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Modern Central Banking: Monetary Policy Implementation and Communication
Federal Reserve Bank Of San Francisco· 2025-11-18 02:00
Core Insights - Central banks have adapted their policies and tools over the past two decades to support the economy, provide liquidity, and promote financial stability, particularly during crises like the Global Financial Crisis and the pandemic [1][4][10] Group 1: Central Bank Operations - Central banks implement monetary policy based on principles such as interest rate control, liquidity provision, and financial stability support [6] - The balance sheets of central banks have significantly increased, reaching approximately 45%, 65%, and 35% of GDP in the UK, Eurosystem, and the US respectively, due to interventions during financial crises [11][14] - Central banks have utilized asset purchases not only to repair market functioning but also to support monetary accommodation when interest rates are near zero [9][10] Group 2: Challenges and Criticisms - Concerns regarding large central bank balance sheets include their rapid increase during crises and slow normalization during stable periods, which can create uncertainty in financial markets [15][16] - The public often lacks clarity on the reasons behind changes in central bank balance sheets, which serve multiple purposes such as emergency liquidity provision and policy accommodation [17] - The growth of central bank liabilities, such as currency in circulation and government accounts, complicates the return to pre-crisis balance sheet levels [14] Group 3: Communication and Transparency - Central banks are encouraged to improve communication regarding their actions and the rationale behind their decisions to enhance public understanding and trust [18][19] - Transparency in explaining the costs and benefits of competing actions is essential for accountability and credibility in monetary policy [19] - Adapting tools and tactics based on lessons learned from past experiences is crucial for effective central banking [20]
Global Markets Navigate Japan’s FX Concerns, Major M&A, and Geopolitical Shifts
Stock Market News· 2025-11-18 00:38
Corporate Moves: Acquisitions, Succession, and IPOs - Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) announced a definitive agreement to acquire Halda Therapeutics for $3.05 billion in cash, aiming to expand its oncology portfolio, particularly in treatments for solid tumors and prostate cancer [5] - Apple (AAPL) is reportedly intensifying preparations for CEO Tim Cook's succession, with John Ternus, Senior Vice President of Hardware Engineering, considered the likely successor [6] - The Pinkfong Company (403850.KQ), creator of "Baby Shark," saw its shares surge 55% above its IPO price on debut, pricing its IPO at 38,000 won per share and raising 76 billion won ($53 million) [7] Geopolitical and Economic Policy Developments - The UK has raised its bank deposit guarantee to £120,000 from £85,000, effective December 1, to keep pace with inflation and maintain public confidence in the banking system [8] - U.S. sanctions on Russian oil majors Rosneft and Lukoil are effectively reducing Russian oil revenues, pushing crude prices to multi-year lows and expected to negatively impact Russian oil export volumes [10]
Here's why the purpose of your personal loan matters
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-17 23:23
While personal loans can be used for a wide range of purposes, lenders typically ask about your intended use of the funds — and that information plays a bigger role than you might realize. Your reason for borrowing can impact not only your chances of approval but also your loan amount, interest rate, and repayment terms. Here's more on how the purpose of your loan can affect the borrowing process. Why lenders care about your personal loan’s purpose While you can use a personal loan for almost anything, ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-17 23:11
Hong Kong bankers and regulators are signaling growing concern over the city’s deepest real estate downturn since the Asian financial crisis https://t.co/HkOHha3RuI ...
We're adding 2 stocks to the Bullpen that can benefit from the market rotation
CNBC· 2025-11-17 20:29
Market Overview - Stocks are trading lower, continuing a recent struggle to find stability, with concerns about stretched valuations in the technology sector and debt-driven spending on data centers and AI impacting market performance [1] - Amazon is seeking to raise $15 billion through a bond sale, its first in three years, which will benefit large banks managing the sale, including Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley [1] Sector Analysis - The consumer staples sector is currently the worst-performing sector year to date, but may see a return of interest due to concerns about tech valuations and a slowing economy [1] - The household products group is favored over the food and beverage category due to the accelerating adoption of GLP-1s, which could introduce uncertainty in the food and beverage space [1] Company Insights - Kimberly-Clark announced the acquisition of Kenvue, valuing the consumer health company at approximately $49 billion, which initially led to a 14% drop in Kimberly-Clark's shares [1] - Concerns regarding the acquisition include the high price paid for Kenvue amid Tylenol and talc-related lawsuits, as well as the strategic fit of a toilet paper company entering healthcare [1] - The merger is expected to create a company with ten $1 billion brands and generate $2.4 billion in potential value through $1.9 billion in cost savings and $500 million in revenue synergies [1] - Kimberly-Clark is trading at less than 14 times 2026 earnings-per-share estimates, offering a 4.8% dividend yield [1] Additional Company Developments - Johnson & Johnson has seen a strong performance in 2025, with shares gaining about 38%, driven by its oncology portfolio, which is expected to grow from $21 billion in sales for 2024 to over $50 billion by 2030 [1] - The company announced the acquisition of Halda Therapeutics, a clinical-stage biotechnology firm, and is in the process of separating its orthopedics business to focus on high-growth segments [1] - Johnson & Johnson is trading for less than 20 times earnings, indicating a potentially attractive valuation [1]
The Man Known as 'Bond King' Says Private Credit Could Cause 'The Next Big Crisis'
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-17 19:54
Core Insights - The private credit market is facing scrutiny due to concerns over its opaque pricing and lending standards, with warnings from industry veterans about potential risks to financial stability [1][4][6] Market Overview - The U.S. private credit market has grown significantly, from $46 billion in 2000 to approximately $1 trillion in 2023, with projections of reaching about $3 trillion by early 2025 according to Morgan Stanley [3] - Over the past decade, private credit has delivered risk-adjusted returns that have outperformed the broader bond market [3] Industry Concerns - Financial insiders have raised alarms about private credit's opaque lending standards, illiquidity, and excessive leverage, especially in light of recent corporate bankruptcies [4][5] - JPMorgan Chase's CEO, Jamie Dimon, highlighted that private credit's risks could lead to a financial crisis, noting that the current market conditions resemble those preceding the subprime mortgage crisis [5][6] Risk Assessment - Despite concerns, JPMorgan estimates that private credit constitutes less than 10% of corporate debt, suggesting that its impact on the broader economy may be limited [5] - The banking system's direct exposure to private credit is considered small enough to prevent systemic risk from emerging in the event of market distress [5]
How AI can protect you from the next crypto scam | Debra Au | TEDxTinHau Women
TEDx Talks· 2025-11-17 18:00
Financial Crime Trends - A lonely man in Asia lost 3006 million Hong Kong dollars in a year-long cryptocurrency scam [1] - Research indicates that 90% of mature adults have shared personal information online [1] - Financial crime is evolving beyond money laundering and terrorist financing, now impacting individuals directly [1] - Digital fraud often starts small, such as with online shopping scams [1] Countermeasures and Solutions - Hong Kong government is formulating laws on cybercrime [1] - Interpol, across 61 countries, is conducting global operations to combat financial crime [1] - Banks and financial institutions in Hong Kong are required to use AI to detect financial crime [1] - The Hong Kong government provides a free online tool called "Scam Meter Plus" to check for blacklisted phone numbers and websites [1] - VPNs (Virtual Private Networks) can enhance online security by constantly changing the user's digital address [1] Individual Security Practices - Report any scam to the police [1] - Uninstall applications and delete the actual account [1] - Update login passwords regularly, at least every six months [1] - Use AI tools like ChatGPT to summarize the terms and conditions of privacy agreements [1]
澳门金融业多元发展提速 债券市场互联互通成效显著
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 13:29
Core Viewpoint - The Macau financial sector is experiencing significant growth and diversification, with an increase in the number of licensed financial institutions and advancements in the bond market, fund regulations, and financial infrastructure, which are expected to inject new momentum into the modern financial industry [1][2][3][4][5]. Group 1: Financial Institutions and Market Diversification - As of October 2025, the number of licensed financial institutions in Macau continues to rise, including financing leasing companies, investment fund management companies, and investment banks, leading to a more diversified financial business landscape [1]. - The bond market has seen a surge in issuance, with over 1,000 bonds issued or listed in Macau, amounting to more than 1 trillion MOP equivalent, and a significant increase in investor participation due to the establishment of direct connectivity with Hong Kong's debt settlement system [2]. Group 2: Fund Regulations and Wealth Management - The revised Investment Fund Law, effective from 2026, aims to align with international regulatory standards, enhance investor protection, and diversify investment tools, with three investment fund management companies already licensed in Macau [3]. - The establishment of the first public fund and two private funds indicates progress in the wealth management sector, with ongoing efforts to refine the regulatory framework to foster growth [3]. Group 3: Financial Infrastructure and Digital Initiatives - The upgrade of the instant payment settlement system for multiple currencies has improved transaction efficiency, while the "digital Macau dollar" project is advancing with core system development and small-scale testing [4]. - Macau's financial authority is actively enhancing its role as a financial platform between China and Portuguese-speaking countries, with various training and cooperation initiatives underway to strengthen bilateral financial regulatory collaboration [4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Industry experts anticipate that Macau's financial sector will continue to align with national strategies, optimize market conditions, and drive business innovation, contributing to the moderate diversification of the economy [5].
Ant International Adds UBS Digital Cash to Growing Range of Supported Deposit Tokens
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-17 13:17
Core Insights - Ant International is a significant early adopter of tokenized deposits, collaborating with various banks to implement blockchain payment solutions [1][2] - The company has integrated UBS Digital Cash into its payment toolkit, expanding its range of on-chain payment tools [1][6] - In 2024, over a third of Ant's transactions were processed on-chain through its blockchain-based treasury and settlement platform, Whale [2][6] Partnerships and Collaborations - Ant International has partnered with major banks like HSBC, Standard Chartered, and DBS to enhance its tokenized deposit capabilities [1][3][4] - The company was the first corporate user of HSBC's Tokenized Deposit Service, which went live in May 2024 [3] - A Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) was signed with DBS Bank to further develop tokenized deposit technology, potentially integrating with a new interoperability framework being developed with JPMorgan [4] Interoperability and Industry Initiatives - Interoperability is a key focus for Ant International, which is involved in complex global supply chains and maintains relationships with numerous banks [5] - The company contributed to a report under the Monetary Authority of Singapore's Project Guardian, advocating for a "shared ledger infrastructure" for tokenized liabilities [5] - The report endorsed blockchain networks as a means to streamline global payments, without proposing a single platform [7] UBS's Role in Tokenization - UBS has emerged as a leader in tokenization in Europe, processing various transactions during a 2024 pilot, including domestic Swiss payments and cross-border payments in multiple currencies [8]
One Fed Governor Sees Half-Point Cut in December: Our Top 7% and 8% Dividend Stock Picks
247Wallst· 2025-11-17 13:15
Core Viewpoint - The likelihood of a third federal rate cut in December has been questioned due to recent inflation data and other influencing factors, leading some analysts to suggest that the Federal Reserve may delay any cuts until the first meeting in 2026 [1] Group 1 - Recent inflation data has prompted a reevaluation of the Federal Reserve's potential actions regarding interest rates [1] - Some analysts on Wall Street are now advocating for the Federal Reserve to hold off on rate cuts in December [1] - The possibility of waiting until 2026 for any rate adjustments has been introduced as a consideration [1]