Market Insights 市场洞察 TWD - Historic moves TWD - 历史 性举措 FICC and Equities | 2 May 2025 | 7:47AM UTC FICC 和股票 | 2025 年 5 ⽉ 2 ⽇ | 协调世界时上午 7:47 1 – History of 1-day percentage change in 1m TWD NDF 1 – 1 个⽉ TWD NDF 单⽇百分⽐变动历史 2 – 1M NDF TWD points have not budged 'as much'.. this is an onshore driven move. In oQshore driven moves.. 1m NDF points lead the move, trading down below -400 levels pretty quickly 2 – 1M NDF TWD 点数变化不⼤……这是由在岸市场推动的变动。在离岸市场推动的 变动中，1m NDF 点数领先变动，迅速跌破 -400 ⽔平。 3 – EBS Volumes - We are running ...

Douglas Elliman (DOUG) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 02, 2025 08:00 AM ET Company Participants Michael Liebowitz - CEO & PresidentBryant Kirkland - Executive VP, Secretary, Treasurer and CFO Operator Please stand by. Your program is about to begin. If you need audio assistance during today's program, please press 0. Welcome to the Douglas Elliman's First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. This call is being recorded and simultaneously webcast. An archived version of the webcast will be availab ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $74.5 million, with adjusted EBITDA of $19.3 million, reflecting a 1.5% increase year-over-year [17] - Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 25.9%, an increase of 164 basis points compared to Q1 2024 [17] - Adjusted diluted EPS was reported at $0.24 [17] - Revenue excluding marketing funds decreased by 4.3% year-over-year, primarily due to a 3.2% decline in organic growth and 1.1% from adverse foreign currency movements [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The mortgage segment continues to face challenges, impacting revenue, with expectations for recovery taking several quarters [17] - Despite the decline in organic growth, higher broker fees partially offset the revenue decrease [17] - The company experienced a 10% growth in global agent count in Q1 2025 [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The real estate market remains uncertain, influenced by tariffs, rising inventory, and interest rate fluctuations [4] - The National Association of Realtors modified its clear cooperation policy, which aims to enhance flexibility for home sellers while maintaining transparency [4][5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on operational excellence, enhancing profitability, and strengthening its foundation through improved processes and products [3][6] - New initiatives include the Aspire onboarding program, aimed at attracting and developing top-producing agents, and the Max Engage social influencer platform [10][12] - The company is committed to modernizing its branding and expanding its product offerings to enhance competitive advantage [7][9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the macroeconomic uncertainties but expresses confidence in the company's ability to adapt and succeed [4][6] - The outlook for Q2 2025 anticipates a 1.5% to 2.5% increase in agent count and revenue between $70 million and $75 million [21] - For the full year 2025, revenue is expected to range from $290 million to $310 million, with agent count projected to remain stable [21] Other Important Information - The company is undergoing a leadership transition, with Ward Morrison retiring after 20 years [23] - The company emphasizes the importance of transparency and fairness in real estate practices [5] Q&A Session Summary Question: Franchise sales line performance - Management noted that franchise sales were down due to the wind down of prior technology acquisitions and a slight decline in conference revenue [25][26] Question: Operational expenses management - Management confirmed ongoing discipline in operational expenses, with a focus on strategic spending and efficiency [32] Question: Aspire program's competitive positioning - The Aspire program is designed to enhance recruitment and onboarding, providing flexibility and support to agents and brokers [36][39] Question: International growth momentum - Management highlighted strong operators and brand recognition as key drivers of international growth, with plans for further marketing initiatives [70][72] Question: Market share trends in the U.S. - Management indicated that while the overall industry has contracted, REMAX's agent productivity remains higher than the industry average [77] Question: NAR's clear cooperation policy impact - The company supports transparency and broad distribution of listings, aligning with consumer interests while providing guidance to franchisees [80][82]

Douglas Elliman (DOUG) Q1 2025 Earnings Call May 02, 2025 08:00 AM ET Speaker0 Please stand by. Your program is about to begin. If you need audio assistance during today's program, please press 0. Welcome to the Douglas Elliman's First Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. This call is being recorded and simultaneously webcast. An archived version of the webcast will be available on the Investor Relations section of the company's website located at investors.ellmann.com for one year. During t ...

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Compass, Inc. (COMP) to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues in its upcoming earnings report for the quarter ended March 2025 [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is expected to be released on May 8, 2025, with a consensus estimate of a quarterly loss of $0.06 per share, reflecting a year-over-year improvement of +77.8% [3][12]. - Revenues are projected to reach $1.42 billion, representing a 34.2% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 15.63% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Compass is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, leading to an Earnings ESP of +21.05% [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong indicator of a potential earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [8]. - Compass currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2, suggesting a high likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Compass was expected to post a loss of $0.09 per share but actually reported a loss of $0.08, resulting in a surprise of +11.11% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, Compass has exceeded consensus EPS estimates three times [13]. Conclusion - Compass is positioned as a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, but investors should consider other influencing factors before making investment decisions [16].

Newmark Group (NMRK) Q1 2025 Earnings Call April 30, 2025 10:00 AM ET Speaker0 Good day and welcome to the Newmark Group First Quarter twenty twenty five Financial Results. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Jason McRuder, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead. Speaker1 Thank you, operator, and good morning. Newmark issued its first quarter twenty twenty five financial results press release this morning. Unless otherwise stated, the resu ...

Newmark Group (NMRK) Q1 2025 Earnings Call April 30, 2025 10:00 AM ET Company Participants Jason McGruder - Head, IRBarry Gosin - Chief Executive OfficerMichael Rispoli - CFOLuis Alvarado - Chief Operating OfficerJade Rahmani - Managing DirectorJulien Blouin - Vice PresidentPatrick O’Shaughnessy - MD - Capital Markets Conference Call Participants Alexander Goldfarb - Managing Director & Senior Analyst Operator Good day and welcome to the Newmark Group First Quarter twenty twenty five Financial Results. Toda ...

Newmark Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: NMRK) First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Presentation April 30, 2025 Property Type: Office N M R K .C OM Disclaimers Discussion of Forward-Looking Statements References in this document to "we," "us," "our," the "Company" and "Newmark" mean Newmark Group, Inc., and its consolidated subsidiaries. Statements in this document regarding Newmark that are not historical facts are "forward-looking statements" that involve risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to d ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q1 2025 revenue reached $732 million, a 12% year-over-year increase, marking the 56th consecutive quarter of double-digit revenue growth [5][63] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $66 million, representing a 429% increase compared to Q1 2024, with a profit margin of 9% [5][63] - Company net new bookings were $56 million in Q1 2025, up 6% sequentially from Q4 2024 [6][71] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - CoStar revenue grew 6% year-over-year to $265 million in Q1 2025, with annualized net new bookings increasing by 68% year-over-year [7][64] - Apartments.com revenue increased by 11% year-over-year to $282 million, with significant growth in quality interactions and new community additions [19][65] - LoopNet revenue grew 5% in Q1 2025, with expectations for revenue growth to accelerate throughout the year [67] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The commercial real estate environment remains challenging, with a historic high vacancy rate of about 16% and real asking rents at a 30-year low [9][10] - In retail, vacancy rates are beginning to fall, indicating signs of improvement in the market [11] - The international business achieved over $5 million in annual recurring revenue (ARR) in Q1 2025, representing 56% year-over-year growth [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on integrating its various brands and enhancing product offerings to create a comprehensive solution for clients [15][16] - A new marketing strategy for LoopNet aims to increase the number of paid properties on the platform, enhancing consumer choice [13] - The company plans to expand its sales force by 23% in 2025 to capitalize on market opportunities [20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about returning to double-digit growth as market conditions improve over the next few years [12] - The company anticipates slight headwinds from government contract cancellations but maintains a revenue growth outlook of 6% to 7% for the full year [64][73] - The integration of Matterport is expected to enhance the company's offerings and contribute to future growth [55][69] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 240,000 shares for $18.5 million in Q1 2025 and plans to repurchase a total of $150 million in shares throughout the year [72] - The company has made a nonbinding offer to acquire Domain Group, which could significantly enhance its market position in Australia [72][54] Q&A Session Summary Question: Comments on the delayed market listing exemption and Zillow's reaction - Management noted overwhelmingly negative feedback from agents regarding Zillow's new rules, indicating a potential opportunity for the company [76][77] Question: Nonresidential EBITDA margin in Q1 and outlook for residential spending - The commercial margin was reported at 43% for Q1, with no changes to the residential spending outlook [78][80]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved fee revenue of $1,500,000,000, an increase of 4%, with organic fee revenue growing by 6% [13] - Adjusted EBITDA rose by 24% to $96,000,000, with adjusted EBITDA margin expanding by 100 basis points year over year [13] - Adjusted EPS increased to $0.09 from breakeven a year ago, with net leverage at 3.9 times EBITDA [13][18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The leasing business grew by 9%, with Americas leasing showing a standout growth of 14% in Q1, marking the third consecutive quarter of double-digit growth [14] - APAC leasing grew by 16%, while EMEA leasing contracted by 26% due to tough comparisons from the previous year [14][15] - The services business achieved organic revenue growth of 4%, with The Americas organic services fee revenue growing by 6% [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In The Americas, the pipeline of large capital markets deals is now two times the size it was one year ago [8] - RFPs in Americas Leasing and the Multi Market Occupier Group are up by 35% compared to last year, and bid volume in the valuation business was up 30% in Q1 [9] - The APAC Services business demonstrated strong retention rates and five new sizable contracts coming online in the first half of the year [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on building strength for long-term growth, with disciplined investments unlocking new areas of organic growth [5] - A flat organizational culture allows the company to adapt swiftly to client needs and market shifts, fostering a culture of problem-solving and trust [6][7] - The management believes they are at the beginning of a multi-year recovery in commercial real estate, positioning the company for compelling value opportunities for investors [22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that tariff uncertainty has not materially impacted the sector, with strong demand for high-quality products continuing [28] - The company expects leasing growth in the mid-single digits for the full year, with capital markets growth anticipated to exceed the previous year's mid-single-digit growth rate [19] - Management remains confident in achieving EPS growth in 2025 that exceeds the growth reported in 2024 [20] Other Important Information - Free cash flow was a use of $167,000,000, consistent with historical working capital trends [17] - The company completed a repricing of $1,000,000,000 of terminal debt, lowering the applicable interest rate by 25 basis points [18] - The balance sheet remains strong, with $1,700,000,000 in liquidity and no funded debt maturities until 2028 [18] Q&A Session Summary Question: Margin improvement and its drivers - Management indicated that the margin improvement was driven primarily by top-line strength, with stronger than expected leasing and services contributing to the results [25] Question: Impact of tariffs on leasing and capital markets - Management stated that tariff uncertainty has not materially impacted the sector, with 90-95% of clients moving forward with decisions [28] Question: Outlook for office leasing in a potential recession - Demand for office leasing remains strong, with long-term leases being signed and lease terms averaging 77 months [34] Question: Recruiting and retention efforts - The company has strengthened its talent pool significantly, hiring multiple capital markets and leasing teams over the past year [36] Question: Trends in industrial leasing amid trade discussions - The company has been outperforming in industrial leasing, with positive trends continuing despite tariff discussions [41] Question: Capital markets sensitivity to interest rates - Management noted that large investors have alternative borrowing methods, and many clients are closing deals regardless of financing market conditions [44] Question: EMEA market performance - EMEA is currently the weakest economy for the company, but there are signs of recovery, particularly in capital markets in the UK [50] Question: Balancing growth and deleveraging - The capital allocation strategy remains focused on growth while continuing to deleverage, with a higher percentage of capital allocated to growth investments [51]