Core Viewpoint - Recent volatility in repo markets indicates that the Federal Reserve will need to implement a modest level of bond purchases to maintain appropriate levels of overnight lending supply [1] Group 1 - The New York Fed President John Williams highlighted the necessity for Fed bond purchases due to recent repo market fluctuations [1]

Inflation Control - Kazakhstan's central bank aims to curb inflation, which is more than double the target [1] - The central bank is relying on record-high interest rates to control inflation [1] - Recent government measures are also expected to help rein in inflation [1]

Core Insights - The turmoil in the month-end repo market has settled down, aided by the actions of the Standing Repo Facility (SRF) [1][15] - The Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening (QT) is set to end on December 1, with a total balance sheet decline of $14 billion in October, bringing the total to $6.57 trillion [3][28] - The Fed's QT has resulted in a reduction of $2.39 trillion, or 26.7%, from its peak in April 2022 [3] QT Assets - Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) decreased by $16 billion in October, totaling $2.07 trillion, a decline of $670 billion or 24% from its peak [5] - Treasury securities saw a reduction of $4 billion in September, totaling $4.19 trillion, down $1.59 trillion or 27.4% from the peak in June 2022 [10] Repo Market Dynamics - The SRF balance spiked to $50 billion during the repo market turmoil, but returned to zero as market rates fell below the SRF rate [14][15] - Banks utilized the SRF to manage liquidity pressures, borrowing and lending in the repo market to profit from the spread [12][13] Other Assets and Accounting Entries - "Other assets" rose by $8 billion due to accrued interest, reflecting a consistent quarterly fluctuation over the past five years [2][22] - Unamortized premiums decreased by $2 billion to $228 billion, representing the Fed's accounting for bond premiums [21] Balance Sheet and Economic Context - The Fed-assets-to-GDP ratio dropped to 21.6% in October, indicating a return to levels seen in Q3 2013 [28] - The Treasury General Account (TGA) at the Fed currently holds $943 billion, contributing to the permanent increase in the Fed's balance sheet size since the Financial Crisis [27]

The Bank of England held the Bank Rate at 4.00% in November, but the close 5-4 split revealed growing unease within the Committee about keeping policy too tight as inflation cools. The pause highlights aAnalyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seekin ...

Core Viewpoint - The Bank of England (BoE) has decided to maintain the benchmark Bank Rate at 4.0%, with a narrow 5-4 vote, indicating potential for a rate cut following the upcoming government budget [1][2][3] Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) Insights - The MPC's decision reflects concerns over weaker economic demand, while the risk of persistent high inflation has decreased [2] - Governor Andrew Bailey noted that inflation risks have shifted downwards, but emphasized the need for further evidence before making any changes [3][5] - Deputy Governors Sarah Breeden and Dave Ramsden were among the minority advocating for a rate cut [3] Inflation and Economic Outlook - Current inflation in the UK stands at 3.8%, the highest among the G7 economies, with the BoE's rate being double that of the European Central Bank [4] - The MPC believes inflation has peaked and is expected to decline in the coming months due to weakening economic growth and job market conditions [5] - The BoE forecasts that inflation will remain above the 2% target until Q2 2027, although it anticipates a slight decrease to 1.9% at that time [6]

Core Viewpoint - The central bank has maintained a tighter hold on the policy reins compared to most of its peers, largely due to the stability of the Southeast Asian economy [1] Group 1 - The central bank's policy approach reflects a commitment to maintaining economic stability in the region [1] - The stability of the Southeast Asian economy has been a significant factor in the central bank's policy decisions [1]

Core Viewpoint - Economic growth is anticipated to remain sluggish through the second half of 2025 [1] Group 1 - The economic outlook suggests a continuation of tepid growth, indicating potential challenges for various sectors [1]

Core Viewpoint - The central bank has maintained its key policy rate at 1.75% and indicated that there are unlikely to be any further changes to the rate for some time [1] Group 1 - The decision to keep the key policy rate at 1.75% reflects the central bank's current economic outlook [1] - The central bank's stance suggests a period of stability in monetary policy, which may influence investment strategies [1]

Brazilian Finance Minister Fernando Haddad says "very restrictive" interest rates are contributing to Brazil's debt levels, and that it's time for the central bank to start signaling plans to ease. Haddad spoke to Bloomberg News at Bloomberg Green at COP30 in Sao Paulo. ...

Core Viewpoint - Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook is involved in an ongoing legal battle regarding her position on the Federal Reserve Board, following President Trump's announcement of her dismissal, which she contests as unlawful and detrimental to the Fed's independence [6][8]. Group 1: Legal Context - Cook has publicly acknowledged her ongoing legal case and expressed gratitude for the support she has received from colleagues [2]. - Her lawsuit, filed against Trump, the Federal Reserve Board, and Chairman Jerome Powell, argues that her dismissal undermines the independence of the Federal Reserve [6][8]. - The Supreme Court is set to decide on the case in January [11]. Group 2: Professional Commitment - Cook described her role on the Federal Reserve Board as "the honor of my life" and affirmed her commitment to fulfilling her duties on behalf of the American people [5]. - She emphasized that her legal team has addressed the implications of the case in court filings, and she refrained from further comments due to the ongoing nature of the case [5]. Group 3: Historical Significance - Cook's appointment marked a historic milestone as she became the first Black woman to serve as a governor on the Federal Reserve Board, and her potential removal could represent another significant event in this context [9]. Group 4: Support from Economists - Nearly 600 economists have expressed their support for Lisa Cook and the independence of the Federal Reserve in an open letter [3].