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区域经济研究报告:新疆麦盖提:依托沙漠腹地资源,发掘产业延链潜力
China Post Securities· 2025-09-15 05:19
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report focuses on the economic and industrial development of Maigaiti County. The county is in a transitional stage from a resource - based to a comprehensive competitiveness - based economy. It has stable economic growth, with agriculture as the foundation, emerging strength in light industry, and promising prospects in cultural and tourism integration. However, it also faces challenges such as intense regional competition, underdeveloped logistics, and the need for improvement in emerging industries and policy support [1][2][3]. Summary by Catalog 1 Economic Basic Situation: Steady Growth in Aggregate and Great Potential for Structural Optimization - **Economic Growth**: In 2024, Maigaiti County's GDP reached 1.0016 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 16.67%. It ranked 7th in Kashgar Prefecture, showing a "double - stable" pattern of economic aggregate and growth rate. Over the past decade, the GDP has increased nearly 2.3 times, with significant growth in 2021 and 2024 [11][14]. - **Industrial Structure**: The industrial structure is characterized by "agriculture as the leading, service as the support, and industry as the supplement". In 2023, the added value of the primary industry was 4.617 billion yuan, accounting for 53.8%. The industrial sector grew rapidly, with the added value of large - scale industries increasing by 20.6%. The tertiary industry operated steadily, with outstanding performance in transportation, accommodation, and catering [19][24][25]. - **Investment and Consumption**: In 2023, the investment in the secondary industry decreased by 47.8%, mainly due to structural adjustment. The investment in the tertiary industry increased by 27.3%, driven by infrastructure and modern services. The social消费品 retail sales reached 582 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 19.1%, and the increase in residents' income promoted consumption [28][29][30]. - **Fiscal Operation**: In 2024, the local general public budget revenue was 3.56 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 20.27%. The fiscal self - sufficiency rate increased from 5.34% in 2019 to 9.02% in 2024. The "Three Guarantees" expenditure increased steadily, with a focus on people's livelihood [32][36][37]. - **Population Change**: The total population has been decreasing since 2019, with a sharp drop in 2023. In 2024, the decrease narrowed. The employment structure is changing, with a large number of rural laborers going out to work, but the development of cultural and tourism industries and characteristic agriculture is attracting some people to return and find local employment [39][43]. 2 Local Industry Analysis: Unique Desert Resources and the Search for Breakthroughs in Characteristic Industries - **Natural Resource Endowment**: Located at the south - west edge of the Taklimakan Desert, Maigaiti County has a unique "oasis - desert" composite pattern. The alluvial plain and double - river irrigation support agriculture, and the local climate is suitable for high - quality crops. The area is rich in biological resources and has potential for ecological and cultural tourism [45][46][48]. - **Industrial Characteristics Analysis**: - **Pillar Industries**: Agriculture is based on cotton and jujube, with continuous optimization of the grain - economic crop structure. Industry has high - growth large - scale industries, driven by textile and agricultural and sideline product processing. The energy sector combines photovoltaic power generation with desert control. - **Supplementary Industries**: The livestock industry expands the variety and improves the cold - chain processing. The cultural and tourism industry is driven by desert tourism and Dolan culture, with significant growth in 2024 [53][57][61]. - **Potential Industries**: The new energy downstream industry has great potential, especially in energy storage manufacturing and computing power usage scenarios [65]. - **Industrial Development Challenges**: - **Intra - regional Competition**: In the cotton and cultural and tourism industries, Maigaiti County faces competition from other counties in Kashgar Prefecture. Its participation in the regional industrial chain is limited, and it needs to build more competitive industrial features [66]. - **Competition in Xinjiang**: In the cotton industry, there is room for improvement in production efficiency, quality, and cost control. The jujube industry has a relatively complete chain but needs to enhance its brand influence. - **Transportation**: The county's external transportation mainly relies on roads, with long distances to major transportation hubs and being affected by sandstorms, which brings uncertainties to industrial transportation and tourism [71][72]. 3 Industrial Policy Analysis: Initial Success in Park Cultivation, but Policies Need to be More Intensive and Effective - **Investment Promotion Policies**: Maigaiti County has introduced 26 key industrial projects since 2024, with multiple preferential measures. However, compared with neighboring cities, it needs to expand its policy space, learn from the models of Shache and Jiashi [74][75]. - **Industrial Park Layout**: The county adheres to the "one - district, multiple - parks, and differentiated development" approach, with a relatively complete park development pattern. But compared with Shache and Jiashi, it needs to improve the integration of industrial parks and strengthen the logistics function [76][78][80]. - **Industrial Development Potential**: Maigaiti County has the potential for in - depth integration of the three industries. However, in traditional and emerging industries, it lags behind some neighboring counties and needs to catch up in key areas [82][84]. 4 Summary and Suggestions: Strengthen Advantages, Cultivate Emerging Industries, Fill in Short - Boards, and Optimize the Environment - **Advantages**: The county has a dual foundation in resources and industries, with high - quality and stable - scale agricultural products, agglomerating light industries, and unique cultural and tourism resources [87]. - **Short - Boards**: There are problems such as poor connection between agricultural product processing and logistics, underdeveloped emerging industries, insufficient park facilities, and a weak transportation system [87]. - **Opportunities**: Supported by national and regional policies, there is potential for regional cooperation, and the market demand for related products and services is increasing [88]. - **Suggestions**: - **Extend and Strengthen the Industrial Chain**: Focus on cotton and jujube industries, introduce deep - processing projects, and build a stable industrial cluster [88]. - **Accelerate the Layout of Emerging Industries**: Formulate special development plans, introduce leading enterprises, and promote the integration of new energy and computing power [89]. - **Optimize Park Functions and Supporting Facilities**: Clarify the leading industries of each park, build public service platforms, and strengthen cooperation with regional logistics hubs [90]. - **Improve the Transportation and Logistics System**: Build high - speed channels and cold - chain storage facilities, and promote the digitalization of logistics [90]. - **Promote the Upgrading of Cultural and Tourism Integration**: Create a high - recognition cultural and tourism brand, enrich tourism products, and attract social capital for infrastructure construction [90].