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Wall Street Analysts Believe Natural Gas Services (NGS) Could Rally 41.66%: Here's is How to Trade
ZACKS· 2025-08-14 14:56
Core Viewpoint - Natural Gas Services (NGS) shares have increased by 6.8% recently, with analysts suggesting a potential upside of 41.7% based on a mean price target of $36.25 [1][11]. Price Targets - The average price target for NGS ranges from a low of $32.00 to a high of $45.00, with a standard deviation of $5.97, indicating variability among analysts [2]. - The lowest estimate suggests a 25.1% increase, while the highest points to a 75.9% upside [2]. Analyst Sentiment - There is strong agreement among analysts regarding NGS's ability to report better earnings, which supports the expectation of an upside [4][11]. - Over the past 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has risen by 5.7%, with no negative revisions [12]. Zacks Rank - NGS holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates [13]. Conclusion on Price Movement - While consensus price targets may not be entirely reliable, the direction indicated by these targets appears to be a useful guide for potential price movement [14].
New Jersey Resources(NJR) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-05 15:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, the company reported an EPS of $0.06 per share compared to a net financial loss of $0.09 per share in the previous year, marking a significant turnaround [20] - Year-to-date NFE reached $313.4 million or $3.13 per share, an increase of nearly 55% year-over-year, driven by higher utility margins and improved performance across various segments [20][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - New Jersey Natural Gas remains the strongest contributor to NFEPS, benefiting from a recent rate case settlement and customer growth [8] - Clean Energy Ventures (CED) is expected to contribute over 20% of NFEPS this year, supported by high-performing operating assets and the monetization of the residential solar portfolio [8] - The Save Green program saw a capital projection increase of over 30%, with expected investments rising to $90 million to $95 million, driven by growing adoption of efficient HVAC systems [10][11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company serves approximately 588,000 customers, with over 90% being residential, primarily in economically vibrant counties experiencing solid population growth [9] - The storage and transportation segment is positioned to serve growing energy demand, with favorable market conditions for storage [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company raised the lower end of its fiscal 2025 NFEPS guidance range to $3.20 to $3.30 per share, reflecting strong operating performance and greater visibility into full-year results [6][7] - The capital plan for fiscal 2025 and 2026 ranges from $1.3 billion to $1.6 billion, aligning with a long-term NFEPS growth target of 7% to 9% [21] - The company emphasizes a disciplined capital deployment strategy focused on utility infrastructure, clean energy investments, and optimizing storage and transportation capabilities [21][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate changing environments and allocate capital effectively to meet evolving customer needs [25][26] - The company is optimistic about the resolution of the Adelphia Gateway rate case and expects to file an offer of settlement with FERC soon [17][32] Other Important Information - The company maintains a strong balance sheet with $825 million of credit capacity across its facilities, supporting its capital plan and working capital needs [24] - The Save Green program is highlighted as a key strategic advantage, providing benefits to customers while supporting decarbonization goals [11][61] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of Adelphia rate case settlement in 2026 - Management indicated that details are still under negotiation and will be shared once finalized [31][32] Question: CEV's 131 megawatt target relative to initial expectations - Management clarified that the target reflects projects nearing construction and expressed confidence in achieving capital targets despite market dynamics [33][34] Question: Timeline for Leaf River expansion decision - Management expects to narrow down the expansion details in the coming months, with a focus on customer needs and regulatory approvals [40][52] Question: Strength of Storage and Transportation segment - Management attributed strong performance to a robust natural gas market and increased demand for infrastructure [41] Question: Higher CapEx in Save Green program - Management noted strong demand for energy-efficient systems and effective program execution as key drivers for increased CapEx [60] Question: Future dividend considerations - Management stated that dividend increases will align with historical growth rates and past performance [54] Question: Interest in gas infrastructure growth projects - Management confirmed ongoing investments in reliability and infrastructure to support customer growth [64]
New Jersey Resources(NJR) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-06 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q2 2025, the company reported an NFEPS of $1.78 per share, an increase from $1.41 per share in the previous year, reflecting higher NFE at New Jersey Natural Gas due to increased utility gross margin from a recent base rate case settlement [21] - The fiscal 2025 NFEPS guidance was raised by $0.10 to a range of $3.15 to $3.3 per share, exceeding the long-term growth target of 7% to 9% [10][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - New Jersey Natural Gas continues to show consistent customer growth, driven by new construction, system expansions, and steady conversions, with $254 million invested this year, 46% of which provides near real-time returns [14][16] - Clean Energy Ventures added 31 megawatts of solar capacity this fiscal year and has a project pipeline exceeding one gigawatt, with 60 megawatts currently under construction [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The storage and transportation segment reported improved performance, particularly at Leaf River, which is undergoing a capacity recovery project [21][19] - The company is exploring the development of a fourth cavern at Leaf River, with encouraging interest from a recent nonbinding open season [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasizes disciplined capital deployment, operational excellence, and strategic innovation across all business segments to ensure long-term sustainable growth [9][10] - The focus remains on affordability and reliability, with ongoing investments in utility infrastructure and clean energy initiatives [9][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's positioning against macroeconomic factors, particularly tariffs, noting that most gas supply comes from domestic sources, minimizing exposure [26][28] - The company is well-prepared for potential market dislocations, with a strong balance sheet and liquidity, and does not rely on equity issuances to fund its capital plan [28][29] Other Important Information - The company plans capital expenditures between $1.3 billion and $1.6 billion for fiscal 2025 and 2026, aligning with long-term growth targets [22][23] - The adjusted funds from operations to adjusted debt ratio is projected to be between 19% and 21% for fiscal 2025, maintaining a strong investment-grade credit rating [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Timing and capital requirements for Leaf River expansion - Management indicated that the total capital costs for the Leaf River expansion are estimated between $175 million and $200 million, with no finite timeline set for advancing the project [33] Question: Cost exposure to tariffs for Clean Energy Ventures - Management acknowledged the fluid situation regarding tariffs but emphasized that existing contractual protections should mitigate risks [36][38] Question: Expected economics of Leaf River compared to existing caverns - Management stated that the decision to build would depend on securing appropriate returns and contracts, with a focus on ensuring safety factors in the investment [46] Question: Regulatory environment and affordability initiatives - Management expressed confidence in the regulatory landscape following the completion of a recent rate case, emphasizing ongoing efforts to maintain affordability for customers [49][51] Question: Customer growth fundamentals - Management highlighted that customer growth is driven by a predominantly residential service territory with attractive demographics, and ongoing energy efficiency programs are helping to save customers money [60][61]