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Sphere Entertainment (SPHR) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: What to Know Ahead of Q3 Release
ZACKS· 2025-05-02 15:06
Company Overview - Sphere Entertainment (SPHR) is expected to report a year-over-year decline in earnings, with a projected loss of $2.48 per share, reflecting a decrease of 86.5% compared to the previous year [3] - Revenues for the upcoming quarter are anticipated to be $277.07 million, down 13.8% from the same quarter last year [3] Earnings Estimates and Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 2.93% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4] - The Most Accurate Estimate for Sphere Entertainment is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +8.27% [10][11] Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong indicator of a potential earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy), or 3 (Hold) [8] - Sphere Entertainment currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3, suggesting a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [11] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Sphere Entertainment was expected to post a loss of $2.15 per share but actually reported a loss of $3.49, resulting in a surprise of -62.33% [12] - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [13] Industry Context - In the Zacks Media Conglomerates industry, Paramount Global-B (PARA) is expected to report earnings of $0.30 per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 51.6% [17] - Paramount Global-B's revenue is projected to be $7.1 billion, down 7.6% from the previous year [17] - The consensus EPS estimate for Paramount Global-B has been revised 1.2% higher, but a lower Most Accurate Estimate results in an Earnings ESP of -31.65%, making it difficult to predict an earnings beat [18]
Analysts Estimate Paramount Global-B (PARA) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-05-01 15:06
Paramount Global-B (PARA) is expected to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended March 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on May 8, 2025, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better than e ...
Walt Disney (DIS) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Note
ZACKS· 2025-04-07 22:50
Group 1 - Walt Disney's stock closed at $83.30, reflecting a -0.28% change, underperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.23% [1] - Over the past month, Walt Disney shares have decreased by 20.83%, compared to a 19.11% loss in the Consumer Discretionary sector and a 12.13% loss in the S&P 500 [1] Group 2 - The upcoming earnings report for Walt Disney is scheduled for May 7, 2025, with projected earnings per share (EPS) of $1.19, indicating a 1.65% decrease year-over-year [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is $23.19 billion, representing a 5.03% increase from the previous year [2] Group 3 - For the annual period, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $5.48 per share and revenue of $94.63 billion, reflecting increases of +10.26% and +3.58% respectively from the last year [3] - Recent changes in analyst estimates for Walt Disney are important as they indicate evolving short-term business trends, with positive revisions suggesting a favorable outlook on the company's health and profitability [3][4] Group 4 - The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), indicates that Walt Disney currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [5] - The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has decreased by 0.04% in the past month [5] Group 5 - Walt Disney's Forward P/E ratio is 15.25, which is lower than the industry average of 16.45 [5] - The company has a PEG ratio of 1.36, compared to the Media Conglomerates industry's average PEG ratio of 1.7 [6] Group 6 - The Media Conglomerates industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 175, placing it in the bottom 30% of over 250 industries [6][7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]
Disney's Content Pipeline Impresses: Time to Hold the Stock for Value?
ZACKS· 2025-04-07 20:00
Core Viewpoint - Disney is showcasing a strong content pipeline with a renewed focus on theatrical releases, while investors are advised to hold current positions rather than increase them at present valuations [1][2][21]. Group 1: Theatrical Release Strategy - Disney's upcoming lineup emphasizes a commitment to theatrical releases, moving away from previous strategies that favored direct-to-streaming content, potentially enhancing revenue streams [2]. - The slate includes notable sequels and reimaginings, such as Lilo & Stitch (May 23), Freakier Friday (Aug. 8), and TRON: Ares (Oct. 10), alongside expansions in the Marvel universe with Thunderbolts (May 2) and The Fantastic Four: First Steps (July 25) [3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Disney reported a 35% increase in earnings per share to $1.40, a 5% rise in revenue to $24.7 billion, and a 31% increase in segment operating income to $5.1 billion for the first quarter of fiscal 2025 [7]. - The company’s Direct-to-Consumer operations became profitable, generating $293 million, while Content Sales thrived, particularly with Moana 2 [7]. Group 3: Stock Performance and Valuation - Despite strong financial results, Disney's stock has dipped 25% year-to-date, contrasting with a 13.7% decline in the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector, indicating caution for investors [8]. - Disney trades at a premium valuation of 1.64 times trailing 12-month price-to-sales, significantly higher than the industry average of 1.21 times, suggesting that current valuations may reflect high growth expectations [11]. Group 4: Debt and Financial Leverage - Disney carries a substantial debt burden of $45.3 billion against a modest cash position of $5.48 billion, which limits financial flexibility during downturns [15]. Group 5: Streaming Landscape and Competition - The company anticipates a modest decline in Disney+ subscribers in the second quarter, with the Sports segment's operating income negatively impacted by approximately $100 million due to college sports costs and an additional NFL game [17]. - Disney faces intense competition in the streaming market from established players like Netflix, Amazon Prime Video, and Paramount+, all of which are investing heavily in exclusive content strategies to retain subscribers [18][20]. Group 6: Investment Outlook - Investors are advised to wait for clearer signs of streaming profitability and sustainable box office momentum before increasing positions, while those holding shares should maintain their investment due to Disney's strong intellectual property portfolio and multi-platform distribution capabilities [21].
Why Disney (DIS) Could Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2025-04-07 17:15
Core Viewpoint - Walt Disney (DIS) is positioned well to continue its trend of beating earnings estimates, supported by a strong history of performance in recent quarters [1][2]. Earnings Performance - Disney has consistently surpassed earnings estimates, achieving an average beat of 13.40% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the most recent quarter, Disney reported earnings of $1.76 per share, exceeding the expected $1.44 per share by a surprise of 22.22% [2]. - For the previous quarter, Disney's actual earnings were $1.14 per share, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.09 per share by 4.59% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for Disney have been trending higher, influenced by its history of earnings surprises [5]. - The stock has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP of +1.78%, indicating a bullish outlook from analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a strong possibility of another earnings beat in the upcoming report [8]. Earnings ESP Insights - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7]. - A negative Earnings ESP can reduce predictive power but does not necessarily indicate an earnings miss [9].
Disney Stock Sinks as US Airlines Signal Trouble: Hold or Fold?
ZACKS· 2025-03-12 13:10
Core Viewpoint - Disney's stock has experienced a significant decline due to concerns in the travel and tourism sector, particularly following disappointing forecasts from major U.S. airlines, raising questions about future investment strategies [1][4][19]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Disney shares fell 4.1% to $98.84, with a 13.6% decline over the past three months, compared to an 8.8% decline in the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector [1]. - The stock's performance reflects broader concerns about discretionary consumer spending amid economic uncertainties [19]. Group 2: Airline Sector Impact - Major U.S. airlines, including Delta, American, and United, have issued warnings about profit forecasts, which have negatively impacted investor sentiment towards Disney [4][6]. - Delta reduced its first-quarter profit forecast, leading to a 6.4% drop in its stock, while American Airlines expects a loss of 60 to 80 cents per share, compared to a previous estimate of 20 to 40 cents [4][6]. Group 3: Disney's Financials and Challenges - Disney's parks and experiences segment generated $9.4 billion in revenues in the first quarter of fiscal 2025, making it a crucial revenue driver [5]. - The company reported a 44% growth in diluted earnings per share and a 31% increase in total segment operating income, with the Entertainment segment's operating income surging 95% [7]. - However, Disney faces challenges, including a projected decline in Disney+ subscribers and adverse impacts from college sports costs, totaling approximately $150 million [8][9]. Group 4: Debt and Valuation - Disney has a substantial debt burden of $45.3 billion against a cash position of $5.48 billion, limiting financial flexibility [11]. - The company's valuation is at a premium, trading at 1.92 times trailing 12-month price-to-sales, compared to the industry average of 1.32 times [11]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Disney's guidance for fiscal 2025 projects high-single-digit adjusted EPS growth and approximately $15 billion in cash from operations, with revenues expected to reach $94.7 billion, indicating a 3.66% year-over-year growth [16]. - Existing shareholders are advised to hold their positions, while new investors may find better entry points later in 2025 due to ongoing economic uncertainties [15][18][20].
Endeavor Group (EDR) Reports Q4 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-02-27 15:20
Core Viewpoint - Endeavor Group reported a quarterly loss of $0.22 per share, significantly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.36, marking an earnings surprise of -161.11% [1] - The company generated revenues of $1.57 billion for the quarter ended December 2024, slightly below the year-ago revenues of $1.58 billion, and surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.34% [2] Group 1: Earnings Performance - The company has only surpassed consensus EPS estimates once in the last four quarters [2] - The recent earnings report indicates a significant decline in earnings compared to the previous year, which reported earnings of $0.16 per share [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - Endeavor shares have decreased by approximately 1.5% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 1.3% [3] - The current Zacks Rank for Endeavor is 3 (Hold), suggesting that the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6] Group 3: Future Outlook - The consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.43 on revenues of $1.88 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.03 on revenues of $7.17 billion [7] - The outlook for the Media Conglomerates industry is positive, currently ranking in the top 25% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential for better performance compared to lower-ranked industries [8]