Group 1 - The article highlights the unpredictability of the U.S. economic outlook, indicating a heightened risk of recession [1] - The U.S. trade policy, particularly the imposition of tariffs, has created confusion and negatively impacted market optimism and investor confidence [3] - Trust in the federal government has significantly declined among U.S. businesses and households across various sectors [3][4] Group 2 - The article discusses the global implications of the U.S. trade war initiated by President Trump, suggesting it has put the global free trade system in crisis [5] - The upcoming "reciprocal tariffs" set to be implemented from April 2 will target countries with significant trade surpluses with the U.S. and higher tariff rates [6][7] - A significant portion of the U.S. trade deficit is with Asian countries, indicating a regional concentration in trade dynamics [8] Group 3 - The article notes that countries like India, South Korea, Thailand, and Vietnam have higher tariff rates than the U.S., which could lead to shifts in the global economic order [9] - The previous U.S. administration's focus on "de-risking" supply chains has been replaced by a new narrative that escalates the trade war, posing risks to global economic security [9] - The uncertainty surrounding U.S. policies has prompted global companies to consider "de-risking" from the U.S. market [10]