Group 1 - The company has a target of 6% to 8% organic growth, which is a through-cycle goal, but has been below this range for the past couple of years due to various reasons [1] - Approximately 40% of the company's portfolio is experiencing double-digit growth, which is expected to contribute consistently to the overall growth target [1] - The commercial aftermarket segment is projected to achieve its sixth consecutive year of double-digit growth, indicating strong performance in this area [1] Group 2 - The company anticipates sustained double-digit growth in both the aftermarket and data center segments [2] - For the current year, the company expects to end with around 1% growth, primarily impacted by a decline in the RLC business in the Americas, which is down by high single digits [2] - The RLC business represents a significant portion of approximately $6 billion, contributing to the headwind affecting overall growth [2]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2025, reported sales were $4.8 billion, adjusted operating profit was $455 million, and adjusted EPS was $0.34, reflecting a year-over-year decline largely due to lower volumes in higher-margin CSA residential and light commercial businesses [15][16] - Total company organic sales were down about 1% for the full year, with a 9% decline in organic growth for Q4, partially offset by a 3% tailwind from foreign currency translation [15][16] - Free cash flow for Q4 was approximately $900 million, with full-year free cash flow at about $2.1 billion, aligning with expectations [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - CSA segment had a challenging quarter with organic sales down 17%, while commercial sales were up 12%, but this was offset by a nearly 40% decline in residential sales [17] - The CSE segment saw organic sales down 2%, with commercial up mid-single digits, but residential and light commercial experienced mid-single-digit declines [18] - The transportation segment achieved 10% organic sales growth, driven by strong container growth, while global truck and trailer remained flat [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In China, overall sales were down about 20%, with residential and light commercial down approximately 30%, while commercial in China was down mid-single digits [19] - The residential heating market in Germany, Carrier's largest market, continues to face challenges, with expectations of a decline in overall industry units [18][46] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on investing in high-return opportunities, maintaining a strong balance sheet, and returning cash to shareholders, with $3.7 billion distributed to shareholders through buybacks and dividends [4] - Carrier aims to outgrow the commercial HVAC market, with expectations of double-digit revenue growth in 2026, including a 50% increase in data center sales [6][22] - The company is also enhancing its product offerings, particularly in the data center and aftermarket segments, to drive future growth [5][6] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the short cycle residential and light commercial market softened more than expected in the second half of 2025, but they are positioned for stronger growth when these markets recover [3][14] - The outlook for 2026 includes expectations of flat to low mid-single-digit organic growth, with continued double-digit growth in commercial and aftermarket segments [22][24] - Management emphasized the importance of operational excellence and readiness for potential demand increases as channel inventories are at low levels [101][102] Other Important Information - The company expects to repurchase about $1.5 billion in shares and anticipates adjusted EPS of approximately $2.80, reflecting high single-digit growth compared to 2025 [24][25] - The company has implemented cost actions expected to deliver over $100 million in savings in 2026, which will help mitigate the impact of unfavorable business mix and inflation [4][90] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the expected margins in CSA for Q1? - Expected margins in CSA for Q1 are close to about 15%, with a slight improvement from Q4 due to higher sales and a lower effective tax rate [31][32] Question: What is the full-year guidance for the CSA residential business? - The company expects industry units to be down 10%-15%, with their sales down high single digits year-over-year, benefiting from low single-digit pricing realization [40][43] Question: How are channel inventories in CSA residential? - Channel inventories are down about 32% year-over-year, aligning with targeted levels [54] Question: What are the implications of recent comments from NVIDIA regarding chiller demand? - The company is working closely with NVIDIA on cooling requirements, indicating a need for both liquid and traditional cooling solutions [105] Question: How does the company plan to manage operational costs moving forward? - The company has taken significant cost-cutting measures and is leveraging AI to improve productivity while managing costs [120][121]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Reported sales for Q3 were $5.6 billion, with adjusted operating profit at $823 million and adjusted EPS at $0.67, reflecting a year-over-year decline primarily due to lower volumes in the CSA residential business [16][17] - Total company organic growth was down 4%, with adjusted operating profit down 21% and adjusted EPS down 13% [16][17] - Free cash flow was approximately $225 million, impacted by lower operating profit and higher working capital levels due to a sudden reduction in sales [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Organic sales in the CSA segment declined 8%, with residential sales down 30% driven by a 40% decline in volume, while commercial sales increased by 30% [17] - The CSE segment saw residential and light commercial sales down low single digits, while commercial sales declined mid-single digits [18] - The CSAME segment experienced a 2% decline in organic sales, with strong growth in India and the Middle East offset by weakness in China [18] - CSD organic sales were up 6%, led by strong growth in container sales, which increased by 100% [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Europe, residential heat pump sales were up about 15%, with Germany seeing a 45% increase [9] - The overall market for heating units in Germany is at 15-year lows, indicating potential for recovery [10] - The company expects field inventory levels to decrease by 30% year-over-year, reaching the lowest levels since 2018 [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three vectors of growth: products, aftermarket, and systems, with significant progress reported in each area [5] - A new $5 billion share repurchase authorization was approved, reflecting confidence in the company's strategy and execution [5] - The company aims to maintain a balanced portfolio with leading positions in targeted geographies and verticals, while controlling costs aggressively [14][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged challenges in the North American residential market, projecting a $500 million sales challenge and a 20%-25% adjusted EPS headwind [4] - The company expects continued strong performance in commercial HVAC and aftermarket businesses, which together constitute nearly 45% of sales [14] - For 2026, management anticipates a low single-digit organic growth assumption, with a focus on cost actions and maintaining a clean slate in inventory levels [23] Other Important Information - The company is taking aggressive cost actions, including the elimination of about 3,000 indirect positions to right-size for demand [5] - Connectivity and digital differentiation are foundational to the company's strategy, with significant growth in connected chillers and digital platform subscriptions [6] Q&A Session Summary Question: Inventory levels and sell-through dynamics - Management indicated that consolidated inventories are up about $500 million, primarily due to a sudden decline in residential volume and purposeful increases for components replacement [26][28] - They expect inventory levels to start reducing and aim for a clean slate at the beginning of the next year [29][30] Question: Repair versus replace dynamics - Management noted that while parts sales are up, there is a trend of consumers opting for repairs over replacements, although quantifying this is challenging [31] Question: Pricing dynamics for 2026 - Management plans to announce a mid-single digit price increase for 2026, expecting to yield low single-digit results [37] Question: Structural cost reductions - Management confirmed that the focus is on structural cost reductions, not just short-term cuts, with a goal to maintain efficiency and avoid adding back eliminated positions [39] Question: Outlook for CSA residential business - Management expects CSA residential sales to be down high single digits, with a focus on managing inventory levels and anticipating a difficult compare in early 2026 [20][22] Question: Data center backlog and growth - Management confirmed a target of about $1 billion in revenue from the data center segment for the year, with a strong backlog expected to support growth into 2026 [66][70]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported sales of $6.1 billion with 6% organic sales growth, benefiting from a foreign currency translation tailwind [18][19] - Adjusted operating profit for Q2 was $1.2 billion, a 10% increase year-over-year, with adjusted EPS rising 26% to $0.92 [19][20] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $568 million, stronger than expected, contributing to a total of approximately $1 billion in the first half [20][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The CSA segment achieved organic sales growth of 14%, with commercial sales excluding Nuresco up 45% [21] - The CSE segment saw flat organic sales growth, with residential and light commercial sales remaining about the same [22] - The CS Asia Pacific segment experienced a 4% decline in organic sales, primarily due to weakness in residential China [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total company organic orders were down high teens, with North America residential orders down about 60% compared to a year ago [27] - The Americas had strong performance, particularly in commercial HVAC, with significant growth in India, Japan, and the Middle East [5][24] - The European market showed mixed results, with residential sales in Germany down but heat pump unit sales up over 50% [14][15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims for sustained organic growth of 6% to 8% by exceeding customer expectations through differentiated products and unique system solutions [6] - Focus on expanding the data center business, with expectations to double revenues to $1 billion this year [7] - The integration of RLC and commercial HVAC in Europe is expected to create sales and cost opportunities, leveraging each other's strengths [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving close to 20% adjusted EPS growth this year despite unforeseen headwinds [17] - The company anticipates a strong second half of the year, supported by a robust backlog in commercial orders [27][30] - Management noted that the residential market in North America is expected to face challenges, with volume down more than initially anticipated [42][44] Other Important Information - The company is on track for $3 billion in share buybacks this year [6][30] - Adjusted operating margins expanded by 130 basis points to 19.1%, driven by strong organic growth and productivity [19][12] - The company expects to maintain free cash flow between $2.4 billion and $2.6 billion, reflecting roughly 100% conversion [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on Europe and margin guidance - Management acknowledged mixed performance in Europe, with stronger results outside Germany and ongoing efforts to capture cost synergies [33][35] Question: Price capture beyond tariffs - The company indicated that total price capture was about two points for both the quarter and the full year, excluding mix benefits [38] Question: U.S. Residential and light commercial market dynamics - Management noted that volume in the second half is expected to decline by 20% to 25%, with a mix in price of 10% to 15% [42][44] Question: Transportation market outlook - Management highlighted a return to growth in North America truck and trailer, with expectations for continued recovery in the second half [128] Question: Update on services and aftermarket performance - Services were up 13% in the quarter, with expectations for continued double-digit growth [120] Question: Canister issue resolution - Management confirmed that the canister issue is no longer a problem, with proactive measures taken to ensure supply [74] Question: Non-data center business performance - Non-data center activity was up 20% in the quarter, with strong growth in applied business and service sectors [77]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported sales of $5.2 billion with 2% organic sales growth, including about 2 points from price increases [15][16] - Adjusted EPS was $0.65, up 27% year over year, driven by strong productivity performance [17][18] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $420 million, stronger than expected, driven by higher net income and lower capital expenditures [18][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Climate Solutions Americas (CSA) segment had organic sales growth of 9%, with residential and commercial sales up around 20% each [19][20] - Climate Solutions Europe (CSE) saw organic sales down 7%, with mid-single-digit growth in commercial offset by a decline in residential light commercial [21] - Climate Solutions Asia, Middle East, and Africa (CS AME) experienced a 6% decline in organic sales, primarily due to weakness in residential China [23] - Transportation segment's organic sales were up 2%, driven by a 20% increase in container sales [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total company backlog was up about 10% year over year and 15% sequentially [4] - Organic orders momentum continued, with high single-digit growth across most segments except CS AME, where orders were down [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on driving sustained growth through differentiated products, aftermarket services, and systems [5][6] - A new partnership with Google was announced to enhance grid resilience and support smarter energy management [8] - The company is committed to mitigating tariff exposure through supply chain and productivity actions, with a balance of $300 million via price increases [12][13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving mid-single-digit organic sales growth for the full year, with adjusted EPS guidance increased to $3 to $3.1 [13][28] - The macroeconomic environment remains uncertain, but the company is focused on customer needs and investing in differentiation [13][28] Other Important Information - The company is on track to achieve over $200 million in cost synergies by the end of next year [10] - The new German coalition government supports heat pump subsidies and infrastructure investments, which is expected to boost demand [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Confirmation of Q2 guidance and EPS expectations - Management confirmed expectations of mid-single-digit organic growth and sales of about $6 billion for Q2, with adjusted EPS growth close to 20% [30][31] Question: Insights on the Americas segment performance - The residential side is expected to see high single-digit to low double-digit growth, while light commercial is projected to decline by about 10% for the full year [38][40] Question: Clarification on tariffs and pricing impact - The company has effectively mitigated most tariff impacts, with $300 million remaining to be offset through pricing [35][114] Question: Update on Viasman and margin expectations - Management expects Viasman to remain flat for the year, with margin improvement anticipated in the low teens [55][59] Question: Dynamics of free cash flow in the quarter - Free cash flow was stronger than typical for Q1, driven by lower working capital use [104][105] Question: Service business growth and initiatives - The service business is expected to continue double-digit growth, with initiatives to harmonize operations globally [106][110]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported sales of $5.2 billion with 2% organic sales growth, including about 2 points from price increases [16][17] - Adjusted EPS was $0.65, up 27% year over year, driven by strong productivity performance [18] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $420 million, stronger than expected due to higher net income and lower capital expenditures [18][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Climate Solutions Americas (CSA) segment had organic sales growth of 9%, with residential and commercial sales up around 20% each [19][20] - The Climate Solutions Europe (CSE) segment saw organic sales down 7%, with mid single-digit growth in commercial offset by a 10% decline in residential light commercial [21] - The Climate Solutions Asia, Middle East, and Africa (CS AME) segment experienced a 6% decline in organic sales, primarily due to weakness in residential China [23] - The Commercial Systems Transportation (CST) segment had organic sales up 2%, driven by a 20% increase in container sales [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total company backlog was up about 10% year over year and 15% sequentially [6] - Organic orders momentum continued with high single-digit growth across most segments, except for CS AME [25] - In the Americas, organic sales growth is expected to pick up in the second quarter, with mid-teens growth anticipated [33] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on driving sustained growth through differentiated products, aftermarket services, and systems integration [7][8] - A new partnership with Google aims to enhance grid resilience and support smarter energy management [10] - The company is committed to mitigating tariff exposure through supply chain and productivity actions, with a focus on maintaining competitive pricing [13][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving mid-single-digit organic sales growth for the full year, with strong margin expansion and close to 20% adjusted EPS growth anticipated [28] - The macroeconomic environment remains uncertain, but the company is focused on customer needs and investing in differentiation [15][14] - Management noted that the new German coalition government supports climate goals, which is expected to drive demand for heat pumps [12] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $1.3 billion worth of shares in the quarter and plans to target $3 billion in share repurchases for 2025 [19] - Adjusted operating profit increased by 10% compared to last year, driven by strong productivity and pricing [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Confirmation of Q2 guidance and EPS - Management confirmed expectations of mid-single-digit organic growth and approximately $6 billion in sales for Q2, with adjusted EPS growth close to 20% [30][31] Question: Insights on the Americas segment performance - Management indicated that residential sales in the Americas are expected to be strong, with a potential increase in guidance for the full year [40][41] Question: Clarification on tariffs and pricing impact - Management stated that they have effectively mitigated most tariff impacts, with $300 million remaining to be offset through pricing [35][119] Question: Update on Viasman and margin expectations - Management expects Viasman to remain flat for the year, with margin improvements anticipated as the business integrates [58][63] Question: Discussion on commercial HVAC business growth - Management highlighted strong growth in the commercial HVAC sector, particularly in data centers, and noted that capacity increases have allowed for more aggressive sales efforts [66][123] Question: Inquiry about inventory levels and pre-buy effects - Management acknowledged elevated inventory levels but indicated that movement has been strong, with careful monitoring of distributor inventory [99][127]