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汇丰:80 个数据点看世界,动力是否会暂时减弱?2025 年 5 月
汇丰· 2025-06-23 02:10
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Prysmian (PRY IM) with a target price of EUR74 and Emerson Electric (EMR US) with a target price of USD153, indicating positive investment opportunities in the capital goods sector [7][15][76][77]. Core Insights - The HSBC Global Composite Capex Lead Indicator declined to -30 in May 2025 from -7 in March 2025, reflecting a slowdown in global capital expenditure due to tariff volatility, although some sectors showed improvement [7][21]. - The FTSE World Industrials Index has shown resilience, increasing by 9% quarter-to-date despite geopolitical uncertainties and tariff-related challenges [7][14]. - The report highlights a potential for positive performance in the FTSE World Industrials over the next six months, supported by a reading of -30 in the lead indicator [7][21]. Summary by Sections Global Capex Outlook - The report forecasts global capex to reach approximately USD3.9 trillion in 2025, with sectors like Software, Airlines, and Computer Hardware expected to lead growth [23][24]. - The capital goods sector is experiencing varied performance across regions, with EMEA showing improvement while APAC and the Americas faced declines [7][31][35]. Regional Analysis - **Americas**: The capex lead indicator declined marginally to -36 in May 2025, with mixed performance across sectors; manufacturing improved while construction and utilities declined [31][32]. - **EMEA**: The capex lead indicator improved to -11 in May 2025, driven by early-cycle improvements in manufacturing and transport [33][34]. - **Asia Pacific**: The capex lead indicator fell to -40 in May 2025, primarily due to a significant decline in mainland China, although Japan showed some improvement [35][36]. Subsector Performance - **Manufacturing**: The lead indicator improved to +13 in May 2025, with positive trends in the Americas and EMEA, while mainland China declined [43][44]. - **Utilities**: The lead indicator rose significantly to +45 in May 2025, indicating strong growth in solar and gas generation investments [56][57]. - **Consumer**: The lead indicator improved slightly to -56 in May 2025, with low-level improvements in the Americas and EMEA, while Japan and mainland China saw declines [58][59]. Stock Recommendations - **Prysmian**: The company is well-positioned to benefit from US electrification trends and has a strong demand outlook in the T&D segment, justifying a Buy rating [68][69]. - **Emerson Electric**: The company is expected to benefit from a transformation towards automation and improved margins, leading to a Buy rating with a target price of USD153 [76][77].
Brookfield Infrastructure to Issue $250 Million of 30-Year Subordinated Notes
Globenewswire· 2025-05-13 22:22
Core Points - Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. announced the issuance of $250 million in Fixed-to-Fixed Reset Rate Subordinated Notes due September 1, 2055, with an initial interest rate of 5.598% until September 1, 2030, and subsequent resets every five years [1][2] - The net proceeds from the offering will be used for general corporate purposes, including repayment of outstanding debt [1] - The Notes will be issued by Brookfield Infrastructure Finance ULC, a wholly-owned subsidiary, and are guaranteed on a subordinated basis by Brookfield Infrastructure and certain subsidiaries [2][3] Company Overview - Brookfield Infrastructure is a leading global infrastructure company that operates high-quality, long-life assets in utilities, transport, midstream, and data sectors across the Americas, Asia Pacific, and Europe [7] - The company focuses on assets with contracted and regulated revenues that generate predictable and stable cash flows [7] - Brookfield Infrastructure is the flagship listed infrastructure company of Brookfield Asset Management, which manages over $1 trillion in assets [8]
NTG Nordic Transport Group publishes interim report for Q1 2025
Globenewswire· 2025-05-12 15:34
Company announcement no. 8 – 2512 May 2025 NTG Nordic Transport Group publishes interim report for Q1 2025 The interim report for Q1 2025 is enclosed. In connection with publication of the results for Q1 2025, a conference call will be hosted on 13 May 2025 at 10:00 AM CEST. The conference call will be held in English and can be followed live via NTG’s website; investor.ntg.com. Additional information For additional information, please contact: Investor relations and press:Sebastian Rosborg,Head of Investor ...
2024年基础设施监测
Shi Jie Yin Hang· 2025-04-23 23:10
Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for infrastructure, particularly in developed markets, with a notable rebound in greenfield investments and a projected recovery in secondary market activities as interest rates decline [9][11][84]. Core Insights - Global private investment in infrastructure projects increased by 10 percent in 2023, primarily driven by developed markets, while low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) saw a slight decline [9][10]. - Infrastructure fundraising faced significant challenges in 2023, with total capital raised dropping to $94.9 billion, nearly half of 2022 levels, but is expected to stabilize in 2024 [18][84]. - Infrastructure debt remains attractive to investors due to its reliable cash flows and historically lower default rates compared to non-financial corporate debt, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 77 percent in 2023 [25][84]. - Renewable energy and transport sectors dominate infrastructure investment, accounting for two-thirds of total activity, with a significant surge in private investment in hydrogen projects [31][36]. - The report highlights a growing divergence in investment levels between high-income countries (HICs) and LMICs, with HICs experiencing a 15 percent increase in infrastructure investment in primary markets [45][46]. Summary by Sections Greenfield Investment - Greenfield investment in developed markets continues to rebound, while growth in emerging markets lags, with investment levels significantly higher than the five-year average [9][10]. Rising Interest Rates - Rising interest rates have tempered return expectations across most infrastructure fund types, leading to a significant decline in fundraising [17][18]. Infrastructure Resilience - Despite macroeconomic uncertainty, private infrastructure financing has maintained a stable debt-to-equity ratio, with infrastructure debt demonstrating lower default rates [25][84]. Policy and Incentives - Policy changes have influenced investor strategies, with renewable energy and transport consistently dominating investment, while digital infrastructure has gained importance [31][32]. Investment Gaps - There is a widening investment gap between HICs and LMICs, with LMICs representing less than 20 percent of overall volumes compared to 30 percent a decade ago [46][47]. Regulatory Frameworks - Strengthening regulatory frameworks is essential for attracting private capital in emerging markets, with improvements potentially increasing investment by approximately $500 million [54][58]. Development Institutions - Development institutions play a critical role in mobilizing private capital in LMICs, providing co-financing for 30 percent of total private investment [61][62]. Blended Finance - Blended finance and guarantees are effective tools for bridging investment gaps, with evidence showing that projects backed by guarantees have higher private commercial debt participation [65][67]. Local Currency Financing - Local currency financing for private investment in infrastructure projects in LMICs decreased to 37 percent in 2023, highlighting the need for stronger local markets [72][73]. Capital Markets - There is a growing shift towards leveraging domestic and international capital markets to mobilize long-term funding for infrastructure projects [78][79]. Conclusion - The report concludes that while private investment in infrastructure has faced volatility, it has shown resilience, particularly in the context of rising interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainty [83][84].