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Wall Street Analysts Believe Natural Gas Services (NGS) Could Rally 41.66%: Here's is How to Trade
ZACKS· 2025-08-14 14:56
Core Viewpoint - Natural Gas Services (NGS) shares have increased by 6.8% recently, with analysts suggesting a potential upside of 41.7% based on a mean price target of $36.25 [1][11]. Price Targets - The average price target for NGS ranges from a low of $32.00 to a high of $45.00, with a standard deviation of $5.97, indicating variability among analysts [2]. - The lowest estimate suggests a 25.1% increase, while the highest points to a 75.9% upside [2]. Analyst Sentiment - There is strong agreement among analysts regarding NGS's ability to report better earnings, which supports the expectation of an upside [4][11]. - Over the past 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has risen by 5.7%, with no negative revisions [12]. Zacks Rank - NGS holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates [13]. Conclusion on Price Movement - While consensus price targets may not be entirely reliable, the direction indicated by these targets appears to be a useful guide for potential price movement [14].
Natural Gas Services (NGS) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-12 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q2 2025 was $41.4 million, an increase of 8% from $38.5 million in the prior year quarter [18] - Adjusted EBITDA reached a record $19.7 million, up $3.2 million year over year [19] - Net income was $5.2 million, or $0.41 per diluted share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of $900,000 [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Rental revenue increased by 13% year over year to $39.6 million [18] - Rented horsepower ended the quarter at approximately 499,000, up from roughly 455,000 in the prior year quarter, marking a 10% increase [20] - Fleet utilization improved to 83.6%, an increase of 130 basis points year over year [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Approximately 80% of total rented horsepower is on term contracts, up from about 67% a year ago [20] - Demand for natural gas is expected to grow by more than 30% over the next five years, driven by LNG exports and power generation [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing shareholder returns through a quarterly dividend and a share repurchase program [5][6] - There is a strong emphasis on organic growth while remaining open to M&A opportunities [6] - The company aims to optimize fleet assets and improve operational efficiency through technology upgrades [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in raising the 2025 adjusted EBITDA outlook to $76 million to $80 million, citing strong performance and customer commentary [27] - Despite ongoing market volatility, the company remains optimistic about future growth driven by stable production and increasing demand for compression [9][10] - Management noted that labor challenges, particularly in the Permian Basin, are a key concern [64] Other Important Information - The Midland fabrication facility is now classified as held for sale, indicating a focus on monetizing real estate assets [22] - The company is experiencing a transition in leadership with the President and COO stepping down due to personal reasons [15][16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide insight on the opportunity pipeline for 2026? - Management indicated that most new unit opportunities are focused on 2026, with significant activity in the Permian Basin [34] Question: What is the outlook for rental gross margins? - Management believes that rental gross margins are sustainable, having remained in the low 60s over the past year [38] Question: How is the company taking market share? - Management noted that the growth in their capital expenditures compared to larger competitors indicates market share gains [43] Question: What is the current mix of inquiries from new versus existing customers? - The majority of inquiries are from existing customers, but there are new customer opportunities arising from industry consolidation [60] Question: What are the greatest stress points for the company? - Management identified labor challenges and macroeconomic factors as key stress points, emphasizing the importance of focusing on controllable factors [64]
Wall Street Analysts Predict a 45.29% Upside in Natural Gas Services (NGS): Here's What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-05-20 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Natural Gas Services (NGS) shares have increased by 38% recently, with analysts suggesting a potential upside of 45.3% based on a mean price target of $36.25 [1] Price Targets and Analyst Estimates - The mean estimate consists of four short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $5.97, indicating variability among analysts [2] - The lowest price target of $32 suggests a 28.3% increase, while the highest target of $45 indicates an 80.4% potential surge [2] - A low standard deviation signifies a high degree of agreement among analysts regarding price movement direction [9] Earnings Estimates and Market Sentiment - Analysts are optimistic about NGS's earnings prospects, as indicated by a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions [4][11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has risen by 18.6% over the past month, with no negative revisions [12] - NGS holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates [13]
How Much Upside is Left in Kodiak Gas (KGS)? Wall Street Analysts Think 28.02%
ZACKS· 2025-05-06 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Kodiak Gas Services (KGS) has seen an 8.8% increase in share price over the past four weeks, closing at $34.16, with a mean price target of $43.73 indicating a potential upside of 28% [1] Price Targets - The average of 11 short-term price targets ranges from a low of $35 to a high of $51, with a standard deviation of $4.78, suggesting a potential increase of 2.5% to 49.3% from the current price [2] - A low standard deviation indicates a greater agreement among analysts regarding price movement, which can be a useful metric for investors [2][9] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts are optimistic about KGS's earnings prospects, as indicated by upward revisions in earnings estimates, which have shown a strong correlation with stock price movements [4][11] - Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has increased by 0.3%, with one estimate moving higher and no negative revisions [12] Zacks Rank - KGS holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate factors, indicating strong potential for upside [13]