FY25 Results Presentation 27 August 2025 Anthony Hynes. Executive Chair For personal use only James Georgeson. Group CFO Disclaimer & Important Notice This investor presentation has been prepared by EML Payments Limited ABN 93 104 757 904 (EML) and is general background information about EML's activities current as at the date of this presentation. This information is given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. Information in this presentation should not be considered as advice or a recommend ...

Core Insights - Visa Inc. has integrated its real-time money movement platform, Visa Direct, into Authvia's TXT2PAY platform, enhancing capabilities in conversational commerce and text-based payment solutions [1][10] Group 1: Visa Direct and Authvia Integration - The combination of Authvia's technology with Visa Direct allows for instant transfers to eligible Visa debit cards, enabling businesses in various sectors to provide real-time payments via text messages [2][3] - The TXT2PAY platform now supports real-time outbound payments to eligible Visa cards in select markets, facilitating refunds, insurance claims, and other payouts without the need for checks or apps [3] Group 2: Market Impact and Growth Potential - This integration is expected to increase the usage of Visa Direct, potentially boosting Visa's customer base and cross-border transaction volumes, which grew by 12% year over year in Q3 of fiscal 2025 [4][10] - Visa has developed multiple cross-border platforms, including Visa B2B Connect, to enhance global money movement, with Geoswift integrating Visa Direct to enable payouts in 32 countries and 13 currencies [5] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Competitors such as Mastercard and PayPal are also expanding their cross-border payment capabilities, with Mastercard's cross-border volumes rising 15% and PayPal's increasing by 10% year over year in Q2 [6][7][8] Group 4: Financial Performance and Estimates - Visa's shares have increased by 28.7% over the past year, outperforming the industry average growth of 19.8% [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Visa's fiscal 2025 earnings suggests a 13.7% increase from the previous year, with revenue growth projected at 10.9% [14]

Core Insights - The payments industry is highly sensitive to consumer spending shifts, raising concerns about which companies can maintain earnings momentum amid cooling demand [1][2] Economic Context - U.S. consumer spending growth was 1.4% in Q2, an improvement from 0.5% in Q1 but significantly lower than 2.8% in 2024, marking the fifth-slowest rate since Q3 2021 [2] - Factors such as tariffs, inflation, and softer job growth are negatively impacting consumer sentiment, leading to more cautious spending behavior [2] Company Comparisons - Visa Inc. and American Express Company are highlighted as key players in the payments sector, with differing business models and customer bases that may affect their performance during a slowdown [3] - Visa's diversified customer base and lower credit risk position it favorably compared to AmEx, which relies heavily on U.S. premium cardholders and lending income [4][5] Visa's Strengths - Visa's payments volume increased by 8% year over year, with cross-border activity up 12%, indicating resilience against domestic spending weaknesses [4][6] - Visa's operational model reduces credit risk exposure, with a long-term debt-to-capital ratio of 33.6%, significantly lower than AmEx's 64.3% [5] - Investments in e-commerce and digital payment technologies enhance Visa's adaptability and relevance in the payments ecosystem [7] American Express's Position - AmEx's premium cardholder base leads to higher average spending, with a 9% year-over-year revenue increase in the latest quarter [8][9] - However, AmEx's reliance on transaction fees and lending income exposes it to higher credit risk, with rising provisions for credit losses noted [10] - AmEx's U.S.-centric model makes it more vulnerable to domestic spending downturns compared to Visa's global reach [11] Financial Performance and Valuation - Visa's fiscal 2025 earnings estimates show 11 upward revisions, with expected sales and EPS growth of 10.9% and 13.7% respectively [13] - In contrast, AmEx's estimates reflect one upward and one downward revision, with projected sales and EPS growth of 8.3% and 14.3% [14] - Visa trades at a forward earnings multiple of 27.46X, while AmEx trades at 19X, reflecting Visa's stronger earnings visibility and lower credit risk exposure [15] Market Performance - Year-to-date, Visa shares have increased by 10.4%, outperforming the broader industry and S&P 500, while AmEx shares are up 6.4% [18] Conclusion - Both Visa and American Express are key players in the payments industry, but Visa's diversified model, lower credit risk, and strong market performance position it better to withstand potential consumer spending slowdowns [21][22]

Core Insights - Toast Inc. (TOST) and Block Inc. (XYZ) are prominent players in the merchant payments and point-of-sale (POS) sector, with TOST focusing on the restaurant market and Block offering a diversified fintech ecosystem [1][2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The POS market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 8.1% from 2025 to 2030, reaching $181.47 billion [2] - Both companies are leveraging the digitization of payments and integrated software platforms to capture a larger share of the profitable POS market [2] Group 2: Toast Inc. (TOST) Performance - TOST added 8,500 net new locations in the second quarter, totaling 148,000 locations, marking a 24% year-over-year increase [3] - The company is on track to exceed $100 million in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) by the end of 2025, with significant wins in the quick-service restaurant (QSR) segment [4] - TOST's AI-powered tools, including the Toast Go 3 Handheld, enhance operational efficiency for restaurant staff [5] - The company expects a 29% growth in fintech and subscription gross profit for 2025, with adjusted EBITDA projected at $575 million, reflecting a 32% margin [6] Group 3: Block Inc. (XYZ) Performance - Block's Square POS platform serves a diverse range of businesses, contributing to its risk mitigation strategy [8] - Square's transaction revenues reached $1.76 billion, up 8.8% year-over-year, with GPV growth accelerating to 10% [11] - The company is focusing on expanding its presence in the QSR segment and has seen strong performance in new volume added [12] Group 4: Stock Performance and Valuation - TOST and XYZ have seen stock declines of 11.2% and 1.8%, respectively, over the past month [16] - TOST shares are trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 37.99X, while XYZ is at 24.17X, indicating that both companies are considered overvalued [18][17] - Analysts have revised earnings estimates upward by 12.8% for TOST and 3.6% for XYZ for the current year [19][21] Group 5: Competitive Positioning - TOST's focus on the restaurant ecosystem and its rapid expansion into enterprise and international markets provide a scalable growth opportunity [23] - The integration of AI-driven product launches enhances customer retention and upsell potential for TOST, positioning it favorably in the competitive POS landscape [23]

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Group 1: Visa - Visa operates one of the largest electronic payment networks globally, facilitating transactions for individuals and businesses across 200 countries and territories [3][4] - In the 2024 fiscal year, Visa processed 234 billion transactions, averaging 829 million transactions per day, showcasing its extensive network effect and competitive advantage [4] - Visa's asset-light business model allows it to earn fees from processing and network services, resulting in consistent double-digit revenue growth and strong free cash flow [5] - Management views stablecoins as an opportunity rather than a threat, aiming to integrate them into its payments ecosystem to enhance cross-border transactions [6] - Visa is considered a solid blue-chip stock due to its strong network effects, stable cash flow, and resilience in growing with the global economy [7] Group 2: Progressive - Progressive is one of the largest auto insurers in the U.S., also providing home, renters, and commercial insurance [8] - The company excels in risk management through data analytics, particularly with its usage-based insurance product, SnapShot [9] - Progressive's combined ratio has averaged 91.6% since 2002, indicating profitable underwriting well below the industry average of around 100% [10] - The company has demonstrated steady premium growth and underwriting profitability, solidifying its status as a blue-chip stock [11] Group 3: CME Group - CME Group operates the world's largest derivatives exchange, offering futures and options across various asset classes [12] - The company benefits from robust network effects and deep liquidity pools, essential for effective risk management, especially during market stress [13] - CME has achieved all-time quarterly volume records in key products, indicating strong demand and resilience in revenue from clearing and transaction fees [13][14] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from increased hedging demand and the ongoing electronification of trading amid global uncertainty [14] Group 4: Chubb - Chubb is the world's largest publicly traded property and casualty insurer, underwriting various insurance policies across multiple lines [15] - The company's scale, diversification, and underwriting expertise contribute to consistent profitability and strong cash flow generation [16] - Chubb has a long history of dividend growth, rewarding shareholders for 32 consecutive years, and is positioned to capitalize on rising global insurance demand [16][17]

Core Insights - Visa Inc. is enhancing its cross-border payment capabilities through platforms like Visa Direct and Visa B2B Connect, facilitating fast and secure international transactions [1][2][4] Group 1: Cross-Border Platforms - Visa Direct enables near real-time payments to cards, bank accounts, and wallets globally, with integration announced with Geoswift for payouts in 32 countries across 13 currencies [1] - Visa B2B Connect focuses on business-to-business payments, with a recent partnership with Qatar Islamic Bank to enhance cross-border B2B payments to over 120 countries [2] - Visa's platforms incorporate multi-currency and FX services, providing transparency and flexibility for consumers and businesses [3] Group 2: Performance Metrics - Cross-border volumes for Visa increased by 12% year-over-year in Q3 FY25, while international transaction revenues rose by 14% year-over-year [4][9] - Visa's shares have gained 30.7% over the past year, outperforming the industry average growth of 22.5% [8] Group 3: Competitor Analysis - Competitors like Mastercard and PayPal also have strong cross-border payment solutions, with Mastercard's cross-border volumes improving by 15% and PayPal's by 10% year-over-year [5][6][7] Group 4: Valuation and Estimates - Visa trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 27.09, above the industry average of 22.16 [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Visa's fiscal 2025 earnings suggests a 13.7% increase from the previous year, with revenue growth estimated at 10.9% [12]

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Core Insights - Mastercard is a leading player in the payments industry, processing $2.6 trillion in volume and 43.5 billion transactions in Q2 2025 [1] Performance Summary - Over the past three years, Mastercard shares have generated a total return of 68%, increasing a $10,000 investment to $16,800, which translates to a compound annual return of 18.9% [4] - Revenue increased by 47% and diluted earnings per share rose by 74% from Q2 2022 to the most recent quarter, indicating strong underlying performance [5] Valuation Concerns - Current valuation appears stretched with a price-to-earnings ratio of 39.5, which may limit future upside potential [6][7]

Core Insights - American Express Company (AXP) is enhancing its global sports and entertainment portfolio through new partnerships, including collaborations with Hard Rock Stadium, the Formula 1 Crypto.com Miami Grand Prix, and the Miami Dolphins as their official payments partner [1][9]. Partnerships and Benefits - Eligible AmEx cardholders will receive exclusive benefits such as Amex Presale Tickets, access to VIP lounges, and a special entrance, aiming to create a unique space where sports, culture, and premium experiences converge [2][9]. - The sponsorship of the Formula 1 Crypto.com Miami Grand Prix supports AXP's expansion plans into over 20 global races by 2025, focusing on immersive fan experiences and card member benefits like AmEx Race Radios [3][9]. Market Position and Performance - AXP's sports portfolio is robust, featuring significant sponsorships in various sports, with Miami being a strategic location due to Hard Rock Stadium's role as the home of the Dolphins and a venue for major events [4][9]. - In 2023, AXP's network volume was approximately $1.7 billion, reflecting a 5% year-over-year increase in 2024, followed by a 6% rise in the first half of 2025, indicating resilience in travel and entertainment spending [5]. Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Mastercard and Visa are also active in the entertainment sector, with Mastercard's purchase transactions increasing by 9.6% year-over-year in the first half of 2025, while Visa's payments volume rose by 8% year-over-year in Q3 of fiscal 2025 [6][7]. Financial Metrics - AXP shares have increased by 3.9% year-to-date, outperforming the industry growth of 1.8% [8]. - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 18.56X, lower than the industry average of 20.17, and has a Value Score of B [10]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AXP's 2025 earnings is $15.26 per share, representing a 14.3% increase from the previous year [11].