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未知机构:天风电新东方电缆再推荐被错杀的海缆龙头持续看好海外放量0121-20260121
未知机构· 2026-01-21 01:55
Summary of Conference Call Records Company and Industry Involved - The focus is on **Oriental Cable**, a leading company in the **submarine cable** industry, particularly in the offshore wind sector. Core Points and Arguments 1. **AR7 Auction Results**: The AR7 auction resulted in an unexpected 8.4GW of offshore wind projects, primarily involving clients RWE and SSE. SSE is an existing customer, indicating potential future orders for the company [1] 2. **Mona Project Update**: The original owner of the Mona project has acquired equity in EnBW and is expected to participate in AR8, with a project scale of 1.5GW, corresponding to over 2 billion in submarine cable demand [1] 3. **Supply and Demand Dynamics**: The submarine cable market is expanding to include both offshore wind and power interconnection, leading to a greater supply-demand gap. The company has already made progress in delivering overseas submarine cables, outpacing many domestic competitors in the offshore wind supply chain [1] 4. **Positive Outlook for Overseas Orders**: There is a strong expectation for continued growth in overseas orders, reinforcing the company's market position [1] Additional Important Insights 1. **Market Positioning**: By 2026, Oriental Cable is projected to achieve a net profit of 2.09 billion, with total submarine cable deliveries expected to reach 5.5 billion. With the anticipated increase in offshore wind projects in Guangdong and the delivery of 500kV AC/DC submarine cables, the company’s offshore wind deliveries could potentially reach 6.5 billion, exceeding expectations starting from Q1 2026 [2] 2. **European Data Center Impact**: The demand from European data centers is expected to positively influence valuations, benefiting both offshore wind and power interconnection sectors, which will further drive submarine cable demand [3] 3. **Investment Recommendation**: The company is considered a buy opportunity as long as its market capitalization remains below 40 billion, maintaining a strong recommendation for investors [3]