses on quantum annealers, which excel at solving optimization problems but cannot run most quantum algorithms, making them a niche technology [11]. - D-Wave's revenue increased by 100% to $3.7 million, but it reported a non-GAAP net loss of $18.1 million, with a significant increase in outstanding shares due to stockholder dilution [13]. - D-Wave's valuation is also concerning, trading at 325 times sales, which is deemed unreasonably expensive given the projected growth rate of the quantum computing market at 21% per year [14].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the semiconductor industry or specific companies within it [12]. Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a significant increase in demand, particularly in data centers focused on AI, with project requests growing 10-100 times over the past year [2][6]. - Seagate Technology (STX) has a positive outlook on demand, with order visibility extending through at least the end of 2026, and emphasizes that hard disk drives (HDD) will not be the primary bottleneck in data center construction as long as the industry maintains a 25% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in bit shipments [4][7]. - The quantum computing sector faces substantial engineering challenges, with commercialization expected to be 4-5 years away, and differing opinions on the integration of classical computing with quantum technologies [3]. Summary by Sections Data Center Insights - T5 Data Centers reported a notable increase in project requests, with a focus on power availability and proximity to natural gas pipelines, particularly in Texas [2][6]. - The demand for power supply for data centers is strong, with customers looking to secure availability for 2027 [6]. Seagate Technology (STX) Insights - STX management indicated that they do not plan to increase unit capacity unless HDD becomes the tightest constraint, and they are currently focused on improving drive density [4][7]. - The company has qualified five public cloud customers for HAMR technology, with expectations for significant volume growth in the coming years [7]. Quantum Computing Insights - The quantum panel highlighted that while there is consensus on the significant engineering challenges, financing remains a bottleneck for progress [3]. - Participants noted that the path to commercialization and early applications remains unclear, with expectations for changes in post-quantum security as technology matures [3].

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