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公用事业行业研究:板块低配程度有所收窄,清洁能源占比明显回升
Changjiang Securities· 2025-07-27 14:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility sector is "Positive" and is maintained [11] Core Insights - The heavy stockholding ratio of public funds in the utility sector increased to 1.08% in Q2 2025, up by 0.13 percentage points from the previous quarter, indicating a recovery in sector allocation [2][6] - The allocation percentage is at the 41.9th percentile historically, while the industry benchmark allocation is 2.72%, resulting in an underweight of -1.64% [2][6] - In the electricity sector, the holding ratios for thermal, hydropower, nuclear, and renewable energy generation are 33.18%, 52.73%, 3.54%, and 10.43% respectively, with changes of -7.65 percentage points, +5.62 percentage points, +0.26 percentage points, and +1.72 percentage points [2][6] Summary by Sections Thermal Power - The thermal power sector continues to see a decline in holdings, with major companies like Huadian International and Zhejiang Energy facing reductions, while others like Guodian Power and Datang Power have seen marginal increases due to their relatively low valuations [6][26] - The overall decline is attributed to several factors, including the timing of dividend payouts and a shift in market preferences towards high-growth sectors [26][27] Hydropower - Despite less rainfall nationwide, core hydropower assets have shown stable growth due to superior dispatch capabilities [7][37] - The valuation of hydropower has become attractive, with significant increases in holdings for companies like Yangtze Power and Guotou Power, reflecting market preference for core assets [7][37] Renewable Energy - The renewable energy sector has seen a notable recovery in holdings, driven by improved market sentiment and attractive valuations after a prolonged adjustment period [8][44] - The implementation of new regulations has alleviated concerns regarding long-term pricing and returns, signaling the start of a recovery cycle for the sector [8][44] Nuclear Power - The nuclear power sector's holdings increased to 3.54%, reflecting a recovery as previous pessimistic expectations have been fully priced in [9][44] - The long-term value of nuclear power remains solid despite short-term price fluctuations [9][44]