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荷兰国际:英国劳动力市场将进一步降温
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-17 09:02
Core Viewpoint - The UK job market is cooling down, with the unemployment rate expected to rise to 5.2% by Q4 2025, alongside a slowdown in wage growth [1] Group 1: Employment Market - The majority of the weakness in the job market is concentrated in consumer-facing industries, which were heavily impacted by changes in government policy last year [1] - The overall situation outside these industries appears to be more stable, with a gradual reduction in employment numbers anticipated rather than a sharp decline [1] Group 2: Wage Growth and Economic Predictions - Low vacancy rates and increased immigration are expected to ease employers' hiring challenges, potentially leading to further wage growth slowdown [1] - The company forecasts that the Bank of England will lower interest rates in March and June, with the possibility of additional actions thereafter [1]