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锂电新材料再起风云!月末博弈进入关键节点?
Jiang Nan Shi Bao· 2025-11-28 14:06
Market Overview - The A-share market exhibited a mild recovery with a pattern of "opening lower, bottoming out, and stabilizing at the end" due to the end-of-month effect and policy expectations [1] - By the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.34%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.85%, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.7%, with all three major indices closing in the green [1] - The total trading volume for the day was 1.59 trillion yuan, a significant decrease of 124 billion yuan from the previous day, marking a two-week low, indicating some institutions are tentatively returning [1] Index Performance - Shanghai Composite Index: 3,888.60 (+0.34%), trading volume of 645.8 billion yuan [2] - Shenzhen Component Index: 12,984.08 (+0.85%), trading volume of 940 billion yuan [2] - ChiNext Index: 3,052.59 (+0.70%), trading volume of 460.6 billion yuan [2] - Sci-Tech 50 Index: 1,327.15 (+1.26%), trading volume of 49.6 billion yuan [2] Technical Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index is approaching the 60-day moving average (3885-3890 range), but insufficient trading volume limits the breakout potential [3] - The ChiNext Index has stabilized above the 3000-point mark, indicating a short-term trend recovery [3] - Key observation points include whether policy expectations can catalyze volume before the important December meetings and the sustainability of commercial aerospace and new energy sectors [3] Industry and Hotspot Capture - The market has undergone a tentative rotation from declining AI applications and flu-related stocks to commercial aerospace, lithium battery materials, and regional consumption sectors [4] - This rotation reflects a typical transitional market behavior influenced by month-end sentiment recovery and the approaching policy window [4] - Commercial aerospace has seen a surge driven by the "Space Data Center" planning, while lithium battery materials continue to strengthen due to price increases and technological advancements [6] Future Strategy - A focus on whether the Shanghai Composite Index can break through 3890 points (60-day moving average) to sustain short-term rebounds, with main funds likely to concentrate [7] - Monitoring the December policy window for effective catalysts, with the sustainability of commercial aerospace and new energy sectors being critical indicators for bullish momentum [7] - Recommended strategy includes maintaining a "steady + focus on new main lines + avoid profit-taking" approach, with attention to the resonance between policy and trading volume in the medium-short term [7]