Senior bankers at Goldman Sachs told us they’re betting on a revival of European dealmaking because more investors are looking outside the US to generate returns: Here's your European Evening Briefing https://t.co/Q72VeqPNhp ...

Company Overview - PriceMDs.com, Inc. is an innovative healthcare technology and solutions company that significantly reduces medical costs for self-insured employers and their members [1][3] - The company provides a healthcare services marketplace platform that connects patients, physicians, surgery centers, and medical imaging facilities to deliver cost-effective medical care [3] - PriceMDs.com leverages cloud-based solutions to enable consumers and employers to access transparent pricing for surgeries, diagnostic imaging, and other healthcare procedures [3] Recent Developments - PriceMDs.com announced the entry into a senior secured credit facility of up to $20 million funded by BankUnited [1] - Roth Capital Partners acted as the exclusive financial advisor for this offering [1] Financial Partner Information - BankUnited is a national bank headquartered in Miami Lakes, Florida, providing a full range of consumer and commercial banking products and services [4] - BankUnited has a long-standing record of consistent operating performance and has been recognized as one of the top performing financial institutions in the country [6] Advisory and Legal Representation - Greenberg Traurig, LLP represented PriceMDs.com in the transaction [1] - Roth Capital Partners provides a full-service platform focused on serving growth companies and their investors [6]

A Goldman Sachs investment vehicle plans to quit the London Stock Exchange, having struggled to attract investor interest since going public four years ago https://t.co/d9r1WtMZvh ...

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong property developer New World Development has secured a term loan facility of up to HK$5.9 billion (approximately $758.62 million) from Deutsche Bank [1] Group 1: Company Information - New World Development is a property developer based in Hong Kong [1] - The company has successfully obtained a significant loan facility to support its operations [1] Group 2: Financial Details - The term loan facility amounts to HK$5.9 billion, which is equivalent to $758.62 million [1]

#报告 #A股 高盛客户问答：如何对待中国股票牛市？ https://t.co/j7g7PICfs9None (@None):None ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report provides insights into various asset classes including equities, fixed income, currencies, and commodities, with a focus on market sentiment and positioning as of September 19, 2025. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Equity Market Forecasts**: - S&P 500 is forecasted to return -25.3% in a bear case, with a base case return of -1.3% and a bull case return of 9.2% [3] - MSCI Europe shows a bear case return of -24.3%, base case of 4.5%, and bull case of 21.2% [3] - Topix is projected to return -31.1% in a bear case, -5.7% in a base case, and 5.4% in a bull case [3] - MSCI Emerging Markets (EM) is expected to return -32.7% in a bear case, -8.1% in a base case, and 3.8% in a bull case [3] 2. **Currency Performance**: - JPY is expected to appreciate by 18.3% in a bear case, with a base case of 10.9% and a bull case of 0.5% [3] - EUR is forecasted to return -4.7% in a bear case, with a base case of 4.7% and a bull case of 9.0% [3] - GBP shows minimal change with a bear case of 0.4% and a bull case of 12.3% [3] 3. **Bond Market Insights**: - UST 10-year bonds are expected to yield 5.7% in a bear case, 10.2% in a base case, and 15.3% in a bull case [3] - UKT 10-year bonds forecast a bear case return of 8.0%, base case of 10.0%, and bull case of 17.4% [3] 4. **Commodity Market Trends**: - Brent crude oil is projected to return -23.1% in a bear case, with a base case of -7.8% and a bull case of 84.4% [3] - Gold is expected to return -21.4% in a bear case, -7.5% in a base case, and 10.9% in a bull case [3] 5. **Market Sentiment and Positioning**: - The Market Sentiment Indicator (MSI) aggregates survey positioning, volatility, and momentum data to quantify market stress and sentiment [62] - Current sentiment shows a negative bias, indicating potential market stress [62] 6. **ETF Flows**: - US equities experienced a significant outflow of $19.8 billion over the past week, indicating a bearish sentiment [44] - In contrast, bonds saw inflows of $15.9 billion, suggesting a flight to safety among investors [44] Additional Important Insights - The Nikkei 225 index surpassed the 45,000 mark for the first time, indicating strong performance in the Japanese equity market [10][14] - The DXY index fell to its lowest level since March 2022, reflecting a weakening US dollar [10][19] - Bond volatility has dropped to a near four-year low, suggesting reduced uncertainty in the bond markets [10][13] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the current state and forecasts of various asset classes, market sentiment, and significant market movements.

Investment Rating - The report suggests a bearish outlook on the USD due to increasing Fed dovishness and contrasts with foreign central banks [63] Core Insights - The market pricing of Fed policy is expected to move well below the September 2024 low, with current market pricing remaining approximately 50 basis points above the economists' probability-weighted path [63] - The report indicates that the market-implied trough rate places little probability on a recession, suggesting a skew towards a more dovish Fed path [63] - US Treasury yields are anticipated to decline, with the term premium expected to remain range-bound [63] - The report highlights a tension between the Fed's focus on labor market weakness and the equity market's focus on future earnings improvements [63] - Credit markets are expected to see compelling all-in credit yields with good carry relative to cash and inflation [63] - Emerging Market (EM) sovereign credit is projected to have supportive technicals, with expectations of positive total returns driven by lower UST yields [63] Summary by Sections US Treasury and Fed Policy - The market-implied trough fed funds rate is projected to fall further, with current pricing suggesting a more hawkish Fed path than the baseline [9][63] - The report emphasizes that the Fed's dovish stance contrasts with foreign central banks, which may lead to a weaker USD [63] US Equities - The report notes a potential disconnect between the Fed's concerns over labor market data and the equity market's focus on improving earnings revisions and pricing power [63] Credit Markets - All-in credit yields are described as compelling, with a preference for the belly of the curve (5-10 years) in investment-grade (IG) for carry and roll-down strategies [37][63] - High-yield (HY) bonds are favored over floating-rate loans amid accelerating inflows and better price convexity [63] Emerging Market Sovereign Credit - The report suggests maintaining spread betas slightly lower than the benchmark, with a preference for BB bonds and a focus on specific countries like South Africa, Mexico, and Guatemala [61][63]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry [1]. Core Insights - The nominal GS US Financial Conditions Index decreased by 4.5 basis points to 98.42, primarily due to rising equity prices [1] - The real GS US Financial Conditions Index also fell by 5.6 basis points to 98.00 [1] - The Q3 GDP forecast stands at +2.2% (quarter-over-quarter annualized) [7] - The US MAP index of economic surprises increased to +0.25 [9] - The preliminary September Current Activity Indicator is at +2.1%, unchanged from August [13] Economic Indicators - The nominal GS US Financial Conditions Index and the real (inflation-adjusted) FCI are key indicators of financial conditions [1][4] - The report tracks changes in various economic indicators, including GDP growth and economic surprises, which are essential for assessing the economic landscape [7][9] - The report highlights the importance of the Current Activity Indicator as a measure of economic performance [13] Financial Conditions - The report indicates a tightening in financial conditions, as evidenced by the changes in the GS Nominal FCI and its components [6] - The report provides a detailed analysis of the components affecting the financial conditions, including Fed Funds and credit spreads [6] GDP Tracking - The report includes a daily advance GDP tracking estimate, showing the expected growth trajectory for the upcoming quarters [8] - The tracking estimates are crucial for understanding the economic outlook and potential investment opportunities [8] Labor Market Insights - The report features a Labor Market Tracker, which provides insights into job growth and unemployment rates [19] - The Job Growth Tracker indicates changes in nonfarm payroll employment, which is vital for assessing labor market health [19] Inflation Tracking - The Core Inflation Tracker is included to monitor inflation trends, which are critical for investment decisions [33] - The report emphasizes the significance of inflation metrics in evaluating economic stability and growth prospects [33]

Company Overview - Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is a leading global, full-service investment banking and capital markets firm that provides advisory, sales and trading, research, and wealth and asset management services [3][7] - The company operates more than 40 offices around the world, offering insights and expertise to investors, companies, and governments [3][7] Upcoming Events - Jefferies will host its annual Investor Day on October 16, 2025, at 9:00 a.m. in Manhattan, featuring management presentations and a Q&A session [1][8] - The event will be available for both in-person and virtual attendance, with registration required by October 14, 2025 [2][8] - Jefferies is set to release its third quarter financial results on September 29, 2025, after market close [7] Strategic Alliances - Jefferies and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, along with its subsidiaries, are significantly expanding their Global Strategic Alliance, which was initially established in 2021 [6]

Core Viewpoint - Jefferies (JEF) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.79 per share, a 5.3% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $1.89 billion, reflecting a 12.4% year-over-year growth [1]. Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 21.1% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3]. Revenue Estimates - Analysts estimate 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Asset Management Net revenues' to reach $158.61 million, a significant increase of 168.8% from the previous year [5]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Investment Banking and Capital Markets Net revenues' is projected at $1.73 billion, indicating a 6.9% increase year-over-year [5]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Capital Markets' is expected to be $709.12 million, reflecting a 5.7% increase from the prior year [6]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Capital Markets- Equities' is forecasted at $422.83 million, showing a 10.9% year-over-year growth [6]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Capital Markets- Fixed income' is estimated at $286.29 million, suggesting a 1% decline year-over-year [7]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Investment Banking- Total underwriting- Advisory' is projected to reach $662.11 million, indicating an 11.8% increase from the previous year [7]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Investment Banking' is expected to be $1.02 billion, reflecting a 7.8% year-over-year increase [8]. Specific Revenue Breakdown - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Investment Banking- Total underwriting- Debt underwriting' is estimated at $191.28 million, a 4.5% increase from the prior year [9]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Investment Banking- Total underwriting- Equity underwriting' is projected at $172.46 million, indicating a 14.9% year-over-year growth [9]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Investment Banking- Total underwriting' is expected to reach $363.75 million, reflecting a 9.2% increase from the previous year [10]. - 'Net Revenues by Source- Total Asset Management Net revenues- Asset management fees and revenues' is projected at $15.26 million, indicating a 15% increase year-over-year [10]. Market Performance - Over the past month, Jefferies shares have returned +6.4%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +3.1% change, suggesting a favorable outlook for the stock [11].