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滔搏(06110):2026上半财年销售仍然承压,股息率吸引,维持中性评级
BOCOM International· 2025-10-24 02:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for the company, with a target price of HKD 2.98, indicating a potential downside of 14.4% from the current price of HKD 3.48 [1][2][11]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing sales pressure in the first half of the 2026 fiscal year, with a revenue of RMB 12.3 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 5.8%. This decline is attributed to fluctuations in consumer demand for sports products and foot traffic in physical stores [6]. - Despite operational challenges, the company has managed to control gross margin and expense ratios effectively, with a gross margin of 41.0% and a net profit margin of 6.4% for the first half of the fiscal year [6]. - The management has set guidance for the full year, aiming for net profit to remain flat year-on-year, with expectations for improved net profit margins [6]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections show a decline from RMB 28,933 million in 2024 to RMB 25,856 million in 2026E, with a year-on-year growth rate of -6.6% in 2025 [5][13]. - Net profit is expected to recover slightly from RMB 1,285 million in 2025 to RMB 1,299 million in 2026E, with a net profit margin of 5.0% [5][14]. - The company has a dividend yield of 6.6% for 2026E, which is expected to provide some downside protection for the stock price [6]. Brand Performance and Strategy - The main brand's performance has shown resilience, with a decline of 4.8% compared to a 12.2% drop in other brands. The company is focusing on optimizing brand structure and enhancing online and offline channel management [6]. - The company plans to deepen its focus on running and outdoor segments, with new brand developments and the opening of the first ektos running store [6]. Store and Online Strategy - The company continues to adjust its store structure, with a net reduction of 332 direct stores to 4,688 as of August 2025, and a total sales area decrease of 14.1% [6]. - Online retail business has seen double-digit growth year-on-year, indicating a shift towards a more integrated retail model combining offline and online strategies [6].