Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company generated $35 million of free cash flow in Q1 2025 and $214 million over the last twelve months [5] - The current debt stands at $118 million, with expectations of significant increases in unitholder distributions as debt is paid off next year [5][6] - Net income for the mineral rights segment in Q1 2025 was $45 million, with operating cash flow at $43 million and free cash flow at $44 million, showing a decrease compared to the prior year's first quarter [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The mineral rights business generated $44 million of free cash flow in Q1 2025, but net income decreased by $15 million compared to the previous year due to weaker steel demand [6][12] - The soda ash segment saw a significant decline, with cash distributions from Shisha Jam Wyoming dropping 80% to $3 million, attributed to low sales prices and high inventories [7][8] - The corporate and financing segment performance was relatively flat, with slight improvements in operating cash flow and free cash flow due to lower interest payments [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Prices for metallurgical coal, thermal coal, and soda ash have declined significantly, impacting overall performance [5][6] - The soda ash market is currently experiencing a bear market, with prices trading below production costs for many producers [8][12] - International soda ash pricing has decreased significantly from record highs in 2023, primarily due to weakened demand from the construction and automobile markets [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on debt reduction and maintaining a solid capital structure, with cash flow priorities including liquidity and balance sheet strength [18] - There is no current plan to sell assets, as the company prefers to be a long-term holder of its mineral rights [23] - The company is monitoring legislative developments but does not anticipate significant impacts on its business from the new administration [40] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects weak prices for key commodities to persist, which will continue to affect performance [5][6] - Despite current market headwinds, the outlook for equity holders is considered brighter than in the past decade [44] - The company is optimistic about long-term opportunities in carbon neutral initiatives, despite current market challenges [10] Other Important Information - The company paid a fourth quarter 2024 distribution of $0.75 per common unit and announced a similar distribution for Q1 2025 [13][14] - The company is making small-scale progress in geothermal, solar, and lithium initiatives [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: Anticipation of future dividends - Management does not have an anticipation for dividends one year from now but prioritizes distributions as cash flow allows [16][17] Question: Opportunities for asset monetization - The company does not plan to sell assets but would consider monetizing if opportunities arise at favorable valuations [23] Question: Future of M&A and coal industry sentiment - Management is focused on executing their current strategy and is not actively pursuing acquisitions at this time [24] Question: Volumes in the Illinois Basin and met coal production - The uptick in volumes is expected to persist, but management acknowledges that prices are at or below marginal costs for many operators, which may lead to production reductions [30][32]

Core Points - Peabody has notified Anglo American Plc of a Material Adverse Change (MAC) affecting its planned acquisition of steelmaking coal assets due to issues at the Moranbah North Mine, which has been inactive since a gas ignition event on March 31, 2025 [1][2] - The uncertainty surrounding the Moranbah North Mine has raised concerns about the acquisition's value, as a significant portion of it was tied to this mine, and there is currently no known timetable for resuming production [2] - If the MAC is not resolved satisfactorily within the specified timeframe, Peabody may choose to terminate the acquisition agreements [2] Company Overview - Peabody is a leading coal producer that provides essential products for affordable and reliable energy and steel production [3] - The company's commitment to sustainability is a core aspect of its strategy and operations [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated operating profit increased over 60% year-over-year, with net income rising by 7% and EBITDA increasing by 14% [5][12][13] - Operating profit for the first quarter of 2025 was $7,700,000 compared to $4,800,000 in the first quarter of 2024, while net income rose to $4,900,000 from $4,600,000 [12][14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Coal Mining segment saw operating profit rise to $3,800,000 from an operating loss of $400,000 in the prior year, with segment adjusted EBITDA increasing to $5,800,000 from $1,800,000 [14] - North American Mining's operating profit decreased to $2,000,000 from $2,400,000, while segment adjusted EBITDA remained comparable at $4,700,000 [15][16] - Minerals Management's operating profit was stable at $7,900,000, with adjusted EBITDA increasing to $9,800,000 from $8,900,000 [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The coal mining segment is expected to see a modest increase in deliveries in 2025 due to improved customer demand and the absence of temporary price concessions [16][17] - North American Mining is projected to improve results in 2025, with anticipated performance gains in the second half of the year [17][18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is optimistic about the regulatory environment for fossil fuels, which is expected to support growth in coal, oil, and natural gas sectors [7][45] - The company is focusing on expanding its portfolio in the Minerals Management segment, with a budget of up to $20,000,000 annually for investments [11][18] - The company is exploring solar initiatives, particularly on reclaimed mine land, to leverage its existing assets [94][97] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management views 2025 as a pivotal transition year, with expectations for continued improvement across all business segments [12] - The company anticipates a moderate year-over-year increase in consolidated operating profit, despite some expected challenges in the coal mining segment [16][19] Other Important Information - The company has consolidated cash of approximately $62,000,000 and debt of $96,000,000 as of March 31, 2025 [20] - A significant noncash settlement charge is anticipated upon the termination of the defined benefit pension plan, which will impact net income [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you explain the recurring inventory charges in Mississippi Lignite? - Management explained that inventory impairment is due to high-cost coal from inefficiencies last year and a lower adjustment in price based on a long-standing contract formula [25][28] Question: What are the practical implications of a more favorable regulatory environment? - Management noted that the current administration is focused on developing U.S. resources, including coal, and has signed executive orders to support the fossil fuel industry [44][45] Question: Is there seasonality in North American Mining? - Management indicated that there is little seasonality in North American Mining, with operations primarily in Southern states [48] Question: What is the status of the asset held for sale? - Management confirmed that the asset consists of draglines and a building in North Dakota, which are actively being marketed [69][70] Question: How does the mitigation resources business operate? - Management described the mitigation resources business as lumpy, with periodic credit releases based on the lifecycle of mitigation banks [71][75]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated operating profit increased over 60% year-over-year, with net income rising by 7% and EBITDA increasing by 14% [5][12] - Operating profit for the first quarter of 2025 was $7,700,000 compared to $4,800,000 in the first quarter of 2024, while net income rose to $4,900,000 from $4,600,000 [12][14] - Adjusted EBITDA increased to $12,800,000 from $11,200,000 in the previous year [12][13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Coal Mining segment saw operating profit rise to $3,800,000 from an operating loss of $400,000 in the prior year, with segment adjusted EBITDA increasing to $5,800,000 from $1,800,000 [14] - North American Mining's operating profit decreased to $2,000,000 from $2,400,000, while segment adjusted EBITDA remained comparable at $4,700,000 [15] - Minerals Management's operating profit was stable at $7,900,000, with adjusted EBITDA increasing to $9,800,000 from $8,900,000 [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The coal mining segment's improvement was attributed to higher pricing and increased customer demand, particularly at Falkirk and Mississippi Lignite Mining Company [6][7] - North American Mining faced reduced customer demand, impacting operating profit, but is expected to improve in the second half of 2025 [8][17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is optimistic about the regulatory environment for fossil fuels, with recent executive orders supporting coal and fossil fuel development [7][44] - The company is focusing on expanding its portfolio in Minerals Management and anticipates continued profitability in this segment [11][18] - The company is exploring solar initiatives, particularly on reclaimed mine land, to diversify its energy offerings [90][93] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management views 2025 as a pivotal transition year, with expectations for moderate year-over-year increases in consolidated operating profit [12][19] - The company anticipates a return to normal operating levels at Mississippi Lignite Mining Company, although a reduction in sales price is expected to offset some improvements [17] - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth potential of the mitigation resources business despite its current lumpiness [76] Other Important Information - The company has consolidated cash of approximately $62,000,000 and debt of $96,000,000 as of March 31, 2025 [20] - A significant noncash settlement charge is anticipated upon the termination of the defined benefit pension plan, which will impact net income [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you explain the recurring inventory charges at Mississippi Lignite? - Management explained that inventory impairment is due to high-cost coal from inefficiencies and a lower adjustment in price based on a formula that considers historical indices [25][28] Question: What are the practical implications of a more favorable regulatory environment? - Management noted that the administration is focused on developing U.S. fossil fuel resources, which includes executive orders aimed at supporting coal [43][44] Question: Is there a way to track expansion in the mitigation resources business? - Management acknowledged the lack of a clear metric but confirmed that the business is growing rapidly [78][81] Question: What progress has been made on the solar initiative? - Management indicated ongoing development of solar projects, particularly on reclaimed mine land, while navigating uncertainties around tax credits [90][93]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated operating profit increased over 60% year-over-year, with net income rising by 7% and EBITDA increasing by 14% [5][12] - Operating profit for the first quarter of 2025 was $7.7 million, compared to $4.8 million in the first quarter of 2024, while net income rose to $4.9 million from $4.6 million [12][14] - Adjusted EBITDA increased to $12.8 million from $11.2 million in the previous year [12][13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Coal Mining segment saw operating profit rise to $3.8 million and adjusted EBITDA increase to $5.8 million, a significant improvement from an operating loss of $0.4 million and EBITDA of $1.8 million in the prior year [14] - North American Mining's operating profit decreased to $2 million from $2.4 million, while adjusted EBITDA remained comparable at $4.7 million [15] - Minerals Management's operating profit was stable at $7.9 million, with adjusted EBITDA increasing to $9.8 million from $8.9 million [16][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The coal mining segment is expected to see a modest increase in deliveries in 2025 due to improved customer demand and the absence of temporary price concessions [17] - North American Mining is projected to deliver improved results in 2025, with anticipated performance gains in the second half of the year [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is optimistic about the regulatory environment for the fossil fuel industry, with recent executive orders from the administration aimed at supporting coal and fossil fuel resources [7][40] - The company is focused on expanding its portfolio in the Minerals Management segment, with a budget of up to $20 million annually for investments [11] - The company is exploring opportunities in solar energy, particularly on reclaimed mine land, to leverage its existing assets [81][85] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management views 2025 as a pivotal transition year, with expectations for moderate year-over-year increases in consolidated operating profit [12][20] - The company anticipates a significant improvement in the second half of 2025 due to trends in oil and natural gas prices [20] - Management expressed confidence in the profitability of the Mitigation Resources segment, which is expected to continue to grow [72] Other Important Information - The company plans to terminate its defined benefit pension plan, which will result in a significant noncash settlement charge but will eliminate future earnings volatility [20] - As of March 31, 2025, the company had consolidated cash of approximately $62 million and debt of $96 million [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: What leads to recurring inventory charges in Mississippi Lignite? - Management explained that inventory impairment is due to high-cost coal from inefficiencies and a lower adjustment in price based on a formula tied to historical indices [26][30] Question: What are the practical implications of a more favorable regulatory environment? - Management noted that the administration is focused on developing U.S. fossil fuel resources, including coal, and has signed executive orders to support this [40][41] Question: Is there seasonality in North American Mining? - Management indicated that there is little seasonality in North American Mining, with operations primarily in Florida [42] Question: What is the status of the asset held for sale? - The asset consists of draglines and a building in North Dakota, which are actively being marketed for sale [63][64] Question: How does the mitigation resources business operate? - Management described the mitigation resources business as lumpy, with periodic credit releases based on the lifecycle of mitigation banks [66][70]

Company Overview - Warrior Met Coal (NYSE: HCC) is a U.S. metallurgical coal mining company focused on the export market [1] - The company operates two mines and is developing the Blue Creek project, all located in Alabama [1] Management and Operations - The company is noted for its good management team and consistent operations [1] - Quality of operations is emphasized, indicating a strong operational foundation [1] Investment Strategy - The investment strategy focuses on turnarounds in natural resource industries with a typical holding period of 2-3 years [2] - Emphasis on value investing provides good downside protection while allowing for significant upside potential [2] - The portfolio has achieved a compounded annual growth rate of 26% over the last 6 years [2]

Financial Performance - Warrior Met Coal reported a quarterly loss of $0.16 per share, which was worse than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.05, and a significant decline from earnings of $2.63 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -220% [1] - The company posted revenues of $299.94 million for the quarter ended March 2025, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 8.98%, but down from $503.51 million in the same quarter last year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Warrior Met Coal has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] Stock Performance and Outlook - Warrior Met Coal shares have declined approximately 10.3% since the beginning of the year, compared to a decline of 5.5% for the S&P 500 [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.15 on revenues of $284.04 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.06 on revenues of $1.41 billion [7] Industry Context - The coal industry, to which Warrior Met Coal belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 9% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a challenging environment [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact Warrior Met Coal's stock performance [5][6]

First Quarter 2025 Results April 30, 2025 Forward-looking Statements This presentation contains, and of Warrior Met Coal, Inc.'s (the "Company", "WMC" or "Warrior") officers and representatives may from time to time make, forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, included in this presentation that address activities, even ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q1 2025, the company recorded a net loss of $8 million or $0.16 per diluted share, compared to a net income of $137 million or $2.62 per diluted share in Q1 2024, primarily due to a 42% decrease in realized average net selling prices [27][28] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $40 million, down from $200 million in the same quarter last year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 13% compared to 40% in Q1 2024 [27][28] - Total revenues decreased to $300 million in Q1 2025 from $504 million in Q1 2024, driven by lower average gross selling prices [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sales volume increased by 2% to 2.2 million short tons in Q1 2025 from 2.1 million short tons in the same quarter last year, with production volume rising by 10% to 2.3 million short tons [14][15] - The company achieved a gross price realization of 83% for Q1 2025, slightly below the targeted range of 85% to 90% [12][28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average premium low vol index prices dropped by 40% to $168 per short ton in Q1 2025 from $280 per short ton in Q1 2024 [8] - The primary index, the POV FOB Australia, ended Q1 2025 at $153 per short ton, down $25 from the end of Q4 2024 [12] - Global pig iron production decreased by 0.2% in Q1 2025 compared to the prior year, with iron production in China growing by 0.8% [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on operational efficiency and cost management to navigate weak market conditions, while continuing to progress on the Blue Creek project, which is on budget and schedule [6][21] - The Blue Creek project is expected to produce 1 million short tons in 2025, with a long-term capacity of 6 million short tons [23][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged ongoing weak market conditions but expressed confidence in operational performance and the ability to manage costs effectively [6][34] - The company anticipates that weak market conditions may persist, impacting steelmaking coal prices, but expects stable demand from contracted customers [34][36] Other Important Information - The company spent $79 million on capital expenditures and mine development in Q1 2025, with $69 million allocated to CapEx [16][21] - Total available liquidity at the end of Q1 2025 was $617 million, providing sufficient funds to complete the Blue Creek project [32][21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Pricing realization expectations - Management indicated that pricing realization could remain between 80% to 85% in the current market environment [38] Question: Cost sustainability in the near term - Management confirmed that the current cost level of $120 per ton is sustainable if prices remain stable [42] Question: Impact of tariffs on longwall shields - Management clarified that there would be no tariff impacts on the longwall shields being imported [43] Question: Factors driving lower price realizations - Management explained that transportation differentials and market conditions in Asia are significant factors affecting price realizations [48] Question: Production outlook and potential curtailments - Management acknowledged the challenges in the U.S. met coal market and indicated that some production curtailments may occur [52] Question: Capital expenditures for Blue Creek - Management detailed that the remaining CapEx for Blue Creek would primarily cover final construction and labor costs [56] Question: Working capital trends - Management indicated that working capital is expected to build in the second quarter due to production at Blue Creek [60] Question: U.S. pricing reflection of the market - Management expressed confidence that U.S. prices are reflective of current market conditions, with expectations for the discount to tighten over time [65]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q1 2025, the company recorded a net loss of $8 million or $0.16 per diluted share, compared to a net income of $137 million or $2.62 per diluted share in Q1 2024, primarily due to a 42% decrease in realized average net selling prices [25][27] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $40 million, down from $200 million in the same quarter last year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 13% compared to 40% in Q1 2024 [25][26] - Total revenues decreased to $300 million in Q1 2025 from $504 million in Q1 2024, driven by lower average gross selling prices [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sales volume increased by 2% to 2.2 million short tons in Q1 2025 from 2.1 million short tons in Q1 2024, with production volume rising by 10% to 2.3 million short tons [14][15] - The company achieved a gross price realization of 83% for Q1 2025, slightly below the targeted range of 85% to 90% [12][25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Average premium low vol index prices dropped by 40% or $112 per short ton compared to Q1 2024, averaging $168 per short ton in Q1 2025 [7][12] - The primary index, the POV FOB Australia, ended Q1 2025 at $153 per short ton, down $25 from the end of Q4 2024 [12] - Global pig iron production decreased by 0.2% in Q1 2025 compared to the prior year, with iron production in China growing by 0.8% [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on managing costs tightly and operating efficiently in response to weak market conditions, while making progress on the Blue Creek project, which is on budget and schedule [6][17] - The Blue Creek project is expected to produce incremental annualized production of at least 4.8 million short tons after startup, enhancing the company's cost curve positioning [22][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged ongoing challenges in the global steel market due to China's overcapacity and trade policy uncertainties, but expects demand from India to increase [34] - The company anticipates weak market conditions may persist, putting downward pressure on steelmaking coal prices, but remains optimistic about operational performance [32][34] Other Important Information - The company spent $79 million on CapEx and mine development in Q1 2025, with $69 million allocated to CapEx and $11 million to Blue Creek project development [16][20] - Total available liquidity at the end of Q1 2025 was $617 million, consisting of cash, investments, and available credit [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Pricing assumptions for the current market environment - Management indicated that a price realization of 80% to 85% is reasonable given current market conditions [36] Question: Sustainability of cost levels in Q2 - Management confirmed that current cost levels are expected to be sustainable if prices remain stable [39] Question: Factors driving lower price realizations - Management explained that transportation differentials and market dynamics in Asia are significant factors affecting price realizations [45][46] Question: Production outlook and potential curtailments - Management noted that while there are rumors of production issues, it is difficult to estimate the overall impact on U.S. production [50] Question: Clarification on Blue Creek project CapEx - Management clarified that remaining CapEx will primarily be for final construction and labor, with a significant portion already accounted for [54][56] Question: Impact of shipping Blue Creek coal on costs - Management stated that while there may be some additional costs, they are focused on mitigating any significant impact [66][68]