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City Developments:城市发展有限公司2025年第一季度运营更新-20250521
Morgan Stanley· 2025-05-21 13:35
Investment Rating - The investment rating for City Developments is Underweight [4][60]. Core Insights - City Developments sold S$1.9 billion worth of residential units in Singapore during 1Q25, with expectations to approach 2024's total sales of S$3 billion due to ongoing sales and a planned launch of a 706-unit condo at Zion Road in the second half of the year [1]. - Commercial occupancies in Singapore saw a slight decline, with office occupancy dropping from 98% to 97% and retail from 98% to 96%, although rental reversions for key properties remained positive [1]. - Hotel RevPARs grew by 1% year-over-year, which was slower than anticipated, primarily due to a 17% decline in Singapore [2]. - The offer to privatize Millennium & Copthorne Hotels New Zealand concluded with City Developments increasing its stake from 76% to 84%, falling short of the 90% threshold for compulsory acquisition, and no further takeover offers will be made for at least nine months from April 22, 2025 [2]. Financial Metrics - The price target for City Developments is set at S$4.80, representing a 1% upside from the closing price of S$4.73 on May 20, 2025 [4]. - The market capitalization is currently S$4,226 million, with an enterprise value of S$11,770 million [4]. - Projected EPS for the fiscal years ending December 2024, 2025, 2026, and 2027 are S$0.08, S$0.35, S$0.48, and S$0.62 respectively [4]. - Revenue projections for the same fiscal years are S$3,271 million, S$3,583 million, S$3,827 million, and S$5,120 million [4]. - The company has a P/E ratio of 22.8 for 2024, decreasing to 7.5 by 2027 [4]. - The dividend yield is projected to increase from 2.0% in 2025 to 3.0% by 2027 [4].
VGP Announces €76 Million Tap Issuance Under Green Bond Framework with EBRD
Globenewswire· 2025-05-19 16:00
Core Points - VGP NV announced a tap issuance of €76 million in additional senior unsecured Green Bonds, subscribed by the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) [2] - The total outstanding amount of green bonds now stands at €576 million, which includes the existing €500 million green bonds due on 29 January 2031 [3] - The net proceeds from the issuance will exclusively finance or refinance eligible Green Projects aligned with VGP's Sustainable Finance Framework [4] Company Overview - VGP is a pan-European owner, manager, and developer of high-quality logistics and semi-industrial properties, as well as a provider of renewable energy solutions [8] - As of December 2024, VGP's gross asset value was €7.8 billion, with a net asset value (EPRA NTA) of €2.4 billion [8] - The company operates in 18 European countries and has around 380 full-time employees [8]
高盛:中国转向内需驱动,凸显房地产价值链的投资建议
Goldman Sachs· 2025-05-08 04:22
Investment Rating - The report highlights a "Buy" rating for seven selected stocks within the property value chain, indicating a positive outlook for these companies as they are well-positioned to benefit from recovering housing upgrade needs and building renovation demand [3][34]. Core Insights - The property value chain is expected to see a significant shift towards domestic demand, driven by potential policy support aimed at mitigating external uncertainties. This shift is projected to create a total addressable market (TAM) of Rmb5.7 trillion by 2035, representing a 70% increase compared to 2024 [3][34]. - The report anticipates an average 5% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in topline revenue for the property value chain companies through 2035, with a notable improvement in profitability and dividend yields due to operational efficiencies and disciplined capital expenditures [5][34]. Summary by Sections Property Value Chain Stocks - The report identifies seven stocks (CRL, Yuhong, BNBM, Kinlong, Robam, KE, and Greentown Service) as beneficiaries of domestic stimulus, all rated as "Buy" [3][34][18]. Executive Summary - The property construction value chain, which constitutes approximately 30% of China's GDP, has faced challenges due to the downturn. However, potential policy support for domestic demand is expected to accelerate housing upgrades and boost secondary market transactions [29][34]. Implications for the Value Chain - The report outlines three main implications for the value chain: a decline in demand for building products, a consolidation of the developer industry, and a significant shift towards secondary market transactions, which are projected to account for 66% of total housing transactions by 2035 [31][32][51]. Housing Market Outlook - By 2035, housing demand is expected to be 40% below peak levels, with a significant portion coming from Tier-1 and Tier-2 cities. The secondary market is projected to overtake the primary market in terms of transaction volume and value [42][51]. Renovation Demand - Renovation demand is anticipated to nearly double by 2035, contributing approximately 60% of total construction gross floor area (GFA), which will help offset the decline in new builds [54][36].
Property Data Monitor_ Mainland China_ weekly sales stayed bleak; HK_ Sierra Sea (1st batch) sold out. Mon Apr 28 2025
2025-05-06 02:29
Summary of the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Real Estate in Mainland China and Hong Kong - **Key Focus**: Property sales trends, market indicators, and investment opportunities Mainland China Insights - **Sales Performance**: - 60-city primary sales registrations down 18% year-over-year (Y/Y) but showed a 17% week-over-week (W/W) increase due to month-end effects [4][6] - Compared to the 4-year average, sales improved from -71% to -60%, still weaker than the average decline of 45-55% in Q1 2025 [4][6] - **Leading Indicators**: - Centaline tier-1 cities' secondary asking price index slightly improved from 21.3 to 21.9, remaining near a 6-month low [4][6] - Centaline manager confidence index dropped from 51.0 to 50.6 [4][6] - Property agency web traffic index decreased by 26% Y/Y and 3% W/W [4][6] - **Market Sentiment**: - The sector experienced a 3% drop last week, underperforming the Hang Seng Index (HSI) which rose by 3% [4][6] - Suggested strategy: "the worse, the better," indicating potential tactical opportunities [4][6] Hong Kong Market Update - **Sales Performance**: - The first batch of Sierra Sea (318 units) sold out completely at launch, attributed to low lump sum and attractive pricing [4][6] - Secondary transactions in top 35 estates rose by 4% W/W [4][6] - Secondary home prices increased marginally by 0.01% W/W [4][6] - **Market Trends**: - HK Property rose by 4% last week, slightly outperforming the HSI [4][6] - Outperformers included Champion REIT and HK Land, both up 14% due to strategic disposals and buyback programs [4][6] - Caution advised on NWD and Wharf REIC, while preference is given to high dividend certainty names like Swire Prop and Link REIT [4][6] Investment Recommendations - **Buy on Dips**: - Focus on quality state-owned enterprises (SOEs) such as CR Land and CR Mixc, and companies with turnaround stories like Longfor and Jinmao [4][6] - **Price Adjustments**: - Expectation of a 5% correction in home prices in 2025 due to anticipated market weaknesses [4][6] Additional Insights - **Sales Data**: - Detailed sales data by tier and region indicates varying performance across different city tiers, with tier-1 cities showing more resilience compared to tier-3/4 cities [4][6] - **Future Launches**: - Upcoming projects and their expected sell-through rates are critical for gauging market recovery and investor sentiment [4][6] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting the current state of the real estate market in Mainland China and Hong Kong, along with strategic investment insights.
Audited annual report of AS Trigon Property Development for 2024
Globenewswire· 2025-04-29 14:00
The supervisory board of AS Trigon Property Development approved on 29th of April 2025 the audited annual report and profit allocation proposal for the year 2024. The supervisory board decided to present the annual report and profit allocation proposal as prepared by the management for the approval of the general meeting of shareholders. The revenues and profits remained unchanged compared to the preliminary disclosure on 20 February 2025. The original audited Annual Report 2024 document is submitted in mac ...
高盛:亚太地区信心清单 - 精选 4 月更新,新增联发科、华润置地、潍柴动力、卡夫顿;剔除爱德万测试、台达电子、吉宝企业、紫金矿业
Goldman Sachs· 2025-04-02 14:06
Investment Ratings - The report includes a "Buy" rating for MediaTek, CR Land, Weichai Power, and Krafton, while removing Advantest, Delta Electronics, Keppel Ltd, and Zijin Mining from the APAC Conviction List [1]. Core Insights - MediaTek is transitioning from a traditional smartphone application processor provider to an AI-focused company, with expected revenue and earnings growth of 16% and 17% CAGR from 2024 to 2027, respectively [2][24]. - CR Land is positioned for recovery in business growth and profitability, with forecasts indicating a re-acceleration in contract sales growth and market share gains [3][41]. - Weichai Power is expected to benefit from an improving outlook for heavy-duty trucks and a more profitable engine portfolio, with a forecasted 18% EPS CAGR over two years [4]. - Krafton's PUBG franchise is anticipated to drive earnings, with a focus on strong performance in upcoming results [5][9]. Summary by Company MediaTek - Positioned to transition to AI applications, with a forecasted revenue growth of 16% CAGR from 2024 to 2027, driven by market share gains and new total addressable markets (TAMs) [2][24][25]. - Expected operating margin (OpM) improvement from 19% in 2025 to 22% in 2027 [25]. - Current trading at 16x/13x FY26/27E P/E, at the mid/low-end of its historical range [26]. CR Land - Forecasts indicate contract sales growth re-acceleration and market share gains, with a projected gross profit margin recovery to 18% by 2027 [3][41]. - Expected average free cash flow (FCF) yield of 11% during 2025-2027 [3]. - Current share price implies a compelling valuation at 0.4x P/B on its development property business [3]. Weichai Power - Anticipated re-rating due to improved cyclical outlook for heavy-duty trucks and a more profitable engine portfolio [4]. - Forecasted gradual increase in dividend payout supported by strong net cash position and FCF generation [4]. - Currently trades at 10x 2025E P/E with a 6% dividend yield [4]. Krafton - Focus on the strong momentum of the PUBG franchise as a key earnings driver [5][9]. - Expected to outperform consensus estimates in upcoming earnings release [9]. - Currently trading at near-historical trough level at 12x 2025E P/E [9].
China Property_ Major Developers' February Sales Stayed Decent, but Sustainability Remains Key
2025-03-03 10:45
Summary of Conference Call on China Property Market Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the **China Property** market, specifically the performance of major developers in February 2025, as tracked by **CRIC** [1][2]. Key Points Sales Performance - **Contracted sales** of 30 major developers dropped **16% year-on-year (y-y)** in February 2025, following a low base [1]. - The **top 50 and top 100 developers** saw attributable sales growth of **3% and 2% y-y**, respectively, compared to declines of **-4% and -1% in January** [2]. - Year-to-date (YTD) sales decline for the top developers narrowed to **-1% and 0% y-y** in the first two months of 2025, contrasting with **+5% and +2% in Q4 2024** [2]. Divergence in Performance - **State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs)** outperformed others, with notable growth from **Yuexiu (+63%)**, **COLI (+55%)**, **CR Land (+47%)**, and **C&D (+36%)** y-y [3]. - Conversely, some developers like **Zhongliang**, **Zhongnan**, and **Seazen** experienced declines exceeding **50% y-y** [3]. - Semi-SOE developers such as **Gemdale** and **Vanke** also reported weak performance, with declines of **-45% and -27% y-y**, respectively [3]. Future Outlook - Sales for major developers are expected to weaken y-y in the coming months due to reduced saleable resources and a higher base [4]. - The housing policy response is anticipated to remain reactive, with limited demand-side stimulus until housing prices stabilize [4]. - There is a need for faster policy implementation, particularly regarding funding and inventory buybacks, to bolster homebuyer confidence [4]. Investment Recommendations - The industry performance may hinge on sustained sales and home price recovery, with mixed signals observed in the physical market [5]. - The recommendation is to focus on **defensive SOE players** with substantial saleable resources in tier 1 cities, such as **CR Land (1109.HK)**, **Greentown (3900.HK)**, and **Yuexiu (0123.HK)** [5]. Additional Insights - The **fragility of residential sentiment** is highlighted, as reflected in declining secondary listing prices [5]. - The **aggregate sales** for the top developers showed a **-1% y-y** change, with a **-5% month-on-month (m-m)** decline in February 2025 [9]. Conclusion - The China Property market is facing challenges with declining sales and a reactive policy environment. However, SOEs are showing resilience, and strategic investments in top-tier developers may present opportunities amidst the volatility.
SHUI ON LAND(00272) - 2023 H2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-03-21 01:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company recorded a revenue of RMB9.75 billion and a net profit of RMB1.4 billion for 2023, with profit attributable to shareholders amounting to RMB810 million [10][21] - Total rental and related income increased to RMB3.24 billion, representing a growth of 16% year on year [11][47] - The net gearing ratio increased slightly to 52%, while cash and bank deposits totaled RMB8.9 billion [11][27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Property sales amounted to RMB5.9 billion, primarily from the Panlong Qiandi project, with total contract sales of RMB11.4 billion [21][33] - Rental income increased by 16% year on year to RMB2.4 billion, driven by successful openings of commercial projects [21][47] - The company maintained a stable management area of 9 million square meters in property management [48] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The residential market showed a slow recovery, with a significant drop in residential sales area and record high national housing inventory [14] - In Shanghai, prime retail property vacancy rates and rents remained stable, with a slight 0.2% drop in rental rates year on year [15] - The office market faced challenges with a 27% drop in grade A office rents in Shanghai, leading to higher vacancy rates [16] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company will continue to adopt a prudent capital management strategy and maintain an asset-light approach, focusing on Tier one cities in the Yangtze River Delta and Greater Bay Area [6][17] - Emphasis on urban regeneration and mixed-use developments to capture unique market opportunities [18][44] - The company aims to strengthen its brand and enhance product quality in high-quality mixed-use communities [45] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management highlighted ongoing economic challenges, including geopolitical tensions, high interest rates, and sluggish market recovery [5][7] - Future market recovery is expected to be slow, with continued consolidation in the property sector [7][14] - The company remains optimistic about the Shanghai market, citing stable demand and opportunities for growth [7][43] Other Important Information - The company successfully issued the largest private green mortgage-backed onshore CMBS in April 2023 [12] - The Board recommended a final dividend of $0.58 per share, with a total full-year dividend of $0.90 per share [13][21] - Significant progress in sustainability efforts, with improved ESG ratings and over 96% of existing assets certified as green or healthy buildings [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the company's views on the current market conditions? - The company noted that the property sector is experiencing a downturn, with divergent performance among cities and regions, but top-tier cities are showing resilience [43][44] Question: How does the company plan to navigate the challenges in the office market? - The company aims to maintain high occupancy rates and focus on acquiring large tenants while enhancing service offerings [52][56] Question: What are the future plans for property development? - The company plans to launch several premium residential projects in Shanghai and continue to explore urban renewal opportunities [36][40][45]
SHUI ON LAND(00272) - 2023 H1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2023-08-22 01:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Group revenue increased by 46% to RMB 6.4 billion in the first half of 2023 compared to the same period in 2022 [7] - Profit for the period rose by 17% year on year to RMB 913 million, while profit attributable to shareholders increased by 37% year on year to RMB 618 million [7][24] - The net gearing ratio increased slightly to 50% as of June 30, 2023, compared to 45% at the end of 2022 [9][25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Property sales in the first half increased by 90% to RMB 4.6 billion, primarily driven by the Panlong Tiendi project in Shanghai [8][19] - Total rental and related income was RMB 1.5 billion, representing a growth of 3% year on year [8] - The recognized property sales for the first half amounted to RMB 34.7 billion when including joint ventures and associates [12][20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The retail portfolio occupancy averaged 91% as of June 30, with rental reversions remaining positive [13] - The office portfolio maintained an average occupancy rate of 88%, with Shanghai achieving an average occupancy of 92% [13][45] - The K-shaped market trend was noted, with solid demand in top-tier cities and quality products remaining high in demand [11][32] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain prudent but proactive capital management to ensure strong liquidity and explore additional onshore financing channels [15] - Long-term expansion plans focus on Shanghai and other first-tier cities, emphasizing urban regeneration projects [15][39] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on urban renewal opportunities, particularly in Shanghai, supported by recent government policies [39][40] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management highlighted challenges such as geopolitical tensions, high inflation, and a poor economic outlook affecting consumer spending [4][5] - Despite these challenges, the company has seen an increase in profit and stable occupancy rates, indicating resilience [6][11] - The management expressed cautious optimism regarding urban regeneration policies that could provide new opportunities [5][39] Other Important Information - The company successfully issued the largest private green mortgage-backed onshore CMBS in April, valued at RMB 4.4 billion [9][29] - The interim dividend for 2023 was recommended at $0.32 per share, reflecting the group's financial performance [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the company's strategies in the current market? - The company will continue to adopt flexible leasing strategies and enhance service quality to improve occupancy rates [50] - There is a focus on strengthening competitive advantages in community products and urban retreat offerings [50] Question: How is the company addressing the challenges in the property market? - The company is leveraging its strong brand and track record in urban regeneration to navigate the current market correction [39] - The management noted the importance of maintaining a balanced portfolio and proactive asset management [45]