US stock futures rose on Thursday, eyeing a recovery from Wall Street's tech-fueled sell-off as investors waited for the latest reading on consumer inflation that could help set expectations for the path of interest rates. S&P 500 futures (ES=F) moved up 0.4%, while those on the Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) gained roughly 0.8%, looking to rebound after Oracle (ORCL)-propelled AI trade worries spurred another bruising session for tech. Meanwhile, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) edged up 0.1%. Wall Stree ...

Company Overview - HashKey Holdings experienced a 3% decline in its share price during its Hong Kong trading debut, closing at HK$6.51 after pricing at HK$6.68, raising $206 million in its IPO, marking the first public listing by a digital asset company in Hong Kong [1] - The company operates the largest licensed virtual asset trading platform in Hong Kong and holds over 75% of the onshore digital asset trading volume, offering various services including exchange, over-the-counter trading, staking, tokenization, and asset management [3] Financial Performance - HashKey reported a loss of HK$506.7 million in the first half of the year, an improvement from a loss of HK$772.6 million the previous year, attributed to significant investments in compliance infrastructure and market expansion [5] - The company's first-half revenue fell 26% year over year to HK$284 million [4] Market Context - Despite robust investor demand, with institutional subscriptions at 5.5 times the available stock and retail oversubscribing by nearly 394 times, the stock's performance was underwhelming [2] - Hong Kong's regulatory environment is seen as favorable for digital assets, contrasting sharply with mainland China's ban on crypto trading since 2021 [6] - The city has introduced a stablecoin licensing system and is exploring connections between local exchanges and global operations, positioning itself as a testing ground for regulated digital asset adoption [6] Leadership Perspective - The CEO of HashKey expressed long-term confidence in the industry, citing increased regulation and compliance guidelines as factors that will support future growth [4]

By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise) Bitcoin (BTC) has churned between $86,000 and $88,000 over the past 24 hours, with Tuesday’s U.S. jobs data failing to inject meaningful volatility. The price sits near a major technical level which, if broken, could bring more pain. The number of BTC/USD longs (bullish bets) on Bitfinex continues to climb, reaching 72,184 at press time, the highest since February 2024. It may sound counterintuitive, but rising longs have historically turned out ...

Gemini has launched its prediction market platform, called Gemini Predictions. The new service is now available across all 50 US states through its iOS app and website. According to the company’s recent statement, Gemini Predictions enables users to take positions on events such as election outcomes, economic data releases, and broader market trends. Gemini said it will charge no trading fees during an initial promotional period. The move could help attract early participation and liquidity. The rollou ...

RT Breakout (@breakoutprop)Almost $500,000 in payouts.That’s only 2 weeks into December.That’s only for the top 10 funded traders.Breakout is for traders who want to size up and get paid properly with peace of mind.Reliable, and backed by Kraken - one of the largest crypto exchanges. https://t.co/VMh15WaOJA ...

Core Viewpoint - Analysts at Compass Point believe that tokenized stocks may present a larger revenue opportunity for Coinbase compared to prediction markets, while also lowering the price target for COIN shares from $266 to $230 [1][2]. Revenue Potential - Coinbase could potentially generate $210 million from prediction markets and $230 million from tokenized stocks, although it may take years for this revenue to materialize [2]. - The majority of revenue from prediction markets is estimated to be around $200 million, based on a charge of 1¢ per contract traded [5]. Market Position and Competition - Coinbase is expected to offer tokenized equities to U.S. customers, entering a competitive market among eBrokers, where it may adopt a payment-for-order-flow model [4]. - The analysts express skepticism about users shifting their trading from existing platforms unless Coinbase's stock trading offers similar benefits as traditional eBrokers [5]. Stock Performance - Coinbase shares fell over 5% to $252, while the stock has only increased 1.7% year-to-date, significantly lagging behind Robinhood's stock, which has surged 215% to $118 [3]. Strategic Partnerships - Coinbase has formed a coalition with Robinhood and Kalshi to establish clear rules for prediction markets, indicating a collaborative approach to market entry [7].

Core Insights - Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) shares have decreased by 18.5% over the past three months, underperforming its industry which saw a decline of 10.3% [1][9] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on increased market volatility and rising crypto asset prices as the U.S. aims to become a global crypto hub [2] - Coinbase is expected to have a strong performance in 2026, building on the momentum from an active 2025 while executing its long-term strategic roadmap [2] Company Performance - Coinbase is expanding its market share in U.S. spot and derivatives trading while broadening its product portfolio and global footprint [8] - The company is actively adding new cryptocurrencies and tokenized equities, reflecting its commitment to a pro-crypto ecosystem [8] - Despite strong growth plans, COIN trades at a premium and faces declining earnings estimates [9] Strategic Initiatives - Coinbase has pursued strategies to bridge traditional finance and crypto, including discussions with major U.S. banks on stablecoin pilot programs [10] - The company completed nine acquisitions in 2025 to expand capabilities and accelerate product development [11] - International expansion is a priority, with Coinbase returning to India's market after nearly three years, supported by its investment in CoinDCX [11] Financial Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 earnings has decreased by 6.3% and 1% respectively in the past 30 days [14] - Revenue estimates for 2025 and 2026 imply year-over-year increases of 11.7% and 13.2% respectively, but earnings for 2026 are projected to decrease by 27.1% [15] - COIN shares are trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 45.29, significantly higher than the industry average of 24.21 [16] Valuation and Market Position - The Value Score of F indicates that COIN shares are not cheap and suggest a stretched valuation [18] - Although COIN is more expensive compared to Robinhood (HOOD), it is cheaper than Interactive Brokers (IBKR) [18] - The company’s focus on driving crypto market growth and enhancing trading experiences is expected to support faster growth [19]

Group 1 - 2025 is viewed as a "test-case year" for crypto initial public offerings (IPOs), with 2026 being the year to determine if digital asset IPOs are a sustainable asset class or merely a cyclical trade [1] - In 2025, several crypto companies went public, including Circle, Bullish, and Gemini, with potential candidates for 2026 including Upbit, FalconX, and Chainanalysis [2] - Global crypto activity has shown significant recovery from the 2021 boom and bust, raising questions about whether crypto issuers can sustain momentum to meet public-market standards [3] Group 2 - Bitcoin's price more than doubled in 2024 and reached new all-time highs in 2025 before a sharp pullback, which will influence public investors' evaluations of IPO candidates due to concerns over volatility affecting sentiment and revenue durability [4] - Traditional finance is indicating that crypto is substantial enough to be indexed, as evidenced by S&P Dow Jones Indices launching a product that combines digital assets with crypto public companies, signaling institutionalization [5] - The institutionalization of crypto comes with increased selectivity among investors, as MSCI is considering excluding companies with over 50% of their assets in crypto, indicating a distinction between operating businesses and balance-sheet proxies for token exposure [6][7]

As more liquidity accumulates on centralised crypto exchanges, the risk for larger wipeouts during times of volatility is steadily increasing, according to a new report. Research firm Kaiko said on Tuesday that there is a “clear risk of concentration” in crypto markets, with liquidity collecting on a small number of platforms. The report highlighted that over-reliance on Binance — the largest crypto exchange by trading volume — was especially risky for the industry. “Despite its central role in the eco ...

Crypto exchange Coinbase will stop paying USDC rewards to non-paying customers next week, confirming to Decrypt on Thursday that only Coinbase One premium subscribers will be eligible to earn 4% on their stablecoin holdings. The exchange first made the announcement in an email sent to Coinbase customers on Thursday, saying the change will take effect on December 15. A Coinbase spokesperson confirmed that USDC rewards are now a member-exclusive benefit of Coinbase One. "Coinbase One allows you to earn 10x ...