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5 Large Drug Stocks to Watch as Industry Recovers
ZACKS· 2025-03-25 11:50
Industry Overview - The drug and biotech sector has shown recovery in recent months, driven by better-than-expected fourth-quarter performances from large drugmakers and an optimistic outlook for the year [1] - Key areas of innovation include rare diseases, next-generation oncology treatments, obesity, immunology, and neuroscience, with R&D innovation expected to remain a focus in 2025 [1] - M&A activity is anticipated to stay strong, particularly with the potential return of Trump to the White House [1] Challenges and Headwinds - The sector faces challenges such as pipeline setbacks, slow ramp-up of new drugs, patent cliffs, regulatory risks, and broader economic concerns [2] - Uncertainty exists regarding the new Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s approach to the drug and biotech sector due to his vaccine skepticism [2] - Despite these challenges, large drugmakers are generally profitable and have robust revenue streams, making them attractive for investment [2] Key Players - Notable large drugmakers include AbbVie (ABBV), Novo Nordisk (NVO), Novartis (NVS), Pfizer (PFE), and Bayer (BAYRY), which are recommended for portfolio retention [3] Industry Characteristics - The Zacks Large Cap Pharmaceuticals industry consists of major global companies developing multi-million-dollar drugs across various therapeutic areas, including neuroscience, cardiovascular, metabolism, rare diseases, immunology, and oncology [4] - Continuous innovation and investment in drug development are defining characteristics of these companies, with a significant focus on R&D and collaboration deals [5][6] M&A Activity - The industry is characterized by aggressive M&A activities, with large pharmaceutical companies acquiring innovative small and mid-cap biotech firms to enhance their pipelines [6][7] - Recent M&A deals, such as J&J's offer to buy Intra-Cellular Therapies for approximately $14.6 billion, highlight the ongoing trend in the sector [8] Performance Metrics - The Zacks Large Cap Pharmaceuticals industry currently ranks 67, placing it in the top 27% of 247 Zacks industries, indicating a bright outlook [12] - The industry has outperformed the Zacks Medical Sector and the S&P 500 year-to-date, with a collective rise of 6.3% compared to the Medical Sector's 4.3% and the S&P 500's decline of 4.1% [13] Valuation - The industry is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.69X, lower than the S&P 500's 20.77X and the Zacks Medical Sector's 20.56X [15] Company Highlights - **Novo Nordisk (NVO)**: Strong presence in diabetes care with successful semaglutide products driving growth; addressing supply constraints and making progress in its pipeline [17][18] - **Bayer (BAYRY)**: Key drugs like Nubeqa and Kerendia are fueling growth; plans to launch new drugs in 2025 [21][22] - **Pfizer (PFE)**: Strengthened oncology position with Seagen acquisition; facing challenges from declining COVID-19 product sales but expects growth from non-COVID drugs [25][26][27] - **AbbVie (ABBV)**: Navigating Humira's loss of exclusivity with new immunology medicines; expects mid-single-digit revenue growth in 2025 [30][33][34] - **Novartis (NVS)**: Strong oncology portfolio and recent acquisitions enhancing its pipeline; solid top-line performance expected to continue [36][37]
Pfizer Is a Dirt-Cheap High-Yield Stock, But Is It a Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-03-24 13:40
Core Viewpoint - Pfizer Inc. is currently viewed as a high-yield bargain stock with attractive dividends and reasonable valuations, making it a potential investment opportunity despite recent stock struggles [1]. Financial Performance - Pfizer's dividend yield stands at 6.5%, with a payout ratio of 54% of earnings, and the company has increased dividends five times in the past five years [2][3]. - The stock trades at a price/earnings ratio of 8.8X forward earnings, significantly lower than the Large Cap Pharmaceuticals industry's average of 17.17 [3]. Growth Prospects - Pfizer aims to add $25 billion to its top line by 2030, having already increased revenues by nearly $20 billion through acquisitions, notably Seagen, which contributed $3.4 billion in sales last year, reflecting a 38% increase on a pro forma basis [6]. - The company expects substantial growth in the oncology segment, planning to introduce three blockbuster cancer treatment drugs, each projected to generate over $1 billion in annual sales [7]. - Pfizer is targeting $1.5 billion in net cost savings by 2027 through its Manufacturing Optimization Program and maintains a strong cash position of $20.5 billion against short-term debt obligations of $6.9 billion [7]. Investment Considerations - Holding onto Pfizer stock is recommended due to its acquisitions and solid financial conditions, with current trading levels providing a cushion against market declines [8]. - However, the company faces challenges, including a significant drop in sales of Covid-19 products, with projected sales of Comirnaty and Paxlovid at $11 billion in 2024, down from $56.7 billion in 2022 [9].
Pfizer (PFE) Stock Dips While Market Gains: Key Facts
ZACKS· 2025-03-19 22:50
Pfizer (PFE) closed the most recent trading day at $26.21, moving -0.38% from the previous trading session. This move lagged the S&P 500's daily gain of 1.08%. Meanwhile, the Dow gained 0.92%, and the Nasdaq, a tech-heavy index, added 1.41%.The the stock of drugmaker has risen by 2.93% in the past month, leading the Medical sector's gain of 0.21% and the S&P 500's loss of 8.26%.The investment community will be closely monitoring the performance of Pfizer in its forthcoming earnings report. On that day, Pfiz ...
Merck (MRK) Up 3.9% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-03-06 17:35
Core Viewpoint - Merck's recent earnings report shows strong performance with adjusted earnings and revenue growth, but challenges in specific product sales, particularly Gardasil in China, may impact future guidance and stock performance [2][3][21]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings for Q4 2024 were $1.72 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.69, and significantly up from $0.03 in the same quarter last year [2]. - Revenues for Q4 2024 rose 7% year over year to $15.62 billion, driven by Keytruda and new products, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $15.56 billion [3]. - Full-year 2024 sales increased 7% to $64.2 billion, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $64.06 billion [18]. Segment Performance - The Pharmaceutical segment generated revenues of $14.04 billion, up 7% year over year, driven by oncology and cardiovascular drugs [4]. - Keytruda sales reached $7.84 billion, a 21% increase year over year, benefiting from strong demand in various cancer indications [5]. - The Animal Health segment reported revenues of $1.40 billion, up 9% year over year, driven by higher demand and pricing [14]. Product-Specific Insights - Sales of Gardasil vaccines fell 18% to $1.55 billion due to lower demand in China, leading to a temporary halt in shipments [7][9]. - Januvia/Janumet sales declined 36% year over year to $487 million, impacted by lower demand and pricing in the U.S. [12]. - New drug Winrevair generated $200 million in sales, reflecting strong uptake in the U.S. market [13]. Guidance and Future Outlook - For 2025, Merck expects revenues between $64.1 billion and $65.6 billion, representing 2% to 4% growth, but this guidance is below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $68.05 billion [20][21]. - The company anticipates a negative impact on sales from the temporary halt of Gardasil shipments in China and foreign exchange fluctuations [21][22]. - Adjusted earnings per share for 2025 are projected to be between $8.88 and $9.03, slightly below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.18 [25]. Market Position and Trends - Merck's stock has seen a 3.9% increase over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500, but recent estimates have trended downward, indicating potential challenges ahead [1][27]. - The company holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), suggesting expectations of below-average returns in the near term [30].
The Zacks Analyst Blog Novo Nordisk, The Coca-Cola, Wells Fargo and Star Group
ZACKS· 2025-03-05 08:45
Core Insights - The article highlights the performance and outlook of several major companies, including Novo Nordisk, Coca-Cola, Wells Fargo, and Star Group, based on recent research reports from Zacks Equity Research. Novo Nordisk - Shares of Novo Nordisk have underperformed the Zacks Large Cap Pharmaceuticals industry over the past year, declining by 37% compared to a 3% increase in the industry [4] - The company faced setbacks due to the failure to meet weight-loss targets with CagriSema and intense competition in the obesity sector, alongside challenges from patent expirations and pricing pressures in the diabetes market [4] - Despite these challenges, Novo Nordisk exceeded fourth-quarter earnings and sales estimates, driven by strong performance from diabetes drugs Ozempic and Rybelsus, as well as the obesity drug Wegovy [5] - The company is addressing supply constraints for Wegovy through significant investments to increase production and is expanding its indications to include cardiovascular benefits [6] Coca-Cola - Coca-Cola's shares have outperformed the Zacks Beverages - Soft Drinks industry over the past year, increasing by 19.2% compared to a 6.6% rise in the industry [7] - The company has consistently beaten sales and earnings expectations for eight consecutive quarters, with fourth-quarter results benefiting from strong business momentum and higher pricing amid inflation [8] - Coca-Cola's strategy focuses on marketing, innovation, and revenue growth management, which is expected to drive revenue growth in 2025, although the company faces inflationary cost pressures [9] Wells Fargo - Shares of Wells Fargo have outperformed the Zacks Financial - Investment Bank industry over the past six months, increasing by 42.2% compared to a 25% rise in the industry [10] - The company is enhancing its risk management and compliance infrastructure, having resolved ten regulatory consent orders since 2019, which supports its operational strategy [10] - Efficiency initiatives, including branch reductions, are expected to lower expenses and drive growth, although loan growth may be limited due to ongoing regulatory constraints [12] Star Group - Star Group's shares have outperformed the Zacks Electronics - Miscellaneous Products industry over the past year, increasing by 26.6% compared to a 44.2% decline in the industry [13] - The company reported a first-quarter net income surge to $32.9 million, driven by favorable derivative movements, despite revenue declines [13] - Adjusted EBITDA rose to $51.9 million, supported by acquisitions and margin expansion, although overall revenues fell by 7.6% to $488.1 million due to lower selling prices [14][15]
Why the Market Dipped But Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Gained Today
ZACKS· 2025-03-03 23:50
Group 1: Company Performance - Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) closed at $167.28, with a +1.37% increase, outperforming the S&P 500's loss of 1.76% [1] - Over the previous month, JNJ shares gained 8.46%, significantly surpassing the Medical sector's gain of 1.11% and the S&P 500's loss of 1.26% [1] Group 2: Upcoming Earnings - The upcoming earnings disclosure is anticipated to show an EPS of $2.59, reflecting a 4.43% decline compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is expected to be $21.66 billion, indicating a 1.29% increase from the same quarter last year [2] Group 3: Fiscal Year Estimates - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are projected at $10.58 per share, with a revenue estimate of $90.03 billion, representing changes of +6.01% and +1.36% respectively from the previous year [3] Group 4: Analyst Forecast Revisions - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts are crucial as they indicate changing business trends, with positive revisions reflecting analysts' confidence in the company's performance [4] Group 5: Zacks Rank and Stock Performance - The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), currently ranks JNJ at 3 (Hold) [6] - The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has increased by 0.03% in the past month [6] Group 6: Valuation Metrics - JNJ has a Forward P/E ratio of 15.59, which is higher than the industry average of 12.91 [7] - The PEG ratio for JNJ stands at 2.65, compared to the average PEG ratio of 1.47 for Large Cap Pharmaceuticals [7] Group 7: Industry Ranking - The Large Cap Pharmaceuticals industry is currently ranked 196 in the Zacks Industry Rank, placing it in the bottom 22% of over 250 industries [8]
Merck (MRK) Exceeds Market Returns: Some Facts to Consider
ZACKS· 2025-02-28 23:51
Merck (MRK) ended the recent trading session at $92.25, demonstrating a +1.84% swing from the preceding day's closing price. The stock's change was more than the S&P 500's daily gain of 1.59%. Elsewhere, the Dow gained 1.39%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq added 1.63%.Prior to today's trading, shares of the pharmaceutical company had lost 8.46% over the past month. This has lagged the Medical sector's loss of 0.63% and the S&P 500's loss of 2.42% in that time.Market participants will be closely following the f ...