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谁能想到,第一个倒下的不是乌克兰,而是百年中立的瑞士?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 23:07
Core Insights - The prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict has unexpectedly destabilized Switzerland, a country known for its "permanent neutrality" and financial security [2][11]. Financial Sector Impact - Over the past three years, the total private wealth in the Swiss banking system has evaporated by an astonishing $480 billion, equivalent to half of Switzerland's GDP [5]. - The Swiss National Bank was forced to announce its sixth interest rate cut in August 2025, reducing rates by 25 basis points, indicating a significant financial strain [5]. Trade and Industry Challenges - The U.S. imposed punitive tariffs of up to 39% on Swiss key industries, including watches, machinery, and chocolate, which is more than double the tariffs on the EU [7]. - In 2023, Swiss watch exports reached 20 billion Swiss francs, but the new tariffs led to a sharp decline in orders, resulting in layoffs in factories [7]. Reputation and Trust Erosion - UBS faced severe repercussions in 2025 after being accused of aiding Russian oligarchs in laundering $1.2 billion, leading to a rapid transfer of $120 billion in assets from its private banking division [9]. - The signing of a financial data exchange agreement with the U.S. in June 2024 effectively dismantled Switzerland's century-old banking secrecy, which had attracted global wealth [13]. Political and Strategic Missteps - Switzerland's decision to abandon its 207-year-old neutrality by freezing $8.23 billion in Russian assets in alignment with the EU marked a significant shift in its international stance [11]. - The Swiss government underestimated the political ramifications of aligning with Western powers during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, leading to a rapid collapse of trust that took over two centuries to build [15][21]. Broader Implications - The situation in Switzerland reflects a broader philosophical question regarding the balance between principles and interests, with the country prioritizing short-term political alignment over long-term core values [29]. - The decline of Switzerland's neutrality has prompted other traditionally neutral countries to reconsider their foreign policies, indicating a shift in the global political landscape [21][34].