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武进不锈(603878):Q2业绩环比修复,火电核电用管维持高景气
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-28 05:56
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a current price of 5.59 yuan [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.121 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 26.82%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 75 million yuan, down 46.05% year-on-year. In Q2 2025, revenue was 638 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 20.38% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 32.25% [1]. - The sales volume of seamless pipes increased quarter-on-quarter, while welded pipe sales faced pressure due to a downturn in the petrochemical industry [2]. - The demand for fire and nuclear power pipes remains strong, with significant investments and new installations expected to sustain high demand [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's gross profit margin was 14.41%, a decrease of 2.19 percentage points year-on-year. In Q2 2025, the gross profit margin was 13.00%, down 2.01 percentage points year-on-year and 3.28 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The company forecasts net profits of 171 million yuan, 198 million yuan, and 230 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 18x, 16x, and 14x [4][5]. Market Outlook - The fire power investment completion amount increased by 51.96% year-on-year as of June 2025, with new installed capacity rising by 72.19% year-on-year from January to July 2025. This indicates a sustained high demand for fire boiler pipes [3]. - The company has successfully passed multiple overseas certifications, positioning its export business as a potential growth driver [3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively implementing a "three-pronged" development strategy to explore new application markets, including nuclear power and coal liquefaction, while enhancing its presence in international markets such as the Middle East and South America [4].
武进不锈(603878):2024年年报及2025年一季报点评:Q1业绩有所修复,火电锅炉维持高景气
Minsheng Securities· 2025-04-30 09:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a current price of 5.11 yuan [6]. Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 24.57% year-on-year in 2024, with total revenue of 2.652 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 126 million yuan, down 64.25% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 showed some recovery with a revenue of 483 million yuan, a decrease of 33.90% year-on-year, but a net profit of 30 million yuan, indicating a turnaround from losses [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 2.652 billion yuan, a decrease of 24.57% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 126 million yuan, down 64.25% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 483 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 33.90%, but a net profit of 30 million yuan, indicating a recovery from previous losses [1][5]. Sales and Margins - The sales volume for seamless and welded pipes in 2024 was 43,500 tons and 26,600 tons, respectively, showing declines of 15.07% and 24.02% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, the sales volume for seamless and welded pipes was 10,600 tons and 6,300 tons, respectively, with a total sales volume of 16,900 tons, reflecting a 4.83% increase quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The gross margin improved in Q1 2025, with the gross margin for seamless pipes increasing by 4.1% and for welded pipes decreasing by 1.1% compared to the previous quarter. The overall gross margin for 2024 was 15.16%, down 1.50 percentage points year-on-year, while in Q1 2025, it was 16.28%, down 2.06 percentage points year-on-year but up 5.37 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2]. Future Outlook - The company is focusing on maintaining high demand for thermal power boilers, with significant growth in revenue from electric power equipment and natural gas, which increased by 40.79% and 170.29% year-on-year, respectively. The company is also actively developing new application markets, including nuclear power and coal liquefaction, and expanding into international markets [3][4]. - The company has established itself as a qualified supplier for several major domestic and international companies, ensuring product quality through lean production practices [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to recover its profitability, with projected net profits of 172 million yuan, 192 million yuan, and 215 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are forecasted to be 17x, 15x, and 13x [4][5].