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未来预测的“水晶球”:QYResearch的市场预测模型与假设检验
QYResearch· 2026-02-02 06:35
QYResearch成立于2007年,总部位于美国洛杉矶和中国北京,专注为用户提供专业的行业研究报告、可行性研究、产业链分析调研、IPO咨询、市场占有 率调研、定制调查、商业计划书等服务。 最后, QYResearch用最实用的呈现方式"三张主表+三类图":主表分别是销量、销售额、价格,并保证三者逻辑一致,任何细分预测也必须满足"分项合计 =总量、区域合计=全球、销量×均价=收入"的三重约束,避免"局部正确、整体失真";图形来说,用增长率曲线对关键事件说明因果,用扇形图给出份额占 比,用SWOT图进行优劣势分析与风险提示。与此同时,如财报口径对不上且无法解释、增长率曲线与事件时间轴不匹配、忽略互斥替代、只给全球总数不 拆结构等情况出现出现,就会触发回到假设层重做校核。我们坚持做"水晶球"预测,不只是"结论",而是一套可复用的方法与可持续维护的证据链。 QYResearch 分析师 袁志丹 QYResearch( 北京恒州博智国际信息咨询有限公司 ) 成立于 2007 年,总部位于美国洛杉矶和中国北京。经过连续 19 年的沉淀, QYResearch 服务领域行业涵盖各高科技行业产业链细分市场,如电子半导体产业 ...
以多元团队驱动全球洞察,构建无国界的商业智慧生态
QYResearch· 2025-12-26 03:20
Core Viewpoint - QYResearch emphasizes the importance of a diverse and inclusive team structure as a competitive advantage in the global consulting industry, enabling the company to provide precise insights to clients across over 150 countries and regions [1][8]. Group 1: Diverse Team Composition - QYResearch is committed to building a diverse team, recognizing that employees from various cultural, gender, and professional backgrounds contribute to richer perspectives and creativity [3]. - The company has a female employee ratio of 55%, with over 40% of management positions held by women, significantly exceeding the industry average of approximately 28% [3]. - The team includes a mix of "Generation Z" digital natives (ages 25-35) and senior industry researchers (50+ years), fostering collaboration between experience and innovation [3]. Group 2: Inclusive Corporate Culture - QYResearch promotes an inclusive culture where every employee can find their place and achieve personal career development, emphasizing respect and recognition in a diverse environment [5]. - The company has implemented various inclusive policies, such as flexible working hours, remote work options, and diverse career development paths, supporting employees in balancing work and life [5]. Group 3: International Perspective - QYResearch has established a strong global business network, with regional centers in countries like the USA, Canada, Germany, Portugal, Japan, South Korea, and India, employing a mix of local talent (60%) and expatriate experts (40%) [7]. - The company regularly organizes cross-national team collaboration projects to enhance communication and cooperation among team members from different regions [7]. Group 4: Defining the Future of Research Institutions - QYResearch asserts that a diverse team is not merely a "politically correct" label but a "superconductor" for business insights, enabling the company to provide accurate market analysis and strategic advice in a complex market environment [8]. - The company fosters an open, respectful, and supportive work environment, allowing employees to leverage their strengths and achieve personal career goals [8]. Group 5: Future Commitment - QYResearch aims to continue promoting diversity and inclusion while expanding its international business to provide exceptional market research for global clients [9].
揭秘QYResearch的“数据炼金术”:从海量信息到黄金洞察
QYResearch· 2025-11-26 01:49
Core Viewpoint - QYResearch aims to transform chaotic market information into actionable insights through a systematic research methodology that emphasizes data verification and iterative analysis [3][5]. Group 1: Research Methodology - The research methodology of QYResearch integrates both top-down and bottom-up approaches to ensure comprehensive market understanding and avoid biases [7][8]. - The top-down approach assesses market capacity and growth constraints by analyzing macroeconomic trends, industry policies, and competitive strategies [7]. - The bottom-up approach focuses on micro-level data from key companies and market segments to validate macro-level findings, ensuring that conclusions are grounded in reality [8]. Group 2: Data Sources - QYResearch combines secondary data (such as company reports and industry statistics) with primary data (gathered through structured interviews) to create a robust evidence system [9][10]. - Secondary data provides a broad market overview but may have limitations such as delays and discrepancies, which QYResearch addresses by refining and validating this data [9]. - Primary data is crucial for capturing real-time market dynamics and trends, and QYResearch employs cross-validation principles to ensure the reliability of this information [10]. Group 3: Analytical Models - QYResearch develops predictive models and scenario analyses based on historical data and industry logic to forecast market changes over the next 3-5 years [11][12]. - The company emphasizes that models are tools for understanding potential market scenarios rather than definitive answers, requiring continuous questioning of underlying assumptions [12]. - Insights derived from data analysis help identify industry turning points and opportunities, ensuring that reports are not just data compilations but also provide strategic value [12][13]. Group 4: Commitment to Clients - QYResearch is dedicated to providing clients with a solid research foundation that aids in critical decision-making regarding market opportunities and risks [14][15]. - The company plans to enhance its research network, optimize data processing tools, and improve cross-industry analytical capabilities to better serve client needs [14]. - Continuous adaptation to client demands in research topics and report structures is a priority for QYResearch, ensuring that the company remains responsive to market changes [14].
售价7600元报告出现“煤炭来自击杀骷髅”?网站回应
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-05-16 08:31
Core Viewpoint - A report on the coal industry published by Guanzhi Hainai Information Network contained erroneous information, mistakenly stating that coal comes from "killing skeletons" in the game Minecraft, which raised public concern. The website acknowledged this as a mistake and clarified that the report was not generated by AI [1][5][7]. Group 1: Report Details - The report titled "2023-2028 China Coal Industry Competitive Landscape and Development Trend Forecast" was originally priced at 10,800 RMB, with a discounted price of 7,600 RMB, and the English version priced at 4,500 USD [5]. - The erroneous content was removed from the report's summary on the Guanzhi Hainai Information Network website shortly after the issue was raised [5]. - The report was uploaded in September 2022, and the website's customer service stated that all reports are written by a team led by experienced researchers with over 20 years in the field, although some text may have utilized AI [7]. Group 2: Company Background - Guanzhi Hainai Information Network is managed by Shanghai Guanzhi Hainai Information Consulting Co., Ltd., which aims to become a leading industry consulting company in China, providing market research and competitive intelligence across various sectors [9]. - The company was established in September 2021 with a registered capital of 1 million RMB, and according to its 2023 report, it has no insured employees [9].