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中国价值链系列研究之一:纵横捭阖:全球价值链重构与中国产业体系突破
工银国际· 2025-12-30 13:22
Group 1: Economic Context and Trends - China's value chain has rapidly expanded, becoming a key hub in global production networks, with domestic value added (DVA) consistently ranking first globally since 2000[6] - The complete industrial system of China has led to over 22% average global value added share in key manufacturing sectors, surpassing traditional manufacturing powerhouses like Germany and the USA[8] - The GVC position of China has steadily improved, indicating a shift from reliance on imported intermediate goods to becoming a supplier of high-value components[15] Group 2: Challenges and Strategic Responses - The international trade order faces challenges from technological hegemony and protectionism, leading to a decline in the degree of global value chain fragmentation[1] - China is actively addressing vertical supply chain risks by focusing on core technology breakthroughs and upgrading its industrial capabilities[19] - The shift from product export to multinational chain building is accelerating, with Chinese companies establishing overseas production and assembly bases to enhance supply chain resilience[30] Group 3: Future Outlook and Innovations - The modern service industry is emerging as a new driver for overall value chain upgrades, with significant contributions from sectors like industrial design and brand operations[24] - By 2025, China is expected to enter the top ten of the global innovation index, bolstered by advancements in AI, renewable energy, and healthcare[23] - Regional cooperation, such as the RCEP and the Belt and Road Initiative, is enhancing trade ties and reducing costs, with ASEAN becoming China's largest trading partner by 2023[31]