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就业降温但薪资高烧难退,英国央行降息路径或仍趋谨慎
智通财经网· 2025-07-17 07:12
Group 1 - The core point of the articles indicates that the UK labor market is showing signs of cooling, but the pace may be slower than the Bank of England's expectations [1][2] - The annual salary growth rate, excluding bonuses, was reported at 5.0% for the three months ending in May, slightly above expectations [1] - The initial estimate of a 109,000 decrease in employment for May was significantly revised down to a reduction of 25,000, indicating a less severe job loss than initially thought [1] Group 2 - The Bank of England had previously predicted a salary growth rate of 5.2% for the three months ending in June, which has now been reported at 4.9% [2] - Employers are anticipating a reduction in hiring due to increased minimum wage, higher employer social security contributions, and tightening employment regulations [2] - The dual factors of reduced job vacancies and increased job seekers are key reasons for the Bank of England's expectation of a gradual pace of interest rate cuts despite inflation being above target [2]