Workflow
铁路业
icon
Search documents
小摩:若铁路巨头合并获批,捷蓝航空(JBLU.US)或成下一收购目标
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 14:07
Core Viewpoint - The potential for mergers in the airline industry, particularly involving JetBlue Airways (JBLU.US), is highlighted as a significant opportunity for growth, with the outcome of railroad mergers serving as a regulatory indicator for future airline consolidations [1][2]. Group 1: Airline Industry Mergers - Analysts suggest that the collaboration between United Airlines (UAL.US) and JetBlue Airways may be just the beginning of a larger trend in airline mergers [1]. - The approval of the merger between Norfolk Southern (NSC.US) and Union Pacific (UNP.US) is critical, as it could set a precedent for airline mergers, with a combined market share of approximately 45% [1]. - If the railroad merger is approved, it is likely that airline mergers with market shares below 50% will also receive regulatory approval [1]. Group 2: Market Share Implications - Should JetBlue merge with United Airlines, their combined domestic market share would be around 16%, comparable to American Airlines (AAL.US) and Delta Airlines (DAL.US) [1]. - A merger with Alaska Airlines (ALK.US) would result in a market share of only 7%, placing them fifth in the U.S. domestic market [1]. - If JetBlue were to merge with Southwest Airlines (LUV.US), the combined market share would rise to 22% [1]. Group 3: Current Market Performance - As of the report, JetBlue's stock price has decreased by 1.07%, trading at $4.11 [2].