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7月中国物流业景气指数为50.5% 物流供需保持适配增长
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-05 08:08
Core Viewpoint - The logistics industry in China shows signs of steady growth despite a slight decline in the logistics prosperity index, indicating strong internal demand and adaptability in supply and demand dynamics [1][2]. Group 1: Logistics Prosperity Index - In July, the logistics prosperity index was reported at 50.5%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points month-on-month, but still reflects expanding total demand and strong internal momentum [1]. - Various sub-indices, including business volume index, new orders index, and logistics service price index, remained above 50%, indicating expansion in the logistics sector [1]. Group 2: Business Activity and Investment - The business volume index continues to expand, although at a slower pace, with significant growth in sectors such as railway, road, air transport, warehousing, and postal express services [1][2]. - The fixed asset investment completion index for the logistics industry was reported at 54.9%, marking a month-on-month increase of 0.4 percentage points, indicating a positive trend in logistics infrastructure investment [2]. Group 3: E-commerce and Consumer Demand - E-commerce and express delivery services are experiencing notable growth, with the business volume index for the e-commerce express sector reaching 69.3%, indicating a high level of activity [2]. - The "old-for-new" national subsidy policy and regional subsidies are driving consumer demand, further expanding logistics needs in the consumer sector [2].
中国物流与采购联合会:7月份中国物流业景气指数为50.5% 环比回落0.3个百分点
智通财经网· 2025-08-05 06:08
Core Viewpoint - The logistics industry in China shows signs of steady demand and expansion despite adverse weather conditions, with the logistics prosperity index at 50.5% for July 2025, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.3 percentage points from the previous month [1] Logistics Demand and Performance - The overall logistics demand remains strong, with the business volume index at 50.5%, indicating expansion but a slowdown in growth [3] - The business volume index varies by region, with the central and western regions outperforming the national average at 50.9% and 52.3%, respectively, while the eastern region stands at 50.3% [3] - Key sectors such as rail, road, air transport, warehousing, and express delivery maintain business volume indices above 50%, supporting stable industry operations [3] Sector-Specific Insights - E-commerce and express delivery sectors are particularly vibrant, with the e-commerce express delivery business volume index at 69.3%, indicating high prosperity [4] - Air transport shows a recovery with a business volume index of 52.8%, up 0.8 percentage points, driven by seasonal demand for fresh produce [4] - Road and rail transport indices are at 54.6% and 51.7%, respectively, both showing slight increases [4] New Orders and Financial Stability - The new orders index has risen to 52.5%, reflecting an increase in new demand [5] - Regional performance shows eastern and western regions at 51.2% and 52.8% for new orders, while the central region decreased by 0.3 percentage points [5] - The logistics service price index has increased by 0.2 percentage points, indicating stable pricing amidst expanding business volumes [5] Investment and Market Outlook - Fixed asset investment in logistics is on the rise, with an index of 54.9%, marking a 0.4 percentage point increase [6] - The business activity expectation index is at 55.6%, suggesting positive outlooks for sectors like air transport and express delivery [6] - The logistics demand remains stable, supported by government policies and consumer trends, although there are concerns about demand slowdown and industry competition [7]