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2 Top Growth Stocks to Buy in 2026 That Should Be Immune to an AI Stocks Bubble Bursting: Netflix and Casey's General Stores
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-07 23:50
Core Viewpoint - Netflix and Casey's General Stores are recommended as strong investment options that are likely to perform well even if AI stocks experience a significant decline, which could negatively impact the broader market [2]. Group 1: Netflix - Netflix is the world's largest video streaming service with over 300 million paid memberships globally, and it plans to expand into the video podcast space in early 2026 through a partnership with Spotify [6]. - The company announced a $72 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery's TV and film studios, including HBO and HBO Max, which is expected to close in 12 to 18 months pending approvals [7]. - Netflix's revenue increased by 17% to $11.51 billion in Q3, with EPS rising by 8.7% year over year, despite some earnings being affected by a dispute with Brazilian tax authorities [10]. - The company achieved its highest quarterly "view share" ever in the U.S. and U.K., and it projects a revenue growth of 17% and EPS growth of 28% for Q4 [11]. - Netflix's stock gained 70.7% during the Great Recession, while the S&P 500 fell by 35.6% during the same period, indicating its resilience in challenging economic times [8]. Group 2: Casey's General Stores - Casey's General Stores operates 2,895 locations across 19 states, making it the third-largest convenience store chain in the U.S. [14][15]. - The company offers a unique product mix, including gasoline, freshly prepared food, and its popular made-from-scratch pizza, ranking as the fifth-largest pizza chain in the U.S. [16]. - In fiscal Q1 of 2026, Casey's revenue increased by 11% to $4.57 billion, with net income surging by 20% year over year, translating to EPS growth of 20% [18]. - The stock pays a modest dividend yielding 0.4%, which can contribute positively to long-term returns [18]. - During the Great Recession, Casey's stock declined only 11.5%, showcasing its stability compared to the S&P 500's 35.6% drop [19].
Former Amazon Studios Head Reportedly Has Warning On Netflix-WBD Deal: 'Hollywood Will Become A System That Circles A Single Sun' - Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX)
Benzinga· 2025-12-07 09:30
Core Viewpoint - The acquisition of Warner Bros. by Netflix could significantly reshape Hollywood, potentially centralizing the industry around Netflix and altering its cultural output [2][3]. Group 1: Industry Impact - The merger would combine Netflix, the leading premium streaming service, with Warner Bros., a major legacy film studio, raising concerns about reduced consumer choice and fewer creative opportunities [4]. - The consolidation could lead to a monopsony, diminishing the bargaining power of writers, directors, and other creatives, similar to previous blocked mergers in other industries [6]. - The proposed $82.7 billion merger has faced criticism from lawmakers and industry veterans, with concerns over increased prices and reduced consumer choice [7]. Group 2: Financial Implications - Netflix's annual content spending is estimated at $18 billion, while Warner Bros. spends around $20 billion, potentially doubling Netflix's market share from 9% to 18% post-merger [5]. - The merger is viewed as a strategic move beyond films and shows, with implications in artificial intelligence and technology, aligning with broader industry ambitions [8]. Group 3: Market Reactions - The announcement of the merger has affected other industry players, such as AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc., indicating potential shifts in the market landscape [9].
CNN Got Snubbed In The Netflix-WBD Deal—Why That's Ultimately A Good Thing
Forbes· 2025-12-06 19:55
Core Perspective - CNN's exclusion from Netflix's $82.7 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery may initially seem like a significant oversight, but it could ultimately benefit CNN by preserving its independence from a parent company that may compromise its journalistic integrity [2][3][6]. Group 1: CNN's Position and Future - CNN's chairman Mark Thompson indicated that the company will continue to pursue its strategy for a successful digital transition, with a budget for increased investment already set for 2026 [8]. - The network has experienced significant ownership changes over the past decade, moving from Time Warner to AT&T, then to WarnerMedia, and finally to Warner Bros. Discovery [9][10]. - CNN's current situation may allow it to avoid the complications associated with being owned by a company like Netflix, which has a history of local censorship that could conflict with CNN's journalistic mission [5][6]. Group 2: Potential Future Acquisitions - Paramount's interest in acquiring CNN could present a new opportunity, as the company reportedly sought to buy all of Warner Bros. Discovery, unlike Netflix, which focused only on streaming and film [12]. - A merger between CBS News and CNN could create a powerful news operation, with fewer regulatory hurdles compared to previous years [15]. - The absence of a Netflix acquisition may make CNN a more attractive target for potential buyers, as it could be seen as a strategic bargain in the current market [13].
Trump admin reportedly skeptical about Netflix and Warner Bros $72B deal
Fox Business· 2025-12-06 19:16
Core Viewpoint - The proposed $72 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery by Netflix faces skepticism from the Trump administration, raising concerns about regulatory approval and potential antitrust issues [1][5][10]. Company and Industry Summary - Netflix's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery would significantly enhance its content library, adding popular franchises and shows such as "The Big Bang Theory," "Game of Thrones," and the DC Universe [11][14]. - Paramount Skydance has made multiple bids to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery entirely, with a final offer pricing shares at $30 each, indicating competitive interest in the company [2][5]. - The deal has drawn criticism from various stakeholders, including Senator Elizabeth Warren, who argues it could create a media monopoly, leading to higher prices and fewer choices for consumers [9][10]. - The Writers Guild of America has also opposed the merger, stating it would harm jobs and wages in the entertainment industry, emphasizing that antitrust laws are designed to prevent such consolidations [10]. - Netflix's leadership argues that the merger would provide greater value and choice for consumers, enhance the creative community, and strengthen the entertainment industry overall [17]. - The transaction is expected to close after Warner Bros. Discovery separates its streaming and studio divisions into two publicly traded companies, anticipated to be completed in the latter half of 2026 [18].
What does Netflix’s offer to buy HBO Max mean for you?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-06 16:35
Core Insights - Netflix is considering bundling its service with HBO Max, indicating a significant overlap in their subscriber bases [1][5] - The acquisition deal, valued at $82.7 billion, is expected to close within 12 to 18 months, but no immediate changes to membership plans are anticipated [4][2] - Regulatory scrutiny is expected to be a major hurdle for the merger, with concerns about market competition and consumer pricing [10][15] Company Strategies - Netflix's co-CEO highlighted the complementary nature of both services, suggesting potential benefits in customer retention and engagement through bundling [6] - Analysts compare this bundling strategy to Disney's acquisition of Hulu, which could lead to lower costs for consumers who subscribe to both services [7][8] - The integration of HBO Max into Netflix's platform is seen as a long-term goal, but it would involve significant technical challenges [9][8] Market Dynamics - The average U.S. household subscribes to four streaming services, costing approximately $69 per month, indicating a price-sensitive consumer base [3] - Netflix currently has over 300 million subscribers globally, while Warner Bros. Discovery has 128 million, suggesting a combined market presence that would surpass competitors like Amazon Prime and Disney+ [11] - As of October, Netflix had 69 million U.S. subscribers, with 10.6 million subscribing to both Netflix and HBO Max, representing a substantial overlap [12] Regulatory Environment - Analysts predict that Netflix will argue its market position should be viewed in the context of the broader entertainment landscape, including cable and ad-supported platforms [13][14] - Regulatory bodies in the U.S. and Europe are expected to closely monitor the merger's impact on competition and consumer options [10] - Paramount Skydance has made a competing bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, which could complicate Netflix's acquisition plans [15]
A Thanksgiving dealmaking sprint helped Netflix win Warner Bros.
Fortune· 2025-12-06 14:13
The Netflix Inc. plans that clinched the deal for Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. started to shape up around Thanksgiving. A deadline was looming: Warner Bros. had asked bidders, which also included Paramount Skydance Corp. and Comcast Corp., to have their latest proposals and contracts in by the Monday after the holiday, following a round about a week earlier. The suitors were told to put their best foot forward.While most Americans were watching football and feasting on turkey, Netflix executives and advisers ...
Did Paramount end up burning down its own house with its pursuit of Warner Bros. Discovery?
MarketWatch· 2025-12-06 13:30
Core Insights - Paramount's decision to initiate a sales process may lead to a significant disadvantage against larger streaming competitors like Netflix [1] Group 1 - The opening of a sales process by Paramount could potentially drive the company into a partnership or acquisition by Netflix [1] - This move may result in Paramount being overshadowed by Netflix, which is a much larger player in the streaming industry [1]
Warner Bros Disaster? Netflix inks deal for troubled Hollywood giant
The Guardian· 2025-12-06 11:00
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges faced by Warner Bros Discovery following its merger, highlighting the impending acquisition by Netflix and questioning the success of previous promises made during the merger process [1][10]. Group 1: Merger Background - David Zaslav, CEO of Warner Bros Discovery, previously negotiated a significant merger between Discovery and WarnerMedia, combining various iconic brands and promising value creation [2][3]. - The merger aimed to create a "globally scaled growth company" with a strong balance sheet, but the reality has been disappointing for stakeholders [5]. Group 2: Current Challenges - Hollywood operators have experienced cost cuts and difficulties in revitalizing box office returns, contrary to promises of more resources and larger audiences [4]. - Shareholders have seen steep declines in stock value, with executives struggling to improve the company's financial health [5]. - Fans have faced a lack of diverse choices on the streaming platform, which has struggled with branding and content decisions [6]. Group 3: Executive Compensation - Despite the challenges faced by the company, Zaslav has maintained a high compensation level, with a reported pay package of $51.9 million last year [7]. Group 4: Future Prospects - Netflix is planning an $82.7 billion acquisition of Warner Bros and HBO, promising to generate "more choice, more opportunities, more value" for stakeholders [10]. - The article reflects on the historical context of Warner Bros' previous mergers and acquisitions, suggesting skepticism about the success of the upcoming deal [11][12].
Wall Street predicts Netflix stock price for the next 12 months
Finbold· 2025-12-06 10:18
Core Viewpoint - Netflix's stock has experienced short-term volatility due to the announcement of a significant acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, but analysts remain optimistic about a potential recovery over the next year [1][6]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of the close of the last trading session, Netflix shares were valued at $100, reflecting a nearly 3% decline for the day, while year-to-date, the shares have increased by over 12% [1][3]. - The stock's downturn is attributed to a combination of a rare earnings miss and the announcement of a $72 billion acquisition deal, which totals $82.7 billion when including debt [3][5]. Group 2: Acquisition Details - The Warner Bros. acquisition is one of the largest in the entertainment sector, granting Netflix control over HBO, DC Studios, and Warner's extensive film and TV catalog [4]. - The completion of the acquisition is contingent upon Warner Bros. Discovery spinning off its linear TV networks, expected by Q3 2026, followed by necessary regulatory approvals, which introduces uncertainty into the timeline [4]. Group 3: Earnings Impact - In Q3 2025, Netflix reported revenue of $11.51 billion, but earnings per share (EPS) fell to $5.87, missing forecasts due to a one-time tax charge of $619 million related to a Brazilian dispute, ending a streak of consecutive earnings beats [5]. Group 4: Analyst Outlook - Wall Street analysts have a 'Moderate Buy' consensus on Netflix, with 28 out of 37 analysts recommending a buy, and an average 12-month price target of $137.65, indicating a potential upside of 37.3% [6]. - Price targets range from a low of $92 to a high of $160, reflecting a mix of caution and optimism in the market [6]. Group 5: Strategic Value of Acquisition - Oppenheimer analyst Jason Helfstein reiterated an 'Outperform' rating on Netflix with a price target of $145, emphasizing the strategic value of the $83 billion acquisition, which is expected to be EPS-accretive by FY28 [8]. - The acquisition is seen as a way to enhance Netflix's content library and production capabilities, with synergies in content integration and talent attraction [9].
Netflix has a history of successful self-disruption. Its Warner Bros.
Business Insider· 2025-12-06 10:10
Core Insights - Netflix's recent acquisition of Warner Bros Discovery's studio and streaming services marks a significant shift in its business strategy, reversing its previous stance against large mergers and acquisitions [1][2][4] Group 1: Strategic Shifts - Netflix has historically preferred organic growth over acquisitions, but the new deal is framed as a strategic move based on understanding the business being acquired [2][4] - The company has a track record of successfully pivoting its strategies in response to market changes, such as cracking down on password sharing and embracing advertising [3][5] Group 2: Historical Context of Pivots - The transition from DVD rentals to streaming in 2007 was a pivotal moment that fundamentally changed Netflix's business model [5] - The decision to charge for password sharing in 2023 resulted in a surge in subscriptions, indicating the effectiveness of its strategic pivots [6] - Netflix's entry into advertising in 2022, despite previous resistance, was a response to slowing subscription growth and is expected to be a significant growth driver [8] Group 3: Acquisition Rationale - The acquisition of WBD's content is seen as a solution to Netflix's franchise scarcity problem, providing access to valuable intellectual properties like DC Comics and Harry Potter [11][12] - The deal aims to enhance Netflix's hours of consumption, which have stagnated despite an increase in subscribers [11][13] Group 4: Challenges Ahead - Integrating WBD's assets poses challenges, including cultural differences between Netflix's corporate culture and that of traditional media companies [15][16] - Concerns have been raised regarding the regulatory scrutiny the acquisition may face, particularly given the political landscape [17][18] Group 5: Market Reception - Wall Street reacted skeptically to the acquisition news, with Netflix shares declining by approximately 3% [16] - Analysts express mixed feelings about the price of the deal, while acknowledging the potential for Netflix to enhance its content portfolio and market position [17][19]