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摩根士丹利:美元走弱对美国意味着什么?
摩根· 2025-07-02 03:15
July 1, 2025 05:22 PM GMT G10 FX Strategy, US Economics and Equity Strategy What Does USD Weakness Mean for the US? Contrary to many investors, we think that USD's weakening trend is at the intermission, not the finale. What are the broader economic and market implications of a net 20% USD decline as we expect? Key Takeaways Please add me to your distribution list. | M | | | | --- | --- | --- | | | | Global Idea | | July 1, 2025 05:22 PM GMT | | | | G10 FX Strategy, US Economics and Equity Strategy | Morgan ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-02 01:45
The third season of Netflix’s blockbuster series Squid Game racked up record viewership in its first three days, reinforcing the Korean survival drama’s status as a global cultural phenomenon.See the numbers here: https://t.co/bTFjWYRu7m📷: Roger Kisby/Getty Images for Netflix ...
Breakout Alert: Disney Stock Hits Multi-Year High
MarketBeat· 2025-07-01 20:22
Core Viewpoint - Walt Disney's stock has reached a multi-year high, indicating a potential breakout from a long-standing trading range, driven by strong earnings and increased investor confidence [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Disney's stock price hit $123.51, marking a 0.40% decrease, but it is at its highest level since August 2022 [1]. - The stock has rallied over 50% since April, positioning it as a significant comeback play for the summer [2]. - Analysts have raised price targets, with Jefferies upgrading Disney to a "Buy" and setting a new target of $144, while Guggenheim and Rosenblatt have targets of $140 [3]. Group 2: Revenue Drivers - Positive trends in Disney World bookings and the introduction of two new cruise ships in 2026 are expected to generate up to $1.5 billion in additional revenue [4]. - The diversification efforts of Disney are seen as a strong factor for top-line growth, contributing to the stock's upward momentum [4]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - Disney's stock has struggled to break through the $125 resistance level for nearly two years, but recent price action suggests a potential breakout [6]. - If the stock maintains its momentum, it could surpass $130 in the short term, making the path to Jefferies' $144 target more achievable [7]. - The stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is nearing 78, indicating it is in overbought territory, which could suggest a near-term cooldown but also reflects a strong upward trend [8][10]. Group 4: Analyst Sentiment - The current consensus among analysts is a "Moderate Buy," with a 12-month price forecast averaging $125.79, indicating a potential upside of 1.99% [8]. - Despite the positive outlook, there is caution regarding the upcoming earnings report in August, as high expectations could lead to volatility if results do not meet investor sentiment [10].
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-01 19:10
The third season of Netflix’s blockbuster series Squid Game racked up record viewership in its first three days, reinforcing the Korean survival drama’s status as a global cultural phenomenon https://t.co/k0zpi3Kfwa ...
Warner Bros. Analyst Sees Rebound Ahead: Box Office Gains, DC Relaunch, Spin-Off Plan Could Unlock Hidden Value
Benzinga· 2025-07-01 18:16
Core Viewpoint - Bank of America Securities analyst Jessica Reif Ehrlich maintains a Buy rating on Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) with an increased price target of $16, up from $14, anticipating strong second-quarter earnings driven by box office performance despite challenges in the linear business [1][5]. Group 1: Financial Performance - WBD's second-quarter revenue is expected to be $9.56 billion, with adjusted EBITDA projected at $1.79 billion [4][7]. - The Studios segment is anticipated to show significant year-over-year EBITDA growth, with adjusted EBITDA raised to $651 million from $625 million [4][7]. - The DTC segment's adjusted EBITDA is expected to decrease to $292 million from $318 million [7]. Group 2: Business Segments and Challenges - The linear business faces challenges, particularly in general entertainment, although there is strength in sports advertising [3]. - The market is stabilizing as peak tariff uncertainty passes, but advertising comparisons may be more challenging due to the airing of the Final Four on CBS instead of TBS this year [3]. Group 3: Strategic Developments - WBD plans to separate into two publicly traded entities in a tax-free transaction, which is seen as a way to unlock significant unrecognized value [5]. - The company has reduced net debt by approximately $2 billion through a tender offer, although associated fees and taxes will lower reported free cash flow by about $1 billion [6]. Group 4: Upcoming Releases - The relaunch of the DC Universe with the release of "Superman" in the third quarter could be a critical driver for the studio's turnaround, impacting multiple business areas including Film, DTC, consumer products, gaming, and experiences [2].
Warner Bros Discovery: An Unanticipated Benefit Appears
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-01 14:36
Group 1 - The article highlights that Disney has surpassed the one billion mark in movie ticket sales, while Warner Bros Discovery is closely following behind in the same achievement [2] - The oil and gas industry is characterized as a boom-bust, cyclical sector, requiring patience and experience for successful investment [2] - The analysis provided in the article focuses on the balance sheet, competitive position, and development prospects of oil and gas companies, including Warner Bros Discovery [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of thorough research and analysis for investors in the oil and gas sector [1] - It mentions that the author has a beneficial long position in the shares of Warner Bros Discovery, indicating confidence in the company's future performance [3] - The article serves as an example of the type of analysis provided to members of the Oil & Gas Value Research service, which includes insights not available on the free site [1]
TME(TME) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-07-01 12:10
Company Overview - TME boasts a large user base and innovative technology, holding 4 out of the top 5 music mobile apps in China[15] - The platform has an extensive content library with over 260 million music and audio tracks[15] - TME's online music subscribers reached 121 million in 4Q24, demonstrating a year-over-year growth of 134%[12] - The company reported total cash, cash equivalents, term deposits, and short-term investments of RMB 3758 billion as of December 31, 2024[14] - TME's last twelve months (LTM) total revenues as of December 31, 2024, were RMB 284 billion, with an adjusted net margin of 286%[14] Business Overview - TME has partnerships with hundreds of domestic and international music labels, offering a diversified music library[17] - The platform cultivates and empowers indie musicians through the Tencent Musician Platform[19] Financial Highlights - In 4Q24, revenue from music subscriptions reached RMB 403 billion, an increase of 180% year-over-year[37] - 4Q24 revenue from other online music services was RMB 180 billion, up 121% year-over-year[37] - The online music monthly ARPPU for 4Q24 was RMB 111, a 37% year-over-year increase[38] - Non-IFRS net profit for 4Q24 was RMB 240 billion, showing a significant increase of 430% year-over-year[38] - The company's gross margin for 4Q24 was 436%, a 53 percentage point increase year-over-year[37]
NIP Group Enters Bitcoin Mining Through Strategic Acquisition
Globenewswire· 2025-07-01 11:00
Establishes Digital Computing Division to Drive Company’s Digital Infrastructure Strategy,Adds Hash Rate of 3.11 EH/s, Expects Significant Bitcoin Mining Revenue, Sets Stage for Future High-Performance Computing (HPC) and AI-driven Entertainment Services Opportunities ABU DHABI, United Arab Emirates, July 01, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- NIP Group Inc. (“NIPG” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: NIPG), a leading digital entertainment company, today announced it has entered into a definitive asset-purchase agreement (the ...
X @BBC News (World)
BBC News (World)· 2025-06-30 22:42
As Squid Game ends, South Koreans return to the reality that inspired it https://t.co/Rgvyt7lAHj ...
The Death Of Buy And Hold Has Been Greatly Exaggerated
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-30 18:40
Market Overview - The market is experiencing a juxtaposition between resilience, with major benchmarks threatening new all-time highs, and economic uncertainty, as many economic indicators are not particularly strong [4][5][24] - The S&P 500 is threatening to retest 6150, indicating strength off the April low, while technology sector (XLK) has outperformed the S&P by approximately 10% year-to-date [11][12] Sector Performance - Technology and communication services are the only sectors outperforming the S&P over the last month, while most other sectors have underperformed [13][14] - The technology sector's strength is largely driven by a few large companies, raising concerns about the sustainability of this performance if broader participation does not improve [40] Technical Analysis - Current market conditions show a divergence between index performance and breadth, indicating potential underlying weakness [15][18] - Seasonality trends suggest that the market may be approaching a peak, with historical patterns indicating a stronger performance from November to April compared to May to October [16][19] Macroeconomic Factors - The macroeconomic environment is complex, with factors such as Fed policy, inflation, and geopolitical risks playing significant roles in market dynamics [20][24] - Economic data often lags behind market movements, making the stock market a leading indicator of economic conditions [26][27] Tariffs and Consumer Sentiment - Recent tariff decisions are expected to have delayed impacts on companies' earnings, particularly affecting those reliant on international supply chains [29][30] - Consumer sentiment remains a concern, as it is a critical indicator of economic health and can influence market performance [28][24] Technology Sector Insights - The technology sector is currently dominated by large-cap companies, with smaller players beginning to show signs of improvement [36][40] - Valuation concerns are prevalent, as many technology stocks have reached extreme levels, which could signal a potential market correction [42] Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies - Bitcoin has shown strong technical performance, with a potential upside target of around $140,000 based on current patterns [82] - The practical applications of Bitcoin are evolving, with increasing acceptance for transactions, which could enhance its value proposition [88][91] Energy Sector Dynamics - The energy sector is not homogeneous, with certain areas like energy infrastructure performing well despite weakness in crude oil prices [70][72] - Recent geopolitical events have not significantly impacted oil prices as expected, indicating a shift in market dynamics and energy independence in the U.S. [68][69]